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About these probabilities and odds

Kickoff Edge combines recorded expected goals (xG) with opponent-adjusted team strengths. The xG model blends the recent xG signal and v3 equally, using up to ten previous matches per team, weighted toward recent performances. Both teams need at least five xG matches within six months. Where xG is unavailable, the labelled team-strength model remains in use, with recent-form fallback for limited competition history. Experimental recent-form fallbacks remain research only and are excluded from probability and value recommendation filters. Missing xG is never treated as zero. Competitive cup matches between verified domestic divisions also adjust team strength for the division gap, using earlier league appearances. The initial map covers 37 leagues in eight national pyramids; unknown or cross-country tiers are not guessed. All markets share one score distribution. These are pre-match estimates, not live forecasts or guaranteed outcomes. Historical testing showed lower overall error on the tested sample, but calibration and future performance remain under review. Odds show the highest stored price for each selection; bookmaker availability and prices can change. Additional xG and multi-source challengers are evaluated separately in the model observatory before public promotion. Bookmaker price movement is recorded from collection onwards; it does not reveal betting volume.

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord
VfB LübeckVSEimsbütteler TV
Not Started
Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win
Home48.0%Odds —
Draw20.7%Odds —
Away31.3%Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
74.1%
No stored odds for this selection.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win48.0%—
Draw20.7%—
Away win31.3%—
Over 0.5 goals97.9%—
Under 0.5 goals2.1%—
Over 1.5 goals89.8%—
Under 1.5 goals10.2%—
Over 2.5 goals74.1%—
Under 2.5 goals25.9%—
Over 3.5 goals53.9%—
Under 3.5 goals46.1%—
Over 4.5 goals34.4%—
Under 4.5 goals65.6%—
Both teams to score — Yes72.4%—
Both teams to score — No27.6%—
Home or draw68.7%—
Away or draw52.0%—
Home or away79.3%—
Home team to concede82.0%—
Away team to concede88.3%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Price unavailableManual journal →
Germany · Regionalliga - West
Schalke 04 IIVSKöln II
Match Postponed
Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win
Home46.1%Odds —
Draw20.9%Odds —
Away33.0%Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
73.6%
No stored odds for this selection.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win46.1%—
Draw20.9%—
Away win33.0%—
Over 0.5 goals97.8%—
Under 0.5 goals2.2%—
Over 1.5 goals89.5%—
Under 1.5 goals10.5%—
Over 2.5 goals73.6%—
Under 2.5 goals26.4%—
Over 3.5 goals53.2%—
Under 3.5 goals46.8%—
Over 4.5 goals33.8%—
Under 4.5 goals66.2%—
Both teams to score — Yes72.3%—
Both teams to score — No27.7%—
Home or draw67.0%—
Away or draw53.9%—
Home or away79.1%—
Home team to concede82.6%—
Away team to concede87.5%—
Calculated 25 Sep, 21:50 UKMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedManual journal →
Germany · Regionalliga - West
Bonner SCVSWestfalia Rhynern
Not Started
Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win
Home45.9%Odds —
Draw21.0%Odds —
Away33.1%Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
73.5%
No stored odds for this selection.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win45.9%—
Draw21.0%—
Away win33.1%—
Over 0.5 goals97.8%—
Under 0.5 goals2.2%—
Over 1.5 goals89.4%—
Under 1.5 goals10.6%—
Over 2.5 goals73.5%—
Under 2.5 goals26.5%—
Over 3.5 goals53.1%—
Under 3.5 goals46.9%—
Over 4.5 goals33.6%—
Under 4.5 goals66.4%—
Both teams to score — Yes72.2%—
Both teams to score — No27.8%—
Home or draw66.9%—
Away or draw54.1%—
Home or away79.0%—
Home team to concede82.6%—
Away team to concede87.4%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Price unavailableManual journal →
Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern
BuchbachVSEltersdorf
Not Started
Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win
Home66.0%Odds —
Draw17.9%Odds —
Away16.1%Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
69.1%
No stored odds for this selection.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win66.0%—
Draw17.9%—
Away win16.1%—
Over 0.5 goals97.2%—
Under 0.5 goals2.8%—
Over 1.5 goals87.1%—
Under 1.5 goals12.9%—
Over 2.5 goals69.1%—
Under 2.5 goals30.9%—
Over 3.5 goals47.8%—
Under 3.5 goals52.2%—
Over 4.5 goals28.7%—
Under 4.5 goals71.3%—
Both teams to score — Yes61.9%—
Both teams to score — No38.1%—
Home or draw83.9%—
Away or draw34.0%—
Home or away82.1%—
Home team to concede67.8%—
Away team to concede91.2%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Price unavailableManual journal →
World · UEFA Nations League
Bosnia & HerzegovinaVSSweden
Not Started
Experimental fallback · research onlyModel lean: Home win
Home45.1%Odds 2.68
Draw22.0%Odds 3.65
Away32.8%Odds 2.62
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
67.9%
1.791xBetSnapshot 1 Oct, 21:18

Shortening · 1.80 → 1.79 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.79 mean?

Potential return £179.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £79.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 55.9%. Model estimate: 67.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win45.1%2.681xBet
1 Oct, 21:18
Draw22.0%3.65Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:18
Away win32.8%2.621xBet
1 Oct, 21:18
Over 0.5 goals97.0%1.05Betano
1 Oct, 21:18
Under 0.5 goals3.0%13.00Bet365
1 Oct, 21:18
Over 1.5 goals86.4%1.25Betano
1 Oct, 21:18
Under 1.5 goals13.6%4.36Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:18
Over 2.5 goals67.9%1.791xBet
1 Oct, 21:18
Under 2.5 goals32.1%2.18Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:18
Over 3.5 goals46.3%2.88Betfair
1 Oct, 21:18
Under 3.5 goals53.7%1.45Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:18
Over 4.5 goals27.5%5.50Betfair
1 Oct, 21:18
Under 4.5 goals72.5%1.17Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:18
Both teams to score — Yes67.9%1.62Bet365
1 Oct, 21:18
Both teams to score — No32.1%2.38Betfair
1 Oct, 21:18
Home or draw67.2%1.53Marathonbet
1 Oct, 21:18
Away or draw54.9%1.51Marathonbet
1 Oct, 21:18
Home or away78.0%1.32Marathonbet
1 Oct, 21:18
Home team to concede79.8%—
Away team to concede85.0%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Manual journal →
Germany · Regionalliga - West
Borussia M'gladbach IIVSBochum II
Not Started
Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win
Home69.8%Odds —
Draw17.1%Odds —
Away13.1%Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
66.7%
No stored odds for this selection.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win69.8%—
Draw17.1%—
Away win13.1%—
Over 0.5 goals96.8%—
Under 0.5 goals3.2%—
Over 1.5 goals85.7%—
Under 1.5 goals14.3%—
Over 2.5 goals66.7%—
Under 2.5 goals33.3%—
Over 3.5 goals44.9%—
Under 3.5 goals55.1%—
Over 4.5 goals26.2%—
Under 4.5 goals73.8%—
Both teams to score — Yes57.0%—
Both teams to score — No43.0%—
Home or draw86.9%—
Away or draw30.2%—
Home or away82.9%—
Home team to concede62.3%—
Away team to concede91.4%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Price unavailableManual journal →
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie
Helmond SportVSHeracles
Not Started
Kickoff Edge xG · pre-matchModel lean: Away win
Home18.1%Odds 7.50
Draw20.4%Odds 5.45
Away61.6%Odds 1.38
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
61.0%
1.44Bet365Snapshot 1 Oct, 21:28

Shortening · 1.48 → 1.44 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.44 mean?

Potential return £144.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £44.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 69.4%. Model estimate: 61.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win18.1%7.50BetVictor
1 Oct, 21:28
Draw20.4%5.45Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:28
Away win61.6%1.38Bet365
1 Oct, 21:28
Over 0.5 goals95.7%1.03Betano
1 Oct, 21:28
Under 0.5 goals4.3%19.00Bet365
1 Oct, 21:28
Over 1.5 goals82.3%1.14Betano
1 Oct, 21:28
Under 1.5 goals17.7%6.50Betfair
1 Oct, 21:28
Over 2.5 goals61.0%1.44Bet365
1 Oct, 21:28
Under 2.5 goals39.0%2.88Betfair
1 Oct, 21:28
Over 3.5 goals38.7%2.10Betfair
1 Oct, 21:28
Under 3.5 goals61.3%1.75Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:28
Over 4.5 goals21.1%3.50Betfair
1 Oct, 21:28
Under 4.5 goals78.9%1.31Betano
1 Oct, 21:28
Both teams to score — Yes57.1%1.65Betfair
1 Oct, 21:28
Both teams to score — No42.9%2.20Betfair
1 Oct, 21:28
Home or draw38.4%3.15Betano
1 Oct, 21:28
Away or draw81.9%1.12Betano
1 Oct, 21:28
Home or away79.6%1.18Bet365
1 Oct, 21:28
Home team to concede87.8%—
Away team to concede65.0%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Manual journal →
Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern
SpVgg UnterhachingVSFC Schweinfurt 05
Not Started
Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win
Home65.6%Odds —
Draw19.2%Odds —
Away15.2%Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
60.8%
No stored odds for this selection.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win65.6%—
Draw19.2%—
Away win15.2%—
Over 0.5 goals95.7%—
Under 0.5 goals4.3%—
Over 1.5 goals82.1%—
Under 1.5 goals17.9%—
Over 2.5 goals60.8%—
Under 2.5 goals39.2%—
Over 3.5 goals38.4%—
Under 3.5 goals61.6%—
Over 4.5 goals20.9%—
Under 4.5 goals79.1%—
Both teams to score — Yes54.5%—
Both teams to score — No45.5%—
Home or draw84.8%—
Away or draw34.4%—
Home or away80.8%—
Home team to concede61.3%—
Away team to concede88.8%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Price unavailableManual journal →
USA · Major League Soccer
Seattle SoundersVSSporting Kansas City
Not Started
Kickoff Edge xG · pre-matchModel lean: Home win
Home52.3%Odds 1.57
Draw22.8%Odds 4.85
Away24.9%Odds 5.60
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
58.9%
1.37PinnacleSnapshot 1 Oct, 21:01

Shortening · 1.38 → 1.37 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.37 mean?

Potential return £137.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £37.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 73.0%. Model estimate: 58.9%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win52.3%1.57Betano
1 Oct, 21:01
Draw22.8%4.85Betano
1 Oct, 21:01
Away win24.9%5.60Betano
1 Oct, 21:01
Over 0.5 goals95.3%1.02Betano
1 Oct, 21:01
Under 0.5 goals4.7%23.00Bet365
1 Oct, 21:01
Over 1.5 goals80.9%1.12Betano
1 Oct, 21:01
Under 1.5 goals19.1%7.50BetVictor
1 Oct, 21:01
Over 2.5 goals58.9%1.37Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:01
Under 2.5 goals41.1%3.21Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:01
Over 3.5 goals36.5%1.98SBO
1 Oct, 21:01
Under 3.5 goals63.5%1.93Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:01
Over 4.5 goals19.4%3.15Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:01
Under 4.5 goals80.6%1.40Betano
1 Oct, 21:01
Both teams to score — Yes59.0%1.53Betfair
1 Oct, 21:01
Both teams to score — No41.0%2.70BetVictor
1 Oct, 21:01
Home or draw75.1%1.18Betano
1 Oct, 21:01
Away or draw47.7%2.52Betano
1 Oct, 21:01
Home or away77.2%1.19Betano
1 Oct, 21:01
Home team to concede70.1%—
Away team to concede84.2%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Manual journal →
Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest
Stuttgarter KickersVSKickers Offenbach
Not Started
Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Away win
Home36.6%Odds —
Draw24.1%Odds —
Away39.4%Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
58.8%
No stored odds for this selection.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win36.6%—
Draw24.1%—
Away win39.4%—
Over 0.5 goals95.3%—
Under 0.5 goals4.7%—
Over 1.5 goals80.8%—
Under 1.5 goals19.2%—
Over 2.5 goals58.8%—
Under 2.5 goals41.2%—
Over 3.5 goals36.4%—
Under 3.5 goals63.6%—
Over 4.5 goals19.3%—
Under 4.5 goals80.7%—
Both teams to score — Yes61.2%—
Both teams to score — No38.8%—
Home or draw60.6%—
Away or draw63.4%—
Home or away75.9%—
Home team to concede78.9%—
Away team to concede77.5%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Price unavailableManual journal →
World · UEFA Nations League
BelgiumVSTürkiye
Not Started
Experimental fallback · research onlyModel lean: Home win
Home58.4%Odds 1.57
Draw22.1%Odds 4.86
Away19.5%Odds 5.68
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
55.4%
1.47BetanoSnapshot 1 Oct, 21:18

Drifting · 1.37 → 1.47 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.47 mean?

Potential return £147.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £47.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 68.0%. Model estimate: 55.4%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win58.4%1.57Betano
1 Oct, 21:18
Draw22.1%4.86Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:18
Away win19.5%5.68Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:18
Over 0.5 goals94.5%1.03Betano
1 Oct, 21:18
Under 0.5 goals5.5%22.001xBet
1 Oct, 21:18
Over 1.5 goals78.5%1.15Betano
1 Oct, 21:18
Under 1.5 goals21.5%6.50Betfair
1 Oct, 21:18
Over 2.5 goals55.4%1.47Betano
1 Oct, 21:18
Under 2.5 goals44.6%2.88Betfair
1 Oct, 21:18
Over 3.5 goals33.0%2.181xBet
1 Oct, 21:18
Under 3.5 goals67.0%1.76Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:18
Over 4.5 goals16.8%3.50Bet365
1 Oct, 21:18
Under 4.5 goals83.2%1.31Betano
1 Oct, 21:18
Both teams to score — Yes53.8%1.55Betano
1 Oct, 21:18
Both teams to score — No46.2%2.55Betfair
1 Oct, 21:18
Home or draw80.5%1.18Betano
1 Oct, 21:18
Away or draw41.6%2.56Marathonbet
1 Oct, 21:18
Home or away77.9%1.21Marathonbet
1 Oct, 21:18
Home team to concede63.2%—
Away team to concede85.0%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Manual journal →
Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest
SV SandhausenVSKaiserslautern II
Not Started
Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win
Home49.5%Odds —
Draw24.0%Odds —
Away26.5%Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
54.7%
No stored odds for this selection.
All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win49.5%—
Draw24.0%—
Away win26.5%—
Over 0.5 goals94.3%—
Under 0.5 goals5.7%—
Over 1.5 goals78.0%—
Under 1.5 goals22.0%—
Over 2.5 goals54.7%—
Under 2.5 goals45.3%—
Over 3.5 goals32.3%—
Under 3.5 goals67.7%—
Over 4.5 goals16.3%—
Under 4.5 goals83.7%—
Both teams to score — Yes56.4%—
Both teams to score — No43.6%—
Home or draw73.5%—
Away or draw50.5%—
Home or away76.0%—
Home team to concede69.1%—
Away team to concede81.6%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Price unavailableManual journal →
World · Friendlies
Wales U19VSNorway U19
Not Started
Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win
Home48.9%Odds 4.32
Draw25.0%Odds 4.56
Away26.1%Odds 1.68
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
50.0%
1.53Bet365Snapshot 1 Oct, 21:09

Drifting · 1.50 → 1.53 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.53 mean?

Potential return £153.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £53.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 65.4%. Model estimate: 50.0%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win48.9%4.321xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Draw25.0%4.561xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Away win26.1%1.68Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 0.5 goals93.1%1.01Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 0.5 goals6.9%19.00Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 1.5 goals74.6%1.14Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 1.5 goals25.4%5.50Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 2.5 goals50.0%1.53Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 2.5 goals50.0%2.55Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 3.5 goals28.0%2.22Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 3.5 goals72.0%1.671xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 4.5 goals13.3%3.80Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 4.5 goals86.7%1.25Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Both teams to score — Yes52.7%1.57Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Both teams to score — No47.3%2.411xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Home or draw73.9%2.20Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Away or draw51.1%1.20William Hill
1 Oct, 21:09
Home or away75.0%1.22William Hill
1 Oct, 21:09
Home team to concede66.3%—
Away team to concede79.5%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Manual journal →
Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real AvilésVSLugo
Not Started
Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Away win
Home33.9%Odds 2.39
Draw27.2%Odds 3.62
Away38.9%Odds 2.90
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
44.5%
2.00PinnacleSnapshot 1 Oct, 17:15

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

What would £100 at 2.00 mean?

Potential return £200.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £100.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 50.0%. Model estimate: 44.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win33.9%2.391xBet
1 Oct, 17:15
Draw27.2%3.621xBet
1 Oct, 17:15
Away win38.9%2.90BetVictor
1 Oct, 17:15
Over 0.5 goals91.4%1.06Betano
1 Oct, 17:15
Under 0.5 goals8.6%9.50Bet365
1 Oct, 17:15
Over 1.5 goals70.4%1.301xBet
1 Oct, 17:15
Under 1.5 goals29.6%3.50Bet365
1 Oct, 17:15
Over 2.5 goals44.5%2.00Pinnacle
1 Oct, 17:15
Under 2.5 goals55.5%1.861xBet
1 Oct, 17:15
Over 3.5 goals23.3%3.40Bet365
1 Oct, 17:15
Under 3.5 goals76.7%1.311xBet
1 Oct, 17:15
Over 4.5 goals10.3%7.50BetVictor
1 Oct, 17:15
Under 4.5 goals89.7%1.11Bet365
1 Oct, 17:15
Both teams to score — Yes50.0%1.73William Hill
1 Oct, 17:15
Both teams to score — No50.0%2.00Bet365
1 Oct, 17:15
Home or draw61.1%1.40Betfair
1 Oct, 17:15
Away or draw66.1%1.57Betfair
1 Oct, 17:15
Home or away72.8%1.33William Hill
1 Oct, 17:15
Home team to concede72.2%—
Away team to concede69.2%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Manual journal →
Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid IIVSAtlético Madrid II
Not Started
Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Home win
Home37.0%Odds 1.68
Draw28.3%Odds 4.34
Away34.6%Odds 4.75
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
40.5%
1.661xBetSnapshot 1 Oct, 21:37

Shortening · 1.80 → 1.66 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 1.66 mean?

Potential return £166.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £66.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 60.2%. Model estimate: 40.5%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win37.0%1.681xBet
1 Oct, 21:37
Draw28.3%4.341xBet
1 Oct, 21:37
Away win34.6%4.75Betfair
1 Oct, 21:37
Over 0.5 goals90.0%1.03Bet365
1 Oct, 21:37
Under 0.5 goals10.0%10.00Bet365
1 Oct, 21:37
Over 1.5 goals67.0%1.20Bet365
1 Oct, 21:37
Under 1.5 goals33.0%4.60BetVictor
1 Oct, 21:37
Over 2.5 goals40.5%1.661xBet
1 Oct, 21:37
Under 2.5 goals59.5%2.26Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:37
Over 3.5 goals20.1%2.57Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:37
Under 3.5 goals79.9%1.511xBet
1 Oct, 21:37
Over 4.5 goals8.4%4.60BetVictor
1 Oct, 21:37
Under 4.5 goals91.6%1.20Bet365
1 Oct, 21:37
Both teams to score — Yes46.8%1.62William Hill
1 Oct, 21:37
Both teams to score — No53.2%2.25BetVictor
1 Oct, 21:37
Home or draw65.4%1.20William Hill
1 Oct, 21:37
Away or draw63.0%2.20Betfair
1 Oct, 21:37
Home or away71.7%1.22Betfair
1 Oct, 21:37
Home team to concede67.6%—
Away team to concede69.2%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Manual journal →
Spain · Segunda División
EldenseVSOviedo
Not Started
Team-strength fallback · pre-matchModel lean: Away win
Home30.3%Odds 2.80
Draw31.9%Odds 3.10
Away37.8%Odds 2.91
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
29.1%
2.55BetfairSnapshot 1 Oct, 21:36

Drifting · 2.45 → 2.55 same bookmaker · observed price change

What would £100 at 2.55 mean?

Potential return £255.00, including your £100 stake. Profit if it wins: £155.00. Loss if it loses: £100.

Break-even win rate: 39.2%. Model estimate: 29.1%. This estimate is uncertain; short odds do not make a bet safe.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win30.3%2.80Betano
1 Oct, 21:36
Draw31.9%3.101xBet
1 Oct, 21:36
Away win37.8%2.91Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:36
Over 0.5 goals84.7%1.11Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:36
Under 0.5 goals15.3%8.00Betfair
1 Oct, 21:36
Over 1.5 goals56.1%1.50Bet365
1 Oct, 21:36
Under 1.5 goals43.9%2.72Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:36
Over 2.5 goals29.1%2.55Betfair
1 Oct, 21:36
Under 2.5 goals70.9%1.611xBet
1 Oct, 21:36
Over 3.5 goals12.2%5.00Betfair
1 Oct, 21:36
Under 3.5 goals87.8%1.21Betano
1 Oct, 21:36
Over 4.5 goals4.2%11.00Betfair
1 Oct, 21:36
Under 4.5 goals95.8%1.07Betano
1 Oct, 21:36
Both teams to score — Yes36.9%2.15Betfair
1 Oct, 21:36
Both teams to score — No63.1%1.80Betano
1 Oct, 21:36
Home or draw62.2%1.47Betano
1 Oct, 21:36
Away or draw69.7%1.47Betano
1 Oct, 21:36
Home or away68.1%1.381xBet
1 Oct, 21:36
Home team to concede63.6%—
Away team to concede58.1%—
Calculated 2 Oct, 01:56 UKMatch centre →
Manual journal →
World · CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican RepublicVSHaiti
Halftime
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds 3.90
Draw—Odds 3.90
Away—Odds 2.02
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
1.59PinnacleSnapshot 1 Oct, 22:17

Drifting · 1.58 → 1.59 same bookmaker · observed price change

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win—3.90Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Draw—3.90Betfair
1 Oct, 22:17
Away win—2.02SBO
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 0.5 goals—1.03Betano
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 0.5 goals—17.00Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 1.5 goals—1.18Pinnacle
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 1.5 goals—5.00Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 2.5 goals—1.59Pinnacle
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 2.5 goals—2.35Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 3.5 goals—2.45Pinnacle
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 3.5 goals—1.55Betano
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 4.5 goals—4.50Betfair
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 4.5 goals—1.22Betano
1 Oct, 22:17
Both teams to score — Yes—1.62Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Both teams to score — No—2.40Betfair
1 Oct, 22:17
Home or draw—1.98Betano
1 Oct, 22:17
Away or draw—1.27Betano
1 Oct, 22:17
Home or away—1.25William Hill
1 Oct, 22:17
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedManual journal →
World · CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman IslandsVSPuerto Rico
Second Half
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds 36.00
Draw—Odds 11.00
Away—Odds 1.08
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
1.38PinnacleSnapshot 1 Oct, 22:17

Drifting · 1.35 → 1.38 same bookmaker · observed price change

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win—36.00William Hill
1 Oct, 22:17
Draw—11.00Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Away win—1.08William Hill
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 0.5 goals—1.02Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 0.5 goals—19.00Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 1.5 goals—1.11Betano
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 1.5 goals—7.00Betfair
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 2.5 goals—1.38Pinnacle
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 2.5 goals—3.10Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 3.5 goals—1.98Pinnacle
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 3.5 goals—1.85Betano
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 4.5 goals—3.20BetVictor
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 4.5 goals—1.37Betano
1 Oct, 22:17
Both teams to score — Yes—3.40Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Both teams to score — No—1.40William Hill
1 Oct, 22:17
Home or draw—11.00Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Away or draw—1.02William Hill
1 Oct, 22:17
Home or away—1.06William Hill
1 Oct, 22:17
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedManual journal →
World · CONCACAF Nations League
NicaraguaVSCosta Rica
Not Started
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds 9.00
Draw—Odds 6.00
Away—Odds 1.44
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
1.75BetfairSnapshot 1 Oct, 22:17

Shortening · 1.87 → 1.75 same bookmaker · observed price change

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win—9.00Betfair
1 Oct, 22:17
Draw—6.00Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Away win—1.44Pinnacle
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 0.5 goals—1.04Betano
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 0.5 goals—15.00Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 1.5 goals—1.25Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 1.5 goals—4.20Betfair
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 2.5 goals—1.75Betfair
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 2.5 goals—2.11Marathonbet
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 3.5 goals—3.00Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 3.5 goals—1.42Pinnacle
1 Oct, 22:17
Over 4.5 goals—5.50Betfair
1 Oct, 22:17
Under 4.5 goals—1.16Betano
1 Oct, 22:17
Both teams to score — Yes—2.15Betano
1 Oct, 22:17
Both teams to score — No—1.83William Hill
1 Oct, 22:17
Home or draw—3.40Betano
1 Oct, 22:17
Away or draw—1.12Bet365
1 Oct, 22:17
Home or away—1.18William Hill
1 Oct, 22:17
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Manual journal →
World · Friendlies
Turkey U18VSUzbekistan U18
Not Started
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds —
Draw—Odds —
Away—Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
No stored odds for this selection.

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win——
Draw——
Away win——
Over 0.5 goals——
Under 0.5 goals——
Over 1.5 goals——
Under 1.5 goals——
Over 2.5 goals——
Under 2.5 goals——
Over 3.5 goals——
Under 3.5 goals——
Over 4.5 goals——
Under 4.5 goals——
Both teams to score — Yes——
Both teams to score — No——
Home or draw——
Away or draw——
Home or away——
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Price unavailableManual journal →
World · Friendlies
Hungary U18VSAlgeria U18
Not Started
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds —
Draw—Odds —
Away—Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
No stored odds for this selection.

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win——
Draw——
Away win——
Over 0.5 goals——
Under 0.5 goals——
Over 1.5 goals——
Under 1.5 goals——
Over 2.5 goals——
Under 2.5 goals——
Over 3.5 goals——
Under 3.5 goals——
Over 4.5 goals——
Under 4.5 goals——
Both teams to score — Yes——
Both teams to score — No——
Home or draw——
Away or draw——
Home or away——
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Price unavailableManual journal →
World · Friendlies
Saudi Arabia U18VSItaly U18
Not Started
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds —
Draw—Odds —
Away—Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
No stored odds for this selection.

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win——
Draw——
Away win——
Over 0.5 goals——
Under 0.5 goals——
Over 1.5 goals——
Under 1.5 goals——
Over 2.5 goals——
Under 2.5 goals——
Over 3.5 goals——
Under 3.5 goals——
Over 4.5 goals——
Under 4.5 goals——
Both teams to score — Yes——
Both teams to score — No——
Home or draw——
Away or draw——
Home or away——
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Price unavailableManual journal →
World · Friendlies
Croatia U18VSDenmark U18
Not Started
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds —
Draw—Odds —
Away—Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
No stored odds for this selection.

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win——
Draw——
Away win——
Over 0.5 goals——
Under 0.5 goals——
Over 1.5 goals——
Under 1.5 goals——
Over 2.5 goals——
Under 2.5 goals——
Over 3.5 goals——
Under 3.5 goals——
Over 4.5 goals——
Under 4.5 goals——
Both teams to score — Yes——
Both teams to score — No——
Home or draw——
Away or draw——
Home or away——
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Price unavailableManual journal →
World · Friendlies
South KoreaVSVenezuela
Not Started
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds 1.73
Draw—Odds 4.04
Away—Odds 5.10
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
2.151xBetSnapshot 1 Oct, 21:09

Shortening · 2.25 → 2.15 same bookmaker · observed price change

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win—1.731xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Draw—4.041xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Away win—5.101xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 0.5 goals—1.07Betano
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 0.5 goals—10.00Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 1.5 goals—1.37Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 1.5 goals—3.10Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 2.5 goals—2.151xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 2.5 goals—1.801xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 3.5 goals—4.00Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 3.5 goals—1.26Betano
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 4.5 goals—9.00Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 4.5 goals—1.09Betano
1 Oct, 21:09
Both teams to score — Yes—2.10Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Both teams to score — No—1.80Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Home or draw—1.201xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Away or draw—2.231xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Home or away—1.29William Hill
1 Oct, 21:09
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Manual journal →
World · Friendlies
Congo DRVSUganda
Not Started
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds 1.81
Draw—Odds 3.64
Away—Odds 5.16
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
2.501xBetSnapshot 1 Oct, 21:09

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win—1.811xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Draw—3.641xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Away win—5.161xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 0.5 goals—1.07Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 0.5 goals—8.00Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 1.5 goals—1.44Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 1.5 goals—2.70Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 2.5 goals—2.501xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 2.5 goals—1.611xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 3.5 goals—5.00Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 3.5 goals—1.17Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 4.5 goals—10.00Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 4.5 goals—1.05Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Both teams to score — Yes—2.30Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Both teams to score — No—1.611xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Home or draw—1.201xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Away or draw—2.111xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Home or away—1.331xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Manual journal →
World · Friendlies
ChinaVSPalestine
Not Started
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds 2.71
Draw—Odds 3.64
Away—Odds 2.65
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
2.02PinnacleSnapshot 1 Oct, 21:09

Drifting · 1.96 → 2.02 same bookmaker · observed price change

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win—2.711xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Draw—3.641xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Away win—2.651xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 0.5 goals—1.05Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 0.5 goals—11.00Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 1.5 goals—1.33Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 1.5 goals—3.50Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 2.5 goals—2.02Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 2.5 goals—1.921xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 3.5 goals—3.50Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 3.5 goals—1.34Betano
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 4.5 goals—7.00Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 4.5 goals—1.13Pinnacle
1 Oct, 21:09
Both teams to score — Yes—1.80Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Both teams to score — No—2.10Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Home or draw—1.541xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Away or draw—1.521xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Home or away—1.331xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Manual journal →
World · Friendlies
ChinaVSTurkmenistan
Match Cancelled
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds —
Draw—Odds —
Away—Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
No stored odds for this selection.

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win——
Draw——
Away win——
Over 0.5 goals——
Under 0.5 goals——
Over 1.5 goals——
Under 1.5 goals——
Over 2.5 goals——
Under 2.5 goals——
Over 3.5 goals——
Under 3.5 goals——
Over 4.5 goals——
Under 4.5 goals——
Both teams to score — Yes——
Both teams to score — No——
Home or draw——
Away or draw——
Home or away——
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Research only · selections closedManual journal →
World · Friendlies
Albania U19VSLithuania U19
Not Started
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds 2.33
Draw—Odds 3.72
Away—Odds 2.85
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
1.85Bet365Snapshot 1 Oct, 21:09

Drifting · 1.80 → 1.85 same bookmaker · observed price change

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win—2.331xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Draw—3.721xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Away win—2.851xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 0.5 goals—1.02Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 0.5 goals—11.00Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 1.5 goals—1.261xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 1.5 goals—3.75Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 2.5 goals—1.85Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 2.5 goals—1.961xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 3.5 goals—3.25Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 3.5 goals—1.361xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 4.5 goals—5.80Marathonbet
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 4.5 goals—1.12Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Both teams to score — Yes—1.73Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Both teams to score — No—2.10William Hill
1 Oct, 21:09
Home or draw—1.36William Hill
1 Oct, 21:09
Away or draw—1.55William Hill
1 Oct, 21:09
Home or away—1.30William Hill
1 Oct, 21:09
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Manual journal →
World · Friendlies
Turkey U17VSKorea Republic U17
Not Started
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds —
Draw—Odds —
Away—Odds —
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
No stored odds for this selection.

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win——
Draw——
Away win——
Over 0.5 goals——
Under 0.5 goals——
Over 1.5 goals——
Under 1.5 goals——
Over 2.5 goals——
Under 2.5 goals——
Over 3.5 goals——
Under 3.5 goals——
Over 4.5 goals——
Under 4.5 goals——
Both teams to score — Yes——
Both teams to score — No——
Home or draw——
Away or draw——
Home or away——
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Price unavailableManual journal →
World · Friendlies
England U19VSUSA U19
Not Started
Legacy estimate · awaiting refresh
Home—Odds 1.58
Draw—Odds 4.84
Away—Odds 5.00
Selected marketOver 2.5 goals
—
1.44Bet365Snapshot 1 Oct, 21:09

Price history is building · no earlier change recorded for this bookmaker.

Model estimate unavailable: awaiting sufficient recent-match data and calculation. Available odds are still shown.

All goal, BTTS & outcome markets +
MarketEstimateStored odds
Home win—1.581xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Draw—4.841xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Away win—5.00Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 0.5 goals—1.01Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 0.5 goals—21.00Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 1.5 goals—1.12Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 1.5 goals—6.50Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 2.5 goals—1.44Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 2.5 goals—2.75Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 3.5 goals—2.10Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 3.5 goals—1.761xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Over 4.5 goals—3.50Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Under 4.5 goals—1.301xBet
1 Oct, 21:09
Both teams to score — Yes—1.57Bet365
1 Oct, 21:09
Both teams to score — No—2.55Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Home or draw—1.17BetVictor
1 Oct, 21:09
Away or draw—2.40Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Home or away—1.17Betfair
1 Oct, 21:09
Home team to concede——
Away team to concede——
Coverage varies by competitionMatch centre →
Manual journal →