Primera División RFEF - Group 2 17:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 71.4% model estimate · odds 1.31
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Sant Andreu to win (40.0%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 76.3%. Policy price: 1.59 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:48 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Gulf Cup of Nations 18:30 UK
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
Open match research for form and team context
Evidence & price check Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
Experimental fallback: data and predictive performance are not verified for recommendations.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
Gulf Cup of Nations 18:30 UK
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
Open match research for form and team context
Evidence & price check Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
Eerste Divisie 19:00 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 79.0% model estimate · odds 1.25
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Almere City FC to win (54.5%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.42 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:34 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Eerste Divisie 19:00 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 82.4% model estimate · odds 1.25
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Den Bosch to win (64.2%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.36 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:34 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Eerste Divisie 19:00 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 76.8% model estimate · odds 1.27
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: FC Eindhoven to win (45.3%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 78.7%. Policy price: 1.47 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:34 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Eerste Divisie 19:00 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 79.6% model estimate · odds 1.25
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Waalwijk to win (56.8%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.41 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:34 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Friendlies 19:00 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 76.3% market-implied chance · odds 1.26
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Canada to win (58.2%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 79.4%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
Serie C - Girone A 19:30 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Folgore Caratese or draw 69.5% model estimate · odds 1.32
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Folgore Caratese to win (38.2%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 75.8%. Policy price: 1.63 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Serie C - Girone A 19:30 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Ospitaletto or draw 81.8% model estimate · odds 1.33
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Ospitaletto to win (57.2%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 75.2%. Policy price: 1.37 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Serie C - Girone A 19:30 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 74.9% model estimate · odds 1.30
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: PRO Vercelli to win (38.2%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.51 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Serie C - Girone C 19:30 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Catania to win 54.9% model estimate · odds 1.57
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Catania to win (54.9%).
Stored at Pinnacle. Break-even: 63.7%. Policy price: 2.11 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
UEFA Nations League 19:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Over 2.5 goals 71.5% market-implied chance · odds 1.36
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Spain to win (88.1%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 73.5%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:23 UK. Prices need checking.
Experimental fallback: data and predictive performance are not verified for recommendations.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
UEFA Nations League 19:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Switzerland to win 71.5% market-implied chance · odds 1.34
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Switzerland to win (71.5%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 74.6%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:23 UK. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
UEFA Nations League 19:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 73.1% market-implied chance · odds 1.31
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Scotland to win (53.6%).
Stored at Marathonbet. Break-even: 76.3%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:23 UK. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
Ligue 3 19:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 78.2% model estimate · odds 1.25
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Amiens to win (65.8%).
Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.44 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Ligue 3 19:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Under 2.5 goals 74.1% model estimate · odds 1.81
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Cannes to win (44.8%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 55.2%. Policy price: 1.52 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Ligue 3 19:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Under 2.5 goals 73.1% model estimate · odds 1.71
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Concarneau to win (43.7%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 58.5%. Policy price: 1.55 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Ligue 3 19:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 74.6% model estimate · odds 1.30
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Fleury 91 to win (37.9%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.51 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Ligue 3 19:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 71.2% model estimate · odds 1.25
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: La Roche VF to win (48.8%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 80.0%. Policy price: 1.59 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Ligue 3 19:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 74.8% model estimate · odds 1.30
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Le Puy Foot to win (41.7%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.51 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Ligue 3 19:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Rouen to win 62.5% model estimate · odds 1.50
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Rouen to win (62.5%).
Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 66.7%. Policy price: 1.83 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Ligue 3 19:45 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 75.1% model estimate · odds 1.30
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Versailles to win (47.5%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.50 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Friendlies 20:00 UK
No recommendation — prices need checking
Likelihood guide Either team to win (no draw) 70.8% market-implied chance · odds 1.38
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Evidence & price check Likeliest match result: Ivory Coast to win (51.2%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 72.5%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 09:16 UK. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
CONCACAF Nations League 22:00 UK
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
Open match research for form and team context
Evidence & price check Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
Coverage and recommendation policy 175 scheduled matches: 135 with usable models, 21 with market fallback, 19 awaiting usable data. 1 models held for disagreement review. Counts cover this date and competition; rows are paginated.
The current value policy compares match result, over/under 2.5, BTTS and double chance. It subtracts five percentage points from the model probability, requires a 5% estimated return after that buffer, and minimum odds of 1.25. Models must be within 24 hours; odds collected within 30 minutes and updated within three hours. These thresholds are a policy, not proof of calibration or profit. No guaranteed outcomes.