Skip to content
UPCOMING MATCHES · 90 MINUTES

Match decisions

Sunday, 4 October · A likely outcome needs a good price too.

No qualifying value candidates in this view. Use the match research below; a short price alone is not an edge.

Friendlies

Argentina v Burkina Faso

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideOver 2.5 goals

59.9% market-implied chance · odds 1.57

Bookmaker market · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Argentina to win (77.9%).

Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 63.7%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:30 UK. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.

Friendlies

USA v Mexico

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideUSA to win

50.4% model estimate

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: USA to win (50.4%).

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

CONCACAF Nations League

Belize v French Guyana

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Friendlies

Brazil U20 v Mexico U20

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Friendlies

Faroe Islands U19 v United Arab Emirates U19

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Athletic Club II v Extremadura 1924

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

73.9% model estimate · odds 1.30

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Athletic Club II to win (55.8%).

Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.53 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:30 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

UD Logroñés v Deportivo La Coruña II

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

76.2% model estimate · odds 1.30

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: UD Logroñés to win (50.8%).

Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.48 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:30 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Real Murcia v Gimnastic

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

76.1% model estimate · odds 1.27

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Real Murcia to win (52.9%).

Stored at Betano. Break-even: 78.7%. Policy price: 1.48 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:43 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Villarreal II v Ibiza

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

78.8% model estimate · odds 1.30

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Villarreal II to win (61.7%).

Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.43 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:43 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Segunda Liga

Farense v Chaves

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideFarense or draw

75.6% model estimate · odds 1.36

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Farense to win (48.9%).

Stored at Betano. Break-even: 73.5%. Policy price: 1.49 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:30 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Friendlies

Germany U17 v England U17

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Copa del Rey

Atlético Melilla v Pinatar

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Serie C - Girone A

Lecco v Union Brescia

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

69.4% model estimate · odds 1.30

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Union Brescia to win (44.9%).

Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.63 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:30 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Serie C - Girone A

Treviso v Giana Erminio

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

71.7% model estimate · odds 1.27

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Treviso to win (48.2%).

Stored at Betano. Break-even: 78.7%. Policy price: 1.58 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:30 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Copa del Rey

Güímar v Hortaleza

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Segunda División

Real Sociedad II v Granada CF

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

74.6% model estimate · odds 1.36

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Real Sociedad II to win (45.6%).

Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 73.5%. Policy price: 1.51 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:42 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Regionalliga - Nord

HSC Hannover v Schöningen

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideSchöningen to win

49.7% model estimate

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Schöningen to win (49.7%).

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Regionalliga - West

Rot-weiss Oberhausen v Paderborn II

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideRot-weiss Oberhausen to win

54.7% model estimate

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Rot-weiss Oberhausen to win (54.7%).

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Regionalliga - West

Sportfreunde Siegen v Borussia Dortmund II

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideBorussia Dortmund II to win

41.0% model estimate

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Borussia Dortmund II to win (41.0%).

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Friendlies

Kyrgyzstan v Lebanon

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Friendlies

Denmark U20 v United States U20

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Huesca v Europa Fc

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideUnder 2.5 goals

63.8% model estimate · odds 1.80

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Huesca to win (44.8%).

Stored at Bet365. Break-even: 55.6%. Policy price: 1.79 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:43 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo v Roda

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

75.3% model estimate · odds 1.29

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: VVV Venlo to win (37.8%).

Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 77.5%. Policy price: 1.50 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:33 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Serie C - Girone B

Campobasso FC v Torres

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

73.4% model estimate · odds 1.32

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Campobasso FC to win (44.4%).

Stored at Betano. Break-even: 75.8%. Policy price: 1.54 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:30 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Serie C - Girone B

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 v Pineto

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideGuidonia Montecelio 1937 or draw

74.9% model estimate · odds 1.32

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win (46.4%).

Stored at Betano. Break-even: 75.8%. Policy price: 1.51 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:30 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Serie C - Girone B

Pianese v Ravenna

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideUnder 2.5 goals

72.7% model estimate · odds 1.93

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Ravenna to win (51.2%).

Stored at Pinnacle. Break-even: 51.8%. Policy price: 1.56 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:30 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Serie C - Girone C

Cosenza v Foggia

No recommendation — prices need checking

Likelihood guideEither team to win (no draw)

70.3% model estimate · odds 1.34

Kickoff Edge model · Our model: available

Evidence & price check

Likeliest match result: Cosenza to win (36.5%).

Stored at Betano. Break-even: 74.6%. Policy price: 1.61 or better.

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:30 UK. Prices need checking.

Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan v Lithuania

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: experimental — not eligible for recommendations

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

Experimental fallback: data and predictive performance are not verified for recommendations.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Friendlies

Comoros v Senegal

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Copa del Rey

Noja v Ribadesella CF

Awaiting usable data

There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.

No usable forecast · Our model: unavailable

Evidence & price check

Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.

A valid stored model is unavailable.

No valid pre-match odds snapshot.

Coverage and recommendation policy

65 scheduled matches: 36 with usable models, 7 with market fallback, 22 awaiting usable data. 0 models held for disagreement review. Counts cover this date and competition; rows are paginated.

Policy value-buffer-v1 compares match result, over/under 2.5, BTTS and double chance. It subtracts five percentage points from the model probability, requires a 5% estimated return after that buffer, and minimum odds of 1.25. Models must be within 24 hours; odds collected within 30 minutes and updated within three hours. These thresholds are a policy, not proof of calibration or profit. No guaranteed outcomes.