A quick view of what Kickoff Edge makes of each upcoming match. See the selected outcome, why it was flagged and whether the stored price passes our value checks.
Read the label first. A value candidate passes our model and price checks. A likelihood guide describes an outcome but does not establish value. If data or prices need checking, there is no recommendation. Open “Evidence & price check” to see why.
3 value candidates pass the current policy.
Qualifying value candidate
73.9% model estimate · odds 2.20
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Likeliest match result: Wales U19 to win (48.9%).
Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 45.5%. Policy price: 1.53 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 07:00 UK. Within price-age checks.
Qualifying value candidate
70.9% model estimate · odds 1.62
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Likeliest match result: Oviedo to win (37.8%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 61.7%. Policy price: 1.60 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 07:00 UK. Within price-age checks.
Qualifying value candidate
63.0% model estimate · odds 2.20
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Likeliest match result: Real Madrid II to win (37.0%).
Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 45.5%. Policy price: 1.82 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 07:00 UK. Within price-age checks.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
Open match research for form and team context
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
Open match research for form and team context
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
Open match research for form and team context
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
Open match research for form and team context
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.0% market-implied chance · odds 1.29
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Likeliest match result: South Korea to win (56.5%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 77.5%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 05:11 UK. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
No recommendation — prices need checking
72.8% market-implied chance · odds 1.33
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Likeliest match result: China to win (36.5%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 75.2%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 05:11 UK. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
No qualifying value at this price
72.9% market-implied chance · odds 1.33
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Likeliest match result: Congo DR to win (54.0%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 75.2%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 07:00 UK. Within price-age checks.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
No qualifying value at this price
72.6% market-implied chance · odds 1.30
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Likeliest match result: Albania U19 to win (40.1%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 07:00 UK. Within price-age checks.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
Open match research for form and team context
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No recommendation — prices need checking
71.7% market-implied chance · odds 1.34
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Likeliest match result: Kazakhstan to win (50.4%).
Stored at 1xBet. Break-even: 74.6%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 07:00 UK. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
No recommendation — prices need checking
64.1% market-implied chance · odds 1.46
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Likeliest match result: England U19 to win (54.8%).
Stored at Pinnacle. Break-even: 68.5%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 05:11 UK. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
No qualifying value at this price
73.0% market-implied chance · odds 1.30
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Likeliest match result: Israel U19 to win (45.5%).
Stored at William Hill. Break-even: 76.9%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 07:00 UK. Within price-age checks.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
Open match research for form and team context
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No qualifying value at this price
71.0% market-implied chance · odds 1.36
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Likeliest match result: Cyprus to win (41.1%).
Stored at Marathonbet. Break-even: 73.5%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 07:00 UK. Within price-age checks.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
No qualifying value at this price
73.0% market-implied chance · odds 1.32
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Likeliest match result: Montenegro to win (53.3%).
Stored at Marathonbet. Break-even: 75.8%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 07:00 UK. Within price-age checks.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
No qualifying value at this price
65.8% market-implied chance · odds 1.35
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Likeliest match result: Russia U21 to win (39.2%).
Stored at Marathonbet. Break-even: 74.1%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 07:00 UK. Within price-age checks.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
Open match research for form and team context
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No qualifying value at this price
72.8% model estimate · odds 1.30
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Likeliest match result: Lugo to win (38.9%).
Stored at Betfair. Break-even: 76.9%. Policy price: 1.55 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 07:00 UK. Within price-age checks.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
66.0% model estimate
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Likeliest match result: Buchbach to win (66.0%).
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
65.6% model estimate
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Likeliest match result: SpVgg Unterhaching to win (65.6%).
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
49.5% model estimate
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Likeliest match result: SV Sandhausen to win (49.5%).
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
75.9% model estimate · odds 1.27
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Likeliest match result: Kickers Offenbach to win (39.4%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 78.7%. Policy price: 1.48 or better.
Odds updated 2 Oct 01:00 UK. Prices need checking.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
Awaiting usable data
There is not enough usable data for a selection yet. Team news and recent form remain available.
Open match research for form and team context
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No recommendation — prices need checking
48.0% model estimate
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Likeliest match result: VfB Lübeck to win (48.0%).
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
69.8% model estimate
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Likeliest match result: Borussia M'gladbach II to win (69.8%).
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
45.9% model estimate
Pre-match estimate · check the evidence below
Likeliest match result: Bonner SC to win (45.9%).
Odds updated not supplied. Prices need checking.
No valid pre-match odds snapshot.
No selection meets the price and value policy.
No recommendation — prices need checking
65.0% market-implied chance · odds 1.50
Likelihood from stored odds · value not established
Likeliest match result: France to win (65.0%).
Stored at Betano. Break-even: 66.7%. Market likelihood cannot establish a model edge.
Odds updated 2 Oct 07:00 UK. Prices need checking.
A valid stored model is unavailable.
Publisher odds are older than three hours or collection is older than 30 minutes.
Market likelihood alone cannot establish model value.
40 scheduled matches: 12 with usable models, 20 with market fallback, 8 awaiting usable data. 0 models held for disagreement review. Counts cover this date and competition; rows are paginated.
The current value policy compares match result, over/under 2.5, BTTS and double chance. It subtracts five percentage points from the model probability, requires a 5% estimated return after that buffer, and minimum odds of 1.25. Models must be within 24 hours; odds collected within 30 minutes and updated within three hours. These thresholds are a policy, not proof of calibration or profit. No guaranteed outcomes.