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KICKOFFEDGE
EVIDENCE OVER TIME

Decision record

Original pre-match decisions, with later revisions kept separately.

ORIGINAL RECORD

Catania v Crotone

Captured 2 Oct 2026 03:34 UK · kickoff 3 Oct 19:30 UK

No qualifying value at this price at capture time. This is a historical record, not a current betting instruction.

Catania to win · 54.9% · stored price 1.53 at Pinnacle

Kickoff Edge model · model opponent-shrink-dc-v3 · policy value-buffer-v2

Odds updated 2 Oct 01:15 UK. Model calculated 2 Oct 03:32 UK.

No selection meets the price and value policy.

Open the match

Prospective results

One fixed cohort: the first qualifying value candidate recorded for each fixture and policy, from the recorder’s launch onwards. Later selections do not replace it. Every captured loss and void stays in the cohort. One virtual unit per candidate, at its original stored price; availability is not guaranteed. This is not a backtest or a record of real bets.

Policy / modelCandidatesWonLostVoidPendingNet unitsROI
value-buffer-v2 / strength-tier-v42026-10-01 to 2026-10-01900090.00—
value-buffer-v2 / xg-blend-v12026-09-29 to 2026-10-011111090.9045.0%
value-buffer-v2 / opponent-shrink-dc-v32026-09-28 to 2026-10-02521070351.7210.1%

ROI uses settled wins and losses only; voids return the unit stake. Pending fixtures remain visible. Results use confirmed regulation-time scores, with corrections appended for 30 days after kickoff. Unresolved postponements remain pending for review. Small samples and model uncertainty limit what any return figure tells us.

Latest captured decisions

Includes no-value decisions and market fallbacks; these are not counted as value bets in the results above.

  1. Sant Andreu v Antequera · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:44 UK
  2. Alcorcon v Juventud Torremolinos · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:44 UK
  3. FC Cartagena v Águilas · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:44 UK
  4. Spennymoor Town v Chester · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:44 UK
  5. Hércules v Real Jaén · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:44 UK
  6. Real Madrid II v Atlético Madrid II · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:44 UK
  7. Eldense v Oviedo · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:44 UK
  8. Rouen v Bourg-en-bresse 01 · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  9. Le Puy Foot v Thionville Lusitanos · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  10. Versailles v Valenciennes · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  11. Canada v Peru · No qualifying value at this price · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  12. SS Monopoli v Savoia · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  13. Giugliano v Barletta · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  14. Mulbarton Wanderers v Gloucester City · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  15. India v Brazil · No qualifying value at this price · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  16. Welling United v Whyteleafe · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  17. Burgess Hill Town v Maldon & Tiptree · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  18. Ramsgate v Carshalton Athletic · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  19. Hyde United v Stockton Town · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  20. Lancaster City v Ilkeston Town · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  21. Bamber Bridge v Quorn · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  22. Redcar Athletic v Alfreton Town · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  23. Rylands v AFC Emley · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  24. Sorrento v Casarano · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:38 UK
  25. Switzerland v Slovenia · No qualifying value at this price · 2 Oct 04:36 UK
  26. FYR Macedonia v Scotland · No qualifying value at this price · 2 Oct 04:36 UK
  27. Almere City FC v FC Volendam · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:36 UK
  28. Den Bosch v Dordrecht · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:36 UK
  29. Unionistas de Salamanca v Cultural Leonesa · No recommendation — prices need checking · 2 Oct 04:36 UK
  30. Sant Andreu v Antequera · No qualifying value at this price · 2 Oct 04:36 UK