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League TwoMatchweek 38THE MATCH CENTRE

Grimsby vs Newport County match centre

Grimsby badgeGrimsbyHome
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Newport County badgeNewport CountyAway
WW
Momentum→ Limited sample100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
G. McEachran64′
Blundell Park · Cleethorpes, North East LincolnshireSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
GrimsbyNewport County
10Corner Kicks1
9Fouls13
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
430Total passes258
294Passes accurate125

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Grimsby 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Newport County 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Grimsby

1/4Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Grimsby’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Newport County

0/4Wins
0.3Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Newport County’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Grimsby at home with Newport County away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League Two · 2024/25 · all league matches

GrimsbyNewport County
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Grimsby at home with Newport County away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Grimsby

Confirmed formation3-1-4-2D. Artell
  1. 1J. WrightG
  2. 5H. RodgersD
  3. 24D. TharmeD
  4. 21T. WarrenD
  5. 20G. McEachranM
  6. 11J. SvanþórssonM
  7. 4K. GreenM
  8. 30E. KhouriM
  9. 33D. HumeM
  10. 32D. RoseF
  11. 14L. BarringtonF
Substitutes (7)

8 · J. Luker

6 · C. Thompson

12 · J. Eastwood

3 · M. Carson

7 · J. Davies

16 · C. Ainley

18 · D. Burns

Newport County

Confirmed formation3-5-2Nélson Jardim
  1. 1N. TownsendG
  2. 26C. EvansD
  3. 5J. ClarkeD
  4. 4M. BakerD
  5. 21M. SpellmanM
  6. 19S. McLoughlinM
  7. 6C. BrennanM
  8. 12J. ThomasM
  9. 3A. GlennonM
  10. 9C. Baker-RichardsonF
  11. 44D. AjiboyeF
Substitutes (7)

8 · J. Martin

14 · K. Whitmore

11 · C. Antwi

32 · J. Warner

10 · O. Greaves

36 · L. Webb

17 · K. Evans

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Grimsby

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jordan Wright907.3—0—371
Harvey Rodgers907.2—0132—
Douglas Tharme907.2—0—62—
Tyrell Warren907.2—01482
George McEachran896.910160—
Jason Daði Svanþórsson907.3—0—341
Kieran Green906.7—03361
Evan Khouri906.9—01301
Denver Hume907.0—0—39—
Danny Rose907.3—0233—
Luca Barrington747.2—03141
Jayden Luker166.3—012—
Curtis Thompson1——0—31
Jake Eastwood———————
Matthew Carson———————
Jordan Davies———————
Callum Ainley———————
Darragh Burns———————

Newport County

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nick Townsend906.9—0—32—
Cameron Evans756.3—0—18—
James Clarke907.0—0—10—
Matthew Baker906.6—0—221
Michael Spellman606.5—0—91
Shane McLoughlin907.2—01322
Ciaran Brennan907.2—0—254
Joe Thomas906.9—0—284
Anthony Driscoll-Glennon906.7—0—282
Courtney Baker-Richardson906.9—0—133
David Ajiboye606.9—01141
Kai Whitmore306.5—0—102
Josh Martin306.6—019—
Cameron Antwi156.5—0—8—
Lewis Webb———————
Jaden Warner———————
Oliver Greaves———————
Kieron Evans———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

League Two table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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