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Portugal vs Denmark match centre

Portugal badgePortugalHome · 1 in league
WWL
Momentum↘ Falling61/100OlderLatest
Full time
5:2
UK time · Europe/London
Denmark badgeDenmarkAway
LDLDW
Momentum↗ Rising39/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Andersen38′ (og)
Cristiano Ronaldo72′
Trincão86′
Trincão91′
Gonçalo Ramos115′
R. Kristensen56′
C. Eriksen76′
Estádio José Alvalade · LisboaSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
PortugalDenmark
11Corner Kicks8
21Fouls19
2Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves7
664Total passes463
571Passes accurate364

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Portugal 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Denmark 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Portugal

2/3Wins
2.7Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Portugal’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Denmark

2/6Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Denmark’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Denmark

6 matches
Oldest newest
Results2 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals3 of 6
Both teams scored3 of 6

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Portugal at home with Denmark away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:25 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

UEFA Nations League · 2024/25 · all league matches

PortugalDenmark
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Portugal at home with Denmark away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Portugal

Confirmed formation4-3-3Roberto Martínez
  1. 1Diogo CostaG
  2. 5Diogo DalotD
  3. 3Rúben DiasD
  4. 14Gonçalo InácioD
  5. 19Nuno MendesD
  6. 8Bruno FernandesM
  7. 23VitinhaM
  8. 10Bernardo SilvaM
  9. 16Francisco ConceiçãoF
  10. 7Cristiano RonaldoF
  11. 17Rafael LeãoF
Substitutes (12)

21 · Diogo Jota

20 · Trincão

2 · Nélson Semedo

9 · Gonçalo Ramos

18 · Rúben Neves

12 · José Sá

13 · Geovany Quenda

22 · Rui Silva

15 · João Neves

6 · João Palhinha

4 · António Silva

11 · João Félix

Denmark

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1B. Riemer
  1. 1K. SchmeichelG
  2. 13R. KristensenD
  3. 2J. AndersenD
  4. 3J. VestergaardD
  5. 7P. DorguD
  6. 15C. NørgaardM
  7. 21M. HjulmandM
  8. 8G. IsaksenM
  9. 10C. EriksenM
  10. 18J. LindstrømM
  11. 9R. HøjlundF
Substitutes (11)

11 · A. Skov Olsen

5 · V. Kristiansen

12 · M. Biereth

23 · V. Froholdt

6 · M. Frendrup

20 · C. Harder

19 · J. Wind

4 · V. Nelsson

22 · F. Jørgensen

16 · M. Hermansen

17 · L. Høgsberg

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Portugal

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Diogo Costa1206.9—0—27—
Diogo Dalot816.5—0—303
Rúben Dias1206.7—0—893
Gonçalo Inácio1207.3—0—803
Nuno Mendes1207.2—1—601
Bruno Fernandes1207.6—03833
Vitinha997.2—01961
Bernardo Silva1206.9—0—623
Francisco Conceição817.0—0—303
Cristiano Ronaldo906.910518—
Rafael Leão626.3—0—16—
Diogo Jota587.2—1121—
Nélson Semedo396.9—0—171
Francisco Trincão398.220213—
Gonçalo Ramos307.310291
Rúben Neves217.3—0—133
José Sá———————
Rui Silva———————
António Silva———————
João Palhinha———————
João Neves———————
Geovany Quenda———————
João Félix———————

Denmark

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kasper Schmeichel1207.6—0—30—
Rasmus Kristensen1207.2101398
Joachim Andersen1206.6—01624
Jannik Vestergaard1206.3—0—645
Patrick Dorgu977.0—11313
Christian Nørgaard836.7—0—333
Morten Hjulmand1206.6—02592
Gustav Isaksen736.5—0—18—
Christian Eriksen837.711226—
Jesper Lindstrøm656.2—0—13—
Rasmus Højlund736.7—0112—
Andreas Skov Olsen556.9—0—201
Victor Kristiansen476.2—0—213
Mika Biereth476.3—0—6—
Morten Frendrup376.5—0—172
Victor Froholdt376.5—0—81
Conrad Harder236.7—0—4—
Mads Hermansen———————
Filip Jørgensen———————
Victor Nelsson———————
Lucas Høgsberg———————
Jonas Wind———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

UEFA Nations League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League A, Group 1. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Portugal6420135814
WWWLD
2Croatia62228808
LWDLD
3Scotland621378-17
LWWWD
4Poland6114916-74
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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