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Estonia vs Israel match centre

Estonia badgeEstoniaHome · 4 in league
LDLLW
Momentum↗ Rising31/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London
Israel badgeIsraelAway · 3 in league
LDWWL
Momentum→ Steady49/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Kait31′
D. Biton39′
D. Biton49′
M. Abu Fani89′ (pen)
A. Le Coq Arena · TallinnSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
EstoniaIsrael
5Corner Kicks5
13Fouls7
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves0
448Total passes414
380Passes accurate339

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Estonia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Israel 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Estonia

2/7Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Estonia’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Israel

2/8Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Israel’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Estonia at home with Israel away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:07 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches

EstoniaIsrael
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Estonia at home with Israel away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Estonia

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1K. HeinG
  2. 18M. Schjonning-LarsenD
  3. 13M. PaskotsiD
  4. 2M. KuuskD
  5. 3J. SalisteD
  6. 6M. SoometsM
  7. 5R. R. SheinM
  8. 9I. Yakovlev
  9. 4M. KaitM
  10. 23V. SinyavskiyM
  11. 21A. TammF
Substitutes (12)

12 · M. Igonen

22 · K. Vallner

7 · R. Saarma

8 · H. Anier

10 · D. Jepihhin

11 · M. Ainsalu

14 · P. Kristal

15 · E. Tougjas

16 · B. Lepistu

17 · M. Miller

19 · T. Tammik

20 · M. Poom

Israel

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ran Ben Shimon
  1. 1D. PeretzG
  2. 2E. DasaD
  3. 5I. NachmiasD
  4. 4R. ShlomoD
  5. 3R. RevivoD
  6. 15E. PeretzM
  7. 16M. Abu FaniM
  8. 20D. BitonM
  9. 11O. GloukhM
  10. 10M. SolomonM
  11. 9D. TurgemanF
Substitutes (12)

18 · O. Glazer

23 · N. Eliasi

6 · O. Gandelman

7 · Y. Shua

8 · D. Peretz

12 · L. Yarin

13 · A. Khalaili

14 · G. Mizrahi

17 · D. Gropper

19 · L. Abada

21 · S. Lemkin

22 · M. Jaber

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Estonia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Karl Hein906.6—0—46—
Michael Schjonning-Larsen907.3—1—491
Maksim Paskotsi906.9—0159—
Märten Kuusk906.7—01612
Joseph Saliste816.3—0—37—
Markus Soomets556.0—0—262
Rocco Robert Shein906.9—01511
Ioan Yakovlev726.7—0—10—
Mattias Käit817.6102373
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy906.3—0—27—
Alex Matthias Tamm726.0—0114—
Patrik Kristal356.9—019—
Robi Saarma186.7—0—5—
Henri Anier186.3—0—7—
Dimitri Jepihhin96.3—0—5—
Mihkel Ainsalu96.3—0—5—
Matvei Igonen———————
Andre Karl Vallner———————
Tanel Tammik———————
Brent Lepistu———————
Erko Tougjas———————
Martin Miller———————
Markus Poom———————

Israel

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniel Peretz906.2—0—34—
Eli Dasa906.7—0—312
Idan Nachmias906.9—0—312
Raz Shlomo907.7—01551
Roy Revivo906.9—0—481
Eliel Peretz676.5—0—223
Mohammad Abu Fani897.9101531
Dan Biton728.7202221
Oscar Gloukh907.5—0250—
Manor Solomon897.6—12392
Dor Turgeman677.3—1215—
Anan Khalaili236.7—013—
Mahmoud Jaber236.9—0—42
Dor Peretz187.2—0—61
Yarin Levi1——0—1—
Liel Abada1——0——1
Omri Glazer———————
Niv Eliasi———————
Guy Mizrahi———————
Denny Gropper———————
Stav Lemkin———————
Omri Gandelman———————
Yarden Shua———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification Europe table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group I. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Norway88003753224
WWWWW
2Italy86022112918
LWWWW
3Israel84041920-112
WLLLW
4Estonia8116821-134
LDLLL
5Moldova8017532-271
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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