Belgium
2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Belgium’s results
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 4THE MATCH CENTREBelgium vs Wales match centre
Full time
4:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Lukaku15′ (pen)
Y. Tielemans19′
J. Doku27′
K. De Bruyne88′
H. Wilson45′ (pen)
S. Thomas51′
B. Johnson69′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
BelgiumWales
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target8
18Total Shots12
46%Ball Possession54%
7Corner Kicks5
13Fouls9
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves0
399Total passes470
350Passes accurate424
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Belgium 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Wales 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Wales
4/7Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Wales’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Belgium
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FYR MacedoniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1UkraineHome · UEFA Nations League3–0UkraineAway · UEFA Nations League1–3IsraelAway · UEFA Nations League0–1ItalyHome · UEFA Nations League0–1FranceHome · UEFA Nations League1–2ItalyAway · UEFA Nations League2–2FranceAway · UEFA Nations League0–2IsraelHome · UEFA Nations League3–1FranceAway · Euro Championship0–1
Wales
7 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 7
Both teams scored4 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LiechtensteinHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–0FYR MacedoniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1KazakhstanHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1IcelandHome · UEFA Nations League4–1TürkiyeAway · UEFA Nations League0–0MontenegroHome · UEFA Nations League1–0IcelandAway · UEFA Nations League2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Belgium at home with Wales away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:33 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches
BelgiumWales
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Belgium at home with Wales away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Belgium
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rudi Garcia
- 13
M. SelsG - 15
T. MeunierD - 2
Z. DebastD - 4
W. FaesD - 5
M. De CuyperD - 6
A. OnanaM - 8
Y. TielemansM - 22
J. DokuM - 7
K. De BruyneM - 11
L. TrossardM - 10
R. LukakuF
Substitutes (12)
1 · M. Vandevoordt
12 · S. Lammens
3 · A. Theate
9 · L. Openda
14 · D. Lukebakio
16 · K. De Winter
17 · C. De Ketelaere
18 · B. Mechele
19 · D. Moreira
20 · H. Vanaken
21 · N. Raskin
23 · A. Saelemaekers
Wales
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Craig Douglas Bellamy
- 1
K. DarlowG - 14
C. RobertsD - 6
J. RodonD - 2
C. MephamD - 4
B. DaviesD - 5
E. AmpaduM - 17
J. JamesM - 11
B. JohnsonM - 8
H. WilsonM - 19
S. ThomasM - 7
D. BrooksF
Substitutes (12)
12 · D. Ward
21 · A. Davies
3 · J. Dasilva
9 · R. Matondo
10 · L. Cullen
13 · K. Moore
15 · R. Kpakio
16 · B. Cabango
18 · M. Harris
20 · L. Koumas
22 · J. Sheehan
23 · N. Broadhead
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Belgium
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matz Sels | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Thomas Meunier | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Zeno Debast | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 1 |
| Wout Faes | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 57 | — |
| Maxim De Cuyper | 45 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 19 | — |
| Amadou Onana | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Youri Tielemans | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 1 |
| Jérémy Doku | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 1 |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 89 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 2 |
| Leandro Trossard | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Romelu Lukaku | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Koni De Winter | 74 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Arthur Theate | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Dodi Lukebakio | 30 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Nicolas Raskin | 15 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Maarten Vandevoordt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Senne Lammens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Mechele | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hans Vanaken | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïs Openda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles De Ketelaere | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wales
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Darlow | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Connor Roberts | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 3 |
| Joe Rodon | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 96 | 1 |
| Chris Mepham | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 85 | 4 |
| Ben Davies | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | 1 |
| Ethan Ampadu | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 5 |
| Jordan James | 63 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Brennan Johnson | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Harry Wilson | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| Sorba Thomas | 89 | 9.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 3 |
| David Brooks | 63 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Liam Cullen | 27 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Mark Harris | 27 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Rabbi Matondo | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Danny Ward | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Davies | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jay Dasilva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronan Kpakio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Cabango | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Koumas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Sheehan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Broadhead | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieffer Moore | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2024/25 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup - Qualification Europe table
Current standings · Group J. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 22 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 16 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  FYR Macedonia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 | LDDWW |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 5 |  Liechtenstein | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 31 | -31 | 0 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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