Finland
1/8Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Finland’s results
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 4THE MATCH CENTREFinland vs Poland match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Pohjanpalo31′ (pen)
B. Kallman64′
J. Kiwior69′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
FinlandPoland
—Expected goals · API-Football—
3Shots on target9
12Total Shots23
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks4
10Fouls10
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
7Goalkeeper Saves1
401Total passes424
322Passes accurate350
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Finland 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Poland 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Poland
3/7Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Poland’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Finland
8 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals3 of 8
Both teams scored3 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NetherlandsHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–2LithuaniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–2MaltaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–0GreeceHome · UEFA Nations League0–2Rep. Of IrelandAway · UEFA Nations League0–1EnglandHome · UEFA Nations League1–3Rep. Of IrelandHome · UEFA Nations League1–2EnglandAway · UEFA Nations League0–2
Poland
7 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals4 of 7
Both teams scored4 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Finland at home with Poland away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches
FinlandPoland
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Finland at home with Poland away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Finland
Confirmed formation3-5-1-1Jacob Friis
- 1
L. HradeckyG - 16
M. PeltolaD - 5
A. HoskonenD - 18
J. UronenD - 8
R. LodM - 14
K. KairinenM - 6
G. KamaraM - 15
M. TenhoM - 11
O. AntmanM - 9
F. JensenF - 20
J. PohjanpaloF
Substitutes (12)
12 · J. Joronen
23 · V. Sinisalo
2 · J. Pikkarainen
3 · V. Tikkanen
4 · R. Ivanov
7 · T. Jyry
10 · T. Pukki
13 · O. Valakari
17 · N. Alho
19 · B. Kallman
21 · A. Suhonen
22 · I. Niskanen
Poland
Confirmed formation3-5-2Jan Urban
- 1
L. SkorupskiG - 16
M. SkrzypczakD - 5
J. BednarekD - 14
J. KiwiorD - 2
M. CashM - 10
S. SzymanskiM - 17
B. SliszM - 8
J. ModerM - 21
N. ZalewskiM - 23
K. PiatekF - 11
K. SwiderskiF
Substitutes (12)
12 · M. Bulka
22 · B. Mrozek
3 · P. Dawidowicz
4 · M. Wieteska
6 · J. Piotrowski
7 · M. Bogusz
9 · A. Buksa
13 · J. Kaminski
15 · S. Walukiewicz
18 · B. Bereszynski
19 · P. Frankowski
20 · M. Oyedele
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Finland
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukáš Hrádecký | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Matti Peltola | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 3 |
| Arttu Hoskonen | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 46 | 1 |
| Jere Uronen | 71 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Robin Lod | 86 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 3 |
| Kaan Kairinen | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | 1 |
| Glen Kamara | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 3 |
| Miro Tenho | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | 1 |
| Oliver Antman | 86 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Fredrik Jensen | 63 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 3 |
| Joel Pohjanpalo | 63 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | — |
| Nikolai Alho | 27 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Benjamin Källman | 27 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Ilmari Niskanen | 19 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Robert Ivanov | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Teemu Pukki | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Jesse Joronen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viljami Sinisalo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juhani Pikkarainen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ville Tikkanen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tommi Jyry | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onni Valakari | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anssi Suhonen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Poland
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łukasz Skorupski | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Mateusz Skrzypczak | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 54 | 1 |
| Jan Bednarek | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Jakub Kiwior | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 61 | 3 |
| Matty Cash | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 29 | 1 |
| Sebastian Szymański | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 4 | 30 | 2 |
| Bartosz Slisz | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| Jakub Moder | 87 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 38 | 2 |
| Nicola Zalewski | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Krzysztof Piątek | 86 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 10 | — |
| Karol Świderski | 58 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Jakub Kamiński | 32 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Adam Buksa | 16 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Jakub Piotrowski | 15 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Marcin Bułka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartosz Mrozek | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paweł Dawidowicz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Wieteska | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Walukiewicz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartosz Bereszyński | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Przemysław Frankowski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxi Oyedele | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Bogusz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2024/25 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup - Qualification Europe table
Current standings · Group G. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 20 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 4 |  Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 5 | LWLDL |
| 5 |  Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 | LLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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