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Azerbaijan vs Ukraine match centre

Azerbaijan badgeAzerbaijanHome · 4 in league
LLDLL
Momentum↓ Low7/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Ukraine badgeUkraineAway · 2 in league
WLLWL
Momentum→ Steady37/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. Mahmudov72′ (pen)
G. Sudakov51′
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium · BakuSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AzerbaijanUkraine
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Azerbaijan 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Ukraine 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Azerbaijan

0/9Wins
0.3Goals / game
2.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Azerbaijan’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Ukraine

4/9Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Ukraine’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Azerbaijan at home with Ukraine away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches

AzerbaijanUkraine
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Azerbaijan at home with Ukraine away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Azerbaijan

Confirmed formation5-4-1Ayxan Abbasov
  1. 1S. MahammadaliyevG
  2. 21Q. AliyevD
  3. 14E. BadalovD
  4. 4B. MustafazadaD
  5. 5A. KrivotsyukD
  6. 3E. CafarquliyevD
  7. 10M. EmreliM
  8. 8E. Mahmudov
  9. 15A. KhaybulaevM
  10. 19R. AhmadzadaM
  11. 9R. DadashovF
Substitutes (12)

12 · A. Bayramov

23 · R. Cafarov

2 · R. Dashdamirov

6 · S. Abdullazada

7 · A. Nuriyev

11 · O. Kokcu

13 · A. Huseynov

16 · C. Nuriyev

17 · T. Bayramov

18 · C. Huseynov

20 · I. Ibrahimli

22 · M. Qurbanly

Ukraine

Confirmed formation4-3-3Serhii Rebrov
  1. 12A. TrubinG
  2. 2Y. KonoplyaD
  3. 13I. ZabarnyiD
  4. 22M. MatviienkoD
  5. 17O. ZinchenkoD
  6. 19A. BondarenkoM
  7. 6I. KaliuzhnyiM
  8. 14O. OcheretkoM
  9. 20O. ZubkovF
  10. 7V. VanatF
  11. 8G. SudakovF
Substitutes (11)

1 · G. Bushchan

23 · D. Riznyk

3 · T. Mykhavko

4 · O. Svatok

5 · V. Bondar

10 · M. Shaparenko

11 · A. Dovbyk

15 · B. Mykhaylichenko

16 · N. Voloshyn

18 · Y. Yarmolyuk

21 · O. Nazarenko

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Azerbaijan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Shahrudin Mahammadaliyev907.7—0—24—
Qismat Aliyev676.3—0—13—
Elvin Badalov906.3—0—181
Bahlul Mustafazada907.2—0—9—
Anton Krivotsyuk907.2—0—182
Elvin Jafarguliyev907.0—0—15—
Mahir Emreli666.3—01132
Emin Makhmudov907.6102293
Abdulakh Khaybulaev786.7—0—243
Rustam Ahmadzada536.3—0—7—
Renat Dadaşov666.5—0—71
Toral Bayramov376.9—0—4—
Anatoliy Nuriyev246.2—0—5—
Musa Qurbanlı246.6—0—6—
Abbas Hüseynov236.9—0—21
Sabuhi Abdullazada126.6—0—6—
Aydin Bayramov———————
Rza Cəfərov———————
Rahman Dashdamirov———————
Jalal Huseynov———————
Ozan Kökçü———————
Ceyhun Nuriyev———————
Ismayil Ibrahimli———————

Ukraine

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Anatoliy Trubin907.2—0—12—
Yukhym Konoplia906.9—0—352
Ilya Zabarnyi906.6—0—79—
Mykola Matviyenko907.2—01109—
Oleksandr Zinchenko846.6—0—711
Artem Bondarenko757.0—0—262
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi617.3—0—346
Oleg Ocheretko757.0—0—295
Oleksandr Zubkov907.6—12271
Vladyslav Vanat616.3—0—10—
Georgiy Sudakov907.210255—
Yehor Yarmolyuk296.7—0—23—
Artem Dovbyk296.6—0110—
Mykola Shaparenko157.0—0115—
Nazar Voloshyn156.6—01101
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko137.0—0—131
Heorhiy Bushchan———————
Dmytro Riznyk———————
Taras Mykhavko———————
Oleksandr Svatok———————
Valeriy Bondar———————
Oleksandr Nazarenko———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification Europe table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group D. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1France65101641216
WWDWW
2Ukraine63121011-110
WLWWD
3Iceland6213131127
LWDLL
4Azerbaijan6015316-131
LLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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