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Albania vs Latvia match centre

Albania badgeAlbaniaHome · 2 in league
LWDDW
Momentum↗ Rising57/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Latvia badgeLatviaAway · 4 in league
WLDDL
Momentum↘ Falling28/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Asllani25′ (pen)
Air Albania Stadium · TiranaSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AlbaniaLatvia
2Corner Kicks4
10Fouls11
0Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
667Total passes396
620Passes accurate351

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Albania 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Latvia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Albania

3/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Albania’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Latvia

1/9Wins
0.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Latvia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Albania at home with Latvia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches

AlbaniaLatvia
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Albania at home with Latvia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Albania

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sylvio Mendes Campos Júnior
  1. 1T. StrakoshaG
  2. 4E. HysajD
  3. 5A. AjetiD
  4. 6B. DjimsitiD
  5. 3M. MitajD
  6. 18J. ShehuM
  7. 8K. AsllaniM
  8. 22A. BrojaM
  9. 14Q. LaciM
  10. 10N. BajramiM
  11. 7R. ManajF
Substitutes (12)

12 · M. Dajsinani

23 · S. Simoni

2 · I. Balliu

9 · J. Asani

11 · A. Pajaziti

13 · N. Aliji

15 · M. Kumbulla

16 · M. Berisha

17 · C. Shpendi

19 · M. Daku

20 · E. Cokaj

21 · A. Hoxha

Latvia

Confirmed formation5-4-1Paolo Nicolato
  1. 1K. ZviedrisG
  2. 13R. JurkovskisD
  3. 21D. MelniksD
  4. 5A. CernomordijsD
  5. 2D. BalodisD
  6. 14A. CiganiksD
  7. 8R. VarslavansM
  8. 15D. ZelenkovsM
  9. 17L. VapneM
  10. 7E. DaskevicsM
  11. 18D. SitsF
Substitutes (12)

12 · F. Orols

23 · R. Matrevics

3 · V. Jagodinskis

4 · R. Veips

6 · K. Penkevics

9 · V. Gutkovskis

10 · B. Melnis

11 · R. Savalnieks

16 · A. Jaunzems

19 · M. Tonisevs

20 · M. Regza

22 · A. Saveljevs

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Albania

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Thomas Strakosha906.9—0—24—
Elseid Hysaj908.2—0—761
Arlind Ajeti907.3—01772
Berat Djimsiti907.2—0194—
Mario Mitaj908.2—0—923
Juljan Shehu907.3—0—902
Kristjan Asllani908.210292—
Armando Broja896.7—0137—
Qazim Laci837.2—02282
Nedim Bajrami676.9—0338—
Rey Manaj837.0—01132
Arber Hoxha236.7—014—
Adrion Pajaziti116.2—0———
Mirlind Daku116.3—0—2—
Marash Kumbulla1——0———
Mario Dajsinani———————
Simon Simoni———————
Iván Balliu———————
Naser Aliji———————
Jasir Asani———————
Medon Berisha———————
Enis Çokaj———————
Cristian Shpendi———————

Latvia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Krišjānis Zviedris906.9—0—15—
Raivis Jurkovskis866.7—01392
Deniss Melniks456.2—0—18—
Antonijs Černomordijs906.9—0250—
Daniels Balodis906.7—01442
Andrejs Cigaņiks907.2—0—344
Renārs Varslavāns906.9—0—304
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs906.9—01571
Lūkass Vapne616.3—0—40—
Eduards Daskevics616.2—0—7—
Dario Sits786.5—014—
Roberts Savaļnieks456.6—0—191
Aleksejs Saveljevs297.0—0—28—
Vladislavs Gutkovskis296.6—023—
Bruno Melnis126.6—0—8—
Marko Regža86.5—0———
Rihards Matrevics———————
Frenks Orols———————
Vitālijs Jagodinskis———————
Roberts Veips———————
Maksims Tonisevs———————
Kristers Penkevics———————
Alvis Jaunzems———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification Europe table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group K. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1England88002202224
WWWWW
2Albania842275214
LWWWD
3Serbia8413910-113
WLWLL
4Latvia8125515-105
LLDLL
5Andorra8017316-131
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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