Morocco
8/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 10 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Morocco’s results
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 2THE MATCH CENTREMorocco vs Mali match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
B. Diaz45′ (pen)
L. Sinayoko64′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MoroccoMali
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target1
15Total Shots5
62%Ball Possession38%
6Corner Kicks0
15Fouls22
1Yellow Cards8
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves4
468Total passes299
398Passes accurate221
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Morocco 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Mali 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Mali
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Mali’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Morocco
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game0.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ComorosHome · Africa Cup of Nations2–0JordanAway · Arab Cup2–2United Arab EmiratesHome · Arab Cup3–0SyriaHome · Arab Cup1–0OmanAway · Arab Cup0–0ComorosHome · Arab Cup3–1UgandaHome · Friendlies4–0MozambiqueHome · Friendlies1–0CongoHome · World Cup - Qualification Africa1–0BahrainHome · Friendlies1–0
Mali
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game0.4
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ZambiaHome · Africa Cup of Nations1–1JordanAway · Friendlies0–0MadagascarHome · World Cup - Qualification Africa4–1ChadAway · World Cup - Qualification Africa2–0GhanaAway · World Cup - Qualification Africa0–1ComorosHome · World Cup - Qualification Africa3–0Congo DRAway · Friendlies0–1Central African RepublicAway · World Cup - Qualification Africa0–0ComorosAway · World Cup - Qualification Africa3–0MauritaniaHome · African Nations Championship - Qualification0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Morocco at home with Mali away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Africa Cup of Nations · 2025/26 · all league matches
MoroccoMali
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Morocco at home with Mali away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Morocco
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Tarik Sektioui
- 1
BonoG - 3
N. MazraouiD - 18
J. El YamiqD - 5
N. AguerdD - 26
A. Salah-EddineD - 4
S. AmrabatM - 10
B. DiazM - 24
N. El AynaouiM - 8
A. OunahiM - 11
I. SaibariM - 20
A. El KaabiF
Substitutes (15)
22 · E. M. Al Harrar
12 · Munir
27 · A. Ait Boudlal
28 · Y. Belammari
15 · M. Chibi
2 · A. Hakimi
25 · A. Masina
23 · B. El Khannouss
14 · O. Targhalline
16 · I. Akhomach
13 · E. Ben Seghir
19 · Y. En Nesyri
17 · A. Ezzalzouli
9 · S. Rahimi
21 · C. Talbi
Mali
Confirmed formationPending
- 16
D. DiarraG - 26
W. CoulibalyD - 5
A. DiabyD - 25
O. CamaraD - 28
N. GassamaD - 20
M. SangareM - 11
L. CoulibalyM - 23
A. DiengM - 8
M. DoumbiaM - 10
Y. BissoumaF - 17
L. SinayokoF
Substitutes (15)
1 · I. Diawara
22 · M. Samassa
3 · A. Dante
13 · F. Doucoure
15 · M. Fofana
12 · M. Camara
27 · G. Diakite
19 · K. Doumbia
4 · A. Haidara
24 · I. Sissoko
14 · M. Camara
21 · G. Diarra
18 · M. Doumbia
7 · D. Nene
9 · E. B. Toure
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Morocco
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bono | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 4 |
| Jawad El Yamiq | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 62 | 1 |
| Nayef Aguerd | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 1 |
| Anass Salah-Eddine | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Sofyan Amrabat | 82 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 52 | — |
| Brahim Díaz | 71 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | — |
| Neil El Aynaoui | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | 3 |
| Azzedine Ounahi | 71 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 53 | — |
| Ismael Saibari | 82 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 17 | 3 |
| Ayoub El Kaabi | 70 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 |
| Youssef En-Nesyri | 20 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 19 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Abdessamad Ezzalzouli | 19 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Eliesse Ben Seghir | 8 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Soufiane Rahimi | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Mehdi Al Harrar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Munir El Kajoui | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Chibi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssef Belammari | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Masina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilias Akhomach | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chemsdine Talbi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oussama Targhalline | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mali
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djigui Diarra | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Woyo Coulibaly | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Abdoulaye Diaby | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Ousmane Camara | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 2 |
| Nathan Gassama | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Mamadou Sangare | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 3 |
| Lassana Coulibaly | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Aliou Dieng | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 3 |
| Mahamadou Doumbia | 89 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 8 |
| Yves Bissouma | 57 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Lassine Sinayoko | 76 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Gaoussou Diarra | 33 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 4 |
| El Bilal Touré | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Kamory Doumbia | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Dorgeles Nene | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Ismael Diawara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Samassa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Fofana | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amadou Dante | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Sissoko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Camara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Camara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fodé Doucouré | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amadou Haidara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Doumbia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gaoussou Diakite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Africa Cup of Nations table
Current standings · Group A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Comoros
ZambiaTHE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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