Northern Ireland
2/8Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Northern Ireland’s results
FriendliesFriendlies 1THE MATCH CENTRENorthern Ireland vs Iceland match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Isaac Price36′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Northern IrelandIceland
—Expected goals · API-Football—
1Shots on target3
13Total Shots10
34%Ball Possession66%
4Corner Kicks7
12Fouls17
0Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
258Total passes520
184Passes accurate455
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Northern Ireland 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Iceland 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Iceland
2/7Wins
1.7Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Iceland’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Northern Ireland
8 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 8
Both teams scored4 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
Iceland
7 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 7
Both teams scored6 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Northern Ireland at home with Iceland away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Friendlies · 2025/26 · all league matches
Northern IrelandIceland
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Northern Ireland at home with Iceland away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Northern Ireland
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1M. O'Neill
- 1
Pierce CharlesG - 20
Brodie SpencerD - 4
Daniel BallardD - 5
Trai HumeD - 2
Conor BradleyM - 19
Shea CharlesM - 6
George SavilleM - 15
Justin DevennyM - 11
Paul SmythF - 14
Isaac PriceF - 21
Ronan HaleF
Substitutes (14)
7 · Ethan Galbraith
3 · Ruairi McConville
24 · Lee Bonis
13 · Bradley Lyons
22 · Terry Devlin
12 · Luke Southwood
23 · Stephen McMullan
25 · Aaron Donnelly
10 · Jamie Donley
18 · Caolan Boyd-Munce
16 · Alistair McCann
8 · Callum Marshall
26 · Dale Taylor
9 · Dion Charles
Iceland
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Å. Hareide
- 12
Hákon Rafn ValdimarssonG - 4
Victor PálssonD - 5
Sverrir Ingi IngasonD - 3
Daníel GrétarssonD - 2
Logi TomassonD - 21
Arnór TraustasonM - 15
Willum Thor WillumssonM - 11
Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonM - 10
Albert GuðmundssonM - 8
Hakon Arnar HaraldssonM - 22
Andri GuðjohnsenF
Substitutes (12)
6 · Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
18 · Mikael Anderson
14 · Þórir Jóhann Helgason
20 · Kristian Hlynsson
9 · Sævar Atli Magnússon
16 · Stefán Teitur Þórðarson
1 · Elías Ólafsson
13 · Anton Ari Einarsson
23 · Hörður Magnússon
19 · Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
24 · Mikael Ellertsson
17 · Aron Gunnarsson
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Northern Ireland
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Charles | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Brodie Spencer | 57 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Daniel Ballard | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | — |
| Trai Hume | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 2 |
| Conor Bradley | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 5 |
| Shea Charles | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 3 |
| George Saville | 68 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Justin Devenny | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 3 |
| Paul Smyth | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Isaac Price | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | — |
| Ronan Hale | 68 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 8 | — |
| Ethan Galbraith | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Ruairi McConville | 22 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Lee Bonis | 22 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Bradley Lyons | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Terry Devlin | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Luke Southwood | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stephen McMullan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Donnelly | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie Donley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caolan Boyd-Munce | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alistair McCann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Marshall | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dale Taylor | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dion Charles | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Iceland
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Victor Pálsson | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 73 | 2 |
| Sverrir Ingi Ingason | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 84 | 2 |
| Daníel Grétarsson | 63 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Logi Tomasson | 86 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 2 |
| Arnór Traustason | 45 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Willum Thor Willumsson | 62 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson | 63 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| Albert Guðmundsson | 73 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Hakon Arnar Haraldsson | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | — |
| Andri Guðjohnsen | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Mikael Anderson | 28 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Þórir Jóhann Helgason | 27 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Kristian Hlynsson | 27 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Sævar Atli Magnússon | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 2 |
| Stefán Teitur Þórðarson | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Elías Ólafsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anton Ari Einarsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hörður Magnússon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dagur Dan Þórhallsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikael Ellertsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aron Gunnarsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Friendlies table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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