Spain
4/4Wins
2.5Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Spain’s results
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 8THE MATCH CENTRESpain vs Bulgaria match centre
Full time
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Merino35′
M. Merino57′
A. Chernev79′ (og)
M. Oyarzabal90′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
SpainBulgaria
2.990Expected goals · API-Football0.400
11Shots on target0
33Total Shots3
78%Ball Possession22%
11Corner Kicks0
7Fouls6
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves8
817Total passes239
757Passes accurate175
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Spain 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Bulgaria 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bulgaria
1/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
2.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Bulgaria’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Spain
4 matchesResults4 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game0.3
Games with 3+ goals3 of 4
Both teams scored1 of 4
Only a few results are available.
Bulgaria
10 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game2.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
TürkiyeHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–6GeorgiaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–3SpainHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–3GreeceAway · Friendlies0–4CyprusHome · Friendlies2–2Rep. Of IrelandAway · UEFA Nations League1–2Rep. Of IrelandHome · UEFA Nations League1–2BelarusHome · UEFA Nations League1–1LuxembourgAway · UEFA Nations League1–0Northern IrelandAway · UEFA Nations League0–5
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Spain at home with Bulgaria away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:22 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches
SpainBulgaria
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Spain at home with Bulgaria away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Spain
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Luis de la Fuente Castillo
- 23
U. SimonG - 12
P. PorroD - 3
R. Le NormandD - 10
A. LaporteD - 17
A. GrimaldoD - 18
M. ZubimendiM - 20
PedriM - 21
M. OyarzabalM - 6
M. MerinoM - 16
A. BaenaM - 19
SamuF
Substitutes (12)
1 · D. Raya
13 · A. Remiro
2 · J. de Frutos
4 · P. Cubarsi
5 · D. Vivian
7 · Y. Pino
8 · A. Garcia
9 · B. Iglesias
11 · J. Rodriguez
14 · M. Llorente
15 · P. Barrios
22 · M. Cucurella
Bulgaria
Confirmed formationPending
- 21
S. VutsovG - 20
M. GeorgievD - 15
P. HristovD - 3
A. ChernevD - 22
D. VelkovskiD - 17
M. MinchevM - 23
S. ShopovM - 4
I. GruevM - 14
F. KrastevM - 10
R. KirilovM - 11
K. DespodovF
Substitutes (12)
1 · D. Mitov
13 · D. Sheytanov
2 · H. Petrov
5 · K. Dimitrov
6 · V. Popov
7 · Z. Dimitrov
8 · A. Kraev
9 · V. Nikolov
12 · R. Bozhinov
16 · M. Petkov
18 · I. Chochev
19 · K. Stoyanov
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Spain
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Pedro Porro | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 72 | — |
| Robin Le Normand | 71 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 78 | 1 |
| Aymeric Laporte | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 128 | 1 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 78 | 1 |
| Martín Zubimendi | 63 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 82 | — |
| Pedri | 68 | 8.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 109 | — |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 48 | 2 |
| Mikel Merino | 90 | 10.0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 46 | 1 |
| Alejandro Baena | 63 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 55 | — |
| Samu Aghehowa | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 7 | — |
| Borja Iglesias | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 10 | — |
| Yéremy Pino | 27 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 |
| Aleix García | 27 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Pablo Barrios | 22 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Daniel Vivian | 19 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Álex Remiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Raya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pau Cubarsí | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge de Frutos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rodriguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bulgaria
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svetoslav Vutsov | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Martin Georgiev | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 2 |
| Petko Hristov | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Atanas Chernev | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Dimitar Velkovski | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Martin Minchev | 67 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 3 |
| Stanislav Shopov | 84 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 2 |
| Ilia Gruev | 89 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Filip Krastev | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Radoslav Kirilov | 67 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Kiril Despodov | 67 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 10 | — |
| Zdravko Dimitrov | 23 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Marin Petkov | 23 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Vladimir Nikolov | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Kristiyan Stoyanov | 10 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Andrian Kraev | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Dimitar Mitov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitar Sheytanov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Popov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristian Dimitrov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rosen Bozhinov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hristiyan Petrov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivajlo Chochev | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2024/25 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup - Qualification Europe table
Current standings · Group E. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Türkiye
GeorgiaTHE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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