Skip to content

Luxembourg vs Germany match centre

Luxembourg badgeLuxembourgHome · 4 in league
DLLLL
Momentum↓ Low5/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Germany badgeGermanyAway · 1 in league
DLWWW
Momentum↗ Rising73/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
N. Woltemade49′
N. Woltemade69′
Stade de Luxembourg · LuxembourgSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
LuxembourgGermany
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Luxembourg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Germany 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Luxembourg

1/10Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Luxembourg’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Germany

4/7Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Germany’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Luxembourg at home with Germany away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches

LuxembourgGermany
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Luxembourg at home with Germany away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Luxembourg

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Jeff Strasser
  1. 1A. MorisG
  2. 18L. JansD
  3. 2S. KoracD
  4. 13D. CarlsonD
  5. 4F. BohnertD
  6. 19M. OlesenM
  7. 15O. ThillM
  8. 8C. MartinsM
  9. 16L. BarreiroM
  10. 7A. DardariM
  11. 10D. SinaniF
Substitutes (12)

12 · T. Pereira Cardoso

23 · L. Fox

3 · A. Embalo

5 · A. Curci

6 · T. de Sousa

9 · K. Avdusinovic

11 · E. Muratovic

14 · E. Veiga

17 · V. Selimovic

20 · E. Dzogovic

21 · S. Thill

22 · M. Martins

Germany

Confirmed formation4-3-3Julian Nagelsmann
  1. 1O. BaumannG
  2. 23R. BakuD
  3. 3W. AntonD
  4. 4J. TahD
  5. 22D. RaumD
  6. 20S. GnabryM
  7. 5A. PavlovicM
  8. 8L. GoretzkaM
  9. 19L. SaneF
  10. 11N. WoltemadeF
  11. 17F. WirtzF
Substitutes (12)

12 · A. Nubel

21 · F. Dahmen

2 · M. Thiaw

6 · J. Kimmich

7 · J. Leweling

9 · A. Ouedraogo

10 · J. Burkardt

13 · F. Nmecha

14 · S. El Mala

15 · N. Schlotterbeck

16 · K. Schade

18 · N. Brown

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Luxembourg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Anthony Moris907.7—0—42—
Laurent Jans906.3—0—21—
Seid Korać907.2—0—445
Dirk Carlson907.2—0—423
Florian Bohnert456.3—0—18—
Mathias Olesen796.2—0—21—
Olivier Thill717.2—0—185
Christopher Martins Pereira796.3—01131
Leandro Barreiro906.9—0—281
Aiman Dardari886.6—0218—
Danel Sinani906.2—0221—
Marvin Martins456.5—0—11—
Tomas de Sousa Moreira196.3—0—3—
Alessio Curci116.5—0—2—
Abdulai Djabi Embalo116.3—0—3—
Sebastien Thill2——0—2—
Tiago Pereira Cardoso———————
Lucas Fox———————
Eric Veiga———————
Vahid Selimović———————
Eldin Džogović———————
Kenan Avdusinović———————
Edvin Muratović———————

Germany

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Oliver Baumann907.2—0—51—
Ridle Baku907.6—11492
Waldemar Anton907.5—01762
Jonathan Tah797.0—0—73—
David Raum907.5—0—552
Serge Gnabry666.9—01261
Aleksandar Pavlović907.2—0—791
Leon Goretzka547.2—0—23—
Leroy Sané797.7—1135—
Nick Woltemade907.920219—
Florian Wirtz908.0—03562
Felix Nmecha367.0—01251
Kevin Schade246.6—0—3—
Malick Thiaw116.7—0—141
Jamie Leweling116.9—0171
Alexander Nübel———————
Finn Dahmen———————
Nico Schlotterbeck———————
Nathaniel Brown———————
Joshua Kimmich———————
Assan Ouédraogo———————
Said El Mala———————
Jonathan Burkardt———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification Europe table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Germany65011631315
WWWWW
2Slovakia640268-212
LWWLW
3Northern Ireland63037619
WLLWL
4Luxembourg6006113-120
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →