Newcastle
0/1Wins
0.0Goals / game
0.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.
Inspect Newcastle’s results
Premier LeagueMatchweek 21THE MATCH CENTRENewcastle vs Leeds match centre
Full time
4:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Barnes36′
Joelinton54′
Bruno Guimaraes90′ (pen)
H. Barnes90′
B. Aaronson32′
D. Calvert-Lewin45′ (pen)
B. Aaronson79′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NewcastleLeeds
2.440Expected goals · API-Football1.890
—Shots on target—
—Total Shots—
—Ball Possession—
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Newcastle 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Leeds 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Leeds
1/2Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.
Inspect Leeds’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Newcastle
1 matchesOldest newest
Results0 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game0.0
Goals conceded per game0.0
Games with 3+ goals0 of 1
Both teams scored0 of 1
Only a few results are available.
See results
Leeds
2 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals1 of 2
Both teams scored1 of 2
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Newcastle at home with Leeds away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:56 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2025/26 · all league matches
NewcastleLeeds
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Newcastle at home with Leeds away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Newcastle
Confirmed formation4-3-3Eddie Howe
- 1
N. PopeG - 67
L. MileyD - 12
M. ThiawD - 5
F. ScharD - 3
L. HallD - 39
Bruno GuimaraesM - 8
S. TonaliM - 7
JoelintonM - 11
H. BarnesF - 27
N. WoltemadeF - 10
A. GordonF
Substitutes (9)
32 · A. Ramsdale
2 · K. Trippier
28 · J. Willock
9 · Y. Wissa
4 · S. Botman
41 · J. Ramsey
23 · J. Murphy
21 · V. Livramento
37 · A. Murphy
Leeds
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Daniel Farke
- 1
Lucas PerriG - 6
J. RodonD - 15
J. BijolD - 5
P. StruijkD - 4
E. AmpaduM - 24
J. JustinM - 18
A. StachM - 44
I. GruevM - 3
G. GudmundssonM - 9
D. Calvert-LewinF - 11
B. AaronsonF
Substitutes (9)
26 · K. Darlow
23 · S. Bornauw
19 · N. Okafor
25 · S. Byram
14 · L. Nmecha
20 · J. Harrison
10 · J. Piroe
22 · A. Tanaka
29 · W. Gnonto
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Newcastle
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Pope | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Lewis Miley | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 67 | 5 |
| Malick Thiaw | 45 | 5.2 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Fabian Schär | 76 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 61 | 1 |
| Lewis Hall | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 71 | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 72 | 3 |
| Sandro Tonali | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Joelinton | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 3 |
| Harvey Barnes | 90 | 8.7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 1 |
| Nick Woltemade | 75 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Anthony Gordon | 81 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Sven Botman | 45 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | — |
| Valentino Livramento | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Yoane Wissa | 15 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 4 | — |
| Jacob Ramsey | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Jacob Murphy | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Aaron Ramsdale | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Trippier | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Murphy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Willock | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Leeds
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Perri | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Joe Rodon | 89 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Jaka Bijol | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Pascal Struijk | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 48 | — |
| Ethan Ampadu | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 4 |
| James Justin | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2 |
| Anton Stach | 80 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 26 | 3 |
| Ilia Gruev | 89 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 2 |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 87 | 7.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Brenden Aaronson | 89 | 9.2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 4 |
| Noah Okafor | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Lukas Nmecha | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Ao Tanaka | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Wilfried Gnonto | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | 1 |
| Karl Darlow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Byram | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Harrison | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joël Piroe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | LDWWD |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | WWDLL |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | DLDLW |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DDWWD |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | WWDDL |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | LLWLW |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | DDLWL |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LWDLL |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WDLLW |
| 12 | Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LLDDL |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | LWDWD |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | DLDWW |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WLDWW |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | DLDLL |
| 20 |  Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | DDLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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