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Premier LeagueMatchweek 28
EnglandTHE MATCH CENTRE

Brighton vs Nottingham Forest match centre

Brighton badgeBrightonHome · 8 in league
DLLLW
Momentum↗ Rising30/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK timeStored 90-minute score.
Nottingham Forest badgeNottingham ForestAway · 16 in league
LDWLL
Momentum↘ Falling26/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Amex Stadium · BrightonSeason 2025/26Back to matches
Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research Odds unavailable 90-minute estimates · prices may change.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

FULL TIME
BrightonNottingham Forest
4Corner Kicks4
12Fouls11
3Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves5
503Total passes421
437Passes accurate361

— means unavailable.

Statistics snapshot: 363594 min old.

BEYOND THE SCORE

The quality of the chances.

See what the scoreline alone can’t tell you.

UNDERSTAT · RECORDED xG
Brighton1.20xG

2 goals +0.80 vs xG

CHANCE QUALITYxGFull-time analysis
Nottingham Forest0.83xG

1 goals +0.17 vs xG

59%Share of total xG · not a win probability41%

Read the performance, then the result. Compare each team’s goals with its xG to see whether the score matched the chances. Explore individual shots below when available.

Every chance has a story.

Bigger circles mean higher-quality chances. Ringed circles are goals.

Brighton Nottingham ForestBoth teams attack →
Nottingham Forest · Omari Hutchinson · 2′ · Saved Shot · 0.02 xGBrighton · Kaoru Mitoma · 3′ · Saved Shot · 0.04 xGBrighton · Diego Gómez · 6′ · Goal · 0.03 xGNottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 13′ · Goal · 0.02 xGBrighton · Danny Welbeck · 15′ · Goal · 0.10 xGBrighton · Kaoru Mitoma · 18′ · Saved Shot · 0.41 xGBrighton · Mats Wieffer · 25′ · Saved Shot · 0.05 xGBrighton · Danny Welbeck · 26′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xGBrighton · Jack Hinshelwood · 35′ · Missed Shots · 0.10 xGBrighton · Jack Hinshelwood · 37′ · Saved Shot · 0.23 xGNottingham Forest · Callum Hudson-Odoi · 42′ · Blocked Shot · 0.03 xGNottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 46′ · Blocked Shot · 0.04 xGBrighton · Danny Welbeck · 48′ · Blocked Shot · 0.12 xGBrighton · Kaoru Mitoma · 49′ · Missed Shots · 0.03 xGBrighton · Pascal Groß · 53′ · Saved Shot · 0.02 xGBrighton · Ferdi Kadioglu · 55′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xGNottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 60′ · Blocked Shot · 0.06 xGNottingham Forest · Ibrahim Sangare · 60′ · Saved Shot · 0.04 xGBrighton · Diego Gómez · 65′ · Blocked Shot · 0.02 xGNottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 65′ · Missed Shots · 0.04 xGNottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 73′ · Saved Shot · 0.05 xGBrighton · Ferdi Kadioglu · 81′ · Missed Shots · 0.02 xGNottingham Forest · Taiwo Awoniyi · 85′ · Missed Shots · 0.34 xGNottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 94′ · Missed Shots · 0.03 xGNottingham Forest · Jair · 94′ · Blocked Shot · 0.06 xGNottingham Forest · Jair · 94′ · Blocked Shot · 0.08 xGNottingham Forest · Dilane Bakwa · 94′ · Blocked Shot · 0.03 xG

27 recorded shots · select or tab to a circle · locations normalised to the same attacking direction

View recorded shots as a table 27 shots
Recorded shots · minute shown as elapsed minute + 1
MinuteTeam / playerOutcomexG
2′Omari HutchinsonNottingham ForestSaved Shot0.02
3′Kaoru MitomaBrightonSaved Shot0.04
6′Diego GómezBrightonGoal0.03
13′Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham ForestGoal0.02
15′Danny WelbeckBrightonGoal0.10
18′Kaoru MitomaBrightonSaved Shot0.41
25′Mats WiefferBrightonSaved Shot0.05
26′Danny WelbeckBrightonMissed Shots0.02
35′Jack HinshelwoodBrightonMissed Shots0.10
37′Jack HinshelwoodBrightonSaved Shot0.23
42′Callum Hudson-OdoiNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.03
46′Igor JesusNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.04
48′Danny WelbeckBrightonBlocked Shot0.12
49′Kaoru MitomaBrightonMissed Shots0.03
53′Pascal GroßBrightonSaved Shot0.02
55′Ferdi KadiogluBrightonMissed Shots0.02
60′Igor JesusNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.06
60′Ibrahim SangareNottingham ForestSaved Shot0.04
65′Diego GómezBrightonBlocked Shot0.02
65′Elliot AndersonNottingham ForestMissed Shots0.04
73′Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham ForestSaved Shot0.05
81′Ferdi KadiogluBrightonMissed Shots0.02
85′Taiwo AwoniyiNottingham ForestMissed Shots0.34
94′Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham ForestMissed Shots0.03
94′JairNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.06
94′JairNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.08
94′Dilane BakwaNottingham ForestBlocked Shot0.03

Verified source record refreshed 22 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC. Post-match data, not a live feed.

How to use expected goals

xG measures chance quality. A shot worth 0.20 xG would be scored about 20 times in 100 comparable attempts. Add the shots together to describe the chances a team created.

Compare the performance with the result. Goals above xG means the team scored more than its chance total; goals below xG means it scored less. It does not prove luck, predict the next result or guarantee a correction.

Keep the context. Penalties, red cards, game state and opponents matter. Use several matches and the home/away filter. xG share is a share of chance quality, not a win probability. Different data providers can calculate different xG values.

CHANCE QUALITY, IN CONTEXT.Understat post-match evidence · separate from Kickoff Edge’s predictions
MODEL OUTLOOK

Match forecast

Model estimate unavailable.

Goals & BTTS

90 minutes

Total goals · 2.5

Over—
Under—

Both teams to score

Yes—
No—

Model estimates unavailable

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · Prev = previous season.

Brighton

Home0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

Nottingham Forest

Away0 listed

Availability report unavailable.

· Ability: EA FC 27 base ratings.

Season overview

Premier League · 2025/26

League season · all league matches

Brighton

27 league matches

34 pts8W10D9L
1.3Goals scored / match0.9
1.3Goals conceded / match1.4
6Clean sheets6
6Failed to score13
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions · previous 365 days.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Starting XIs

Season form /10 · Ability /99 (EA FC 27) · — unavailable.

Brighton

Formation4-2-3-1Fabian Hurzeler
  1. 1B. VerbruggenForm 7.1Ability 81G
  2. 27M. WiefferForm 6.7Ability 79D
  3. 6J. P. van HeckeForm 7.3Ability 81D
  4. 5L. DunkForm 7.0Ability —D
  5. 24F. KadiogluForm 6.8Ability —D
  6. 20J. MilnerForm 6.7Ability —M
  7. 30P. GrossForm 7.1Ability 79M
  8. 25D. GomezForm 6.7Ability —M
  9. 13J. HinshelwoodForm 6.7Ability —M
  10. 22K. MitomaForm 6.8Ability 81M
  11. 18D. WelbeckForm 6.7Ability —F
Substitutes (9)

23 · J. SteeleForm —Ability —

34 · J. VeltmanForm 6.8Ability —

7 · S. MarchForm 6.6Ability —

21 · O. BoscagliForm 7.0Ability —

17 · C. BalebaForm 6.6Ability —

19 · C. KostoulasForm 6.7Ability 73

10 · G. RutterForm 6.6Ability 77

29 · M. De CuyperForm 6.9Ability 78

11 · Y. MintehForm 6.9Ability —

Nottingham Forest

Formation4-2-3-1Vitor Pereira
  1. 26M. SelsForm 6.8Ability —G
  2. 34O. AinaForm 6.9Ability —D
  3. 31N. MilenkovicForm 6.8Ability 80D
  4. 5MurilloForm 7.0Ability 82D
  5. 3N. WilliamsForm 6.9Ability —D
  6. 6I. SangareForm 7.0Ability 78M
  7. 8E. AndersonForm 7.4Ability —M
  8. 21O. HutchinsonForm 6.8Ability —M
  9. 10M. Gibbs-WhiteForm 6.9Ability —M
  10. 7C. Hudson-OdoiForm 6.9Ability —M
  11. 19Igor JesusForm 6.6Ability 77F
Substitutes (9)

18 · A. GunnForm 6.3Ability —

9 · T. AwoniyiForm 6.7Ability —

22 · R. YatesForm 6.7Ability —

29 · D. BakwaForm 6.6Ability 76

25 · L. NetzForm 6.7Ability 73

24 · J. McAteeForm 6.5Ability —

23 · CunhaForm 6.6Ability 75

16 · N. DominguezForm 6.8Ability —

14 · D. NdoyeForm 6.6Ability —

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Brighton

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Bart Verbruggen906.6—0—44—
Mats Wieffer716.3—01302
Jan Paul van Hecke907.6—0—572
Lewis Dunk907.2—0—881
Ferdi Kadıoğlu907.3—02502
James Milner866.7—0—561
Pascal Groß907.9—11602
Diego Gómez867.9101333
Jack Hinshelwood906.3—12272
Kaoru Mitoma896.9—0336—
Danny Welbeck907.2102282
Joël Veltman197.0—0—9—
Solly March116.6—0———
Carlos Baleba116.6—0—4—
Maxim De Cuyper1——0———
Jason Steele———————
Olivier Boscagli———————
Georginio Rutter———————
Yankuba Minteh———————
Charalampos Kostoulas———————

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matz Sels906.9—0—36—
Ola Aina826.2—0—30—
Nikola Milenković906.7—0—502
Murillo906.5—0—662
Neco Williams565.9—0—272
Ibrahim Sangaré906.6—01411
Elliot Anderson906.9—01561
Omari Hutchinson566.2—0115—
Morgan Gibbs-White908.010336—
Callum Hudson-Odoi746.9—0—22—
Igor Jesus836.3—1—25—
Jair346.9—0—211
Luca Netz346.9—0—12—
Dilane Bakwa166.3—0—5—
Dan Ndoye86.6—0—2—
Taiwo Awoniyi146.5—01——
Angus Gunn———————
Nicolás Domínguez———————
Ryan Yates———————
James McAtee———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Premier League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Arsenal38267571274485
WWWWW
2Manchester City38239677354278
LDWWD
3Manchester United382011769501971
WWDWW
4Aston Villa38198115649765
WWDLL
5Liverpool381791263531060
DLDLW
6Bournemouth38131875854457
DDWWD
7Sunderland381412124248-654
WWDDL
8Brighton381411135246653
LLWLW
9Brentford381411135552353
DDLWL
10Chelsea381410145852652
LWDLL
11Fulham38157164751-452
WDLLW
12Newcastle38147175355-249
LWDWL
13Everton381310154750-349
LLDDL
14Leeds381114134956-747
LWDWD
15Crystal Palace381112154151-1045
LDLDL
16Nottingham Forest381111164851-344
DLDWW
17Tottenham381011174857-941
WLDWW
18West Ham38109194665-1939
WLLLW
19Burnley38410243875-3722
DLDLL
20Wolves38311242768-4120
DDLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

Match-winner odds unavailable.

AT A GLANCE

Match details

Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 28
Venue
Amex Stadium
Referee
Andy Madley, England
Kickoff
1 Mar · 14:00 UK
Match data by API-Football
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