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NB IMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRE

MTK Budapest vs Paks match centre

MTK Budapest badgeMTK BudapestHome · 10 in league
DLDDD
Momentum→ Steady27/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Paks badgePaksAway · 3 in league
LLLDD
Momentum↗ Rising16/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Szendrei32′
D. Bode84′
Hidegkuti Nandor Stadium · BudapestSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%MTK Budapest
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Paks
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: MTK Budapest 5.0% · no further goal 91.8% · Paks 3.2%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
MTK BudapestPaks
6Corner Kicks2
15Fouls14
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves6
426Total passes319
334Passes accurate231

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

NB I

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Gyori ETO FC33+3569—
2Ferencvarosi TC33+3668—
3Paks34+1956—
4Debreceni VSC33+1053—
5Zalaegerszegi TE33+648—
6Puskas Academy33046—
7Ujpest33-940—
8Nyiregyhaza33-1040↑ 1
9Kisvarda FC33-1340↓ 1
10MTK Budapest34-938—
11Diosgyori VTK33-2628—
12Kazincbarcikai33-3922—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

MTK Budapest 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Paks 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

MTK Budapest

1/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect MTK Budapest’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Paks

1/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Paks’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare MTK Budapest at home with Paks away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

NB I · 2025/26 · all league matches

MTK BudapestPaks
26Matches played26
28Points earned38
7Wins10
1.8Goals scored / match1.9
2.1Goals conceded / match1.5
5Clean sheets4
4Failed to score5

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares MTK Budapest at home with Paks away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

MTK Budapest

Confirmed formation3-4-3Mate Pinezits
  1. 24T. Fadgyas
  2. 4I. BeriashviliD
  3. 25T. KadarD
  4. 30V. Vitalyos
  5. 26V. ArmalasM
  6. 80A. ZeljkovicM
  7. 6M. Kata
  8. 27P. KovacsM
  9. 8H. NemethF
  10. 11M. JurinaF
  11. 20Z. KerezsiF
Substitutes (12)

29 · J. Balazs

18 · K. Nemeth

17 · R. Polievka

15 · I. A. Szeles

3 · J. Szepe

39 · G. Jurek

21 · I. Atrok

23 · J. Plsek

2 · B. Varju

14 · A. Horvath

7 · A. Molnar

12 · D. Bene

Paks

Confirmed formation3-5-2Gyorgy Bognar
  1. 28M. GyetvanG
  2. 24B. LenzserD
  3. 12G. VasD
  4. 30J. SzaboD
  5. 11Z. BevardiM
  6. 8B. BaloghM
  7. 22J. WindeckerM
  8. 21K. PappM
  9. 20M. ZekeM
  10. 15A. Szendrei
  11. 9J. HahnF
Substitutes (12)

1 · A. Kovacsik

25 · B. Simon

13 · D. Bode

5 · B. Vecsei

29 · B. Toth

6 · O. Tamas

3 · A. Alaxai

26 · M. Szekszardi

19 · K. Horvath

23 · C. Mate

14 · E. Silye

18 · G. Gyurkits

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

MTK Budapest

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Tamás Fadgyas906.0—0—40—
Ilia Beriashvili906.9—0152—
Tamás Kádár456.9—0—251
Viktor Vitályos906.9—0—483
Vilius Armalas757.2—01233
Adrian Zeljković236.6—0—72
Mihály Kata676.9—0—441
Patrik Kovács907.3—01363
Hunor Németh907.2—02461
Marin Jurina906.7—0219—
Zalán Kerezsi676.9—0—17—
Artúr Horváth677.3—01423
Benedek Varju456.9—0—22—
István Átrok236.7—0113—
Ádin Molnár236.5—0—71
Krisztián Németh156.3—015—
József Balázs———————
Imre Széles———————
Domonkos Bene———————
János Szépe———————
Jakub Plšek———————
Gábor Jurek———————
Róbert Polievka———————

Paks

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Márk Gyetván908.7—0—24—
Bence Lenzsér4——0———
Gabor Vas907.2—0—19—
János Szabó907.5—0—411
Zsombor Bévárdi786.6—01281
Balázs Balogh907.2—0—571
József Windecker456.9—0—221
Kristóf Papp907.2—11363
Márió Zeke906.9—0—211
Ákos Szendrei786.910216—
János Hahn626.7—0—7—
Milán Szekszárdi866.3—0—30—
Kevin Horváth456.9—0—193
Barna Tóth287.0—1—7—
Olivér Tamás126.6—0—4—
Dániel Böde127.31026—
Ádám Kovácsik———————
Barnabás Simon———————
Erik Silye———————
Bálint Vécsei———————
Áron Alaxai———————
Csaba Máté———————
Gergő Gyurkits———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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