AZ Alkmaar
1/2Wins
1.5Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect AZ Alkmaar’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 16THE MATCH CENTREAZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
T. Parrott65′
M. Jonathans81′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
AZ AlkmaarExcelsior
1.850Expected goals · API-Football1.120
4Shots on target2
13Total Shots8
60%Ball Possession40%
4Corner Kicks5
8Fouls11
3Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
1Goalkeeper Saves3
621Total passes402
523Passes accurate310
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AZ Alkmaar 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Excelsior 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Excelsior
1/2Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Excelsior’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AZ Alkmaar
2 matchesResults1 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals2 of 2
Both teams scored2 of 2
Only a few results are available.
Excelsior
2 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals2 of 2
Both teams scored2 of 2
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AZ Alkmaar at home with Excelsior away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:07 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
AZ AlkmaarExcelsior
18Matches played18
28Points earned20
8Wins6
1.8Goals scored / match1.0
1.7Goals conceded / match1.9
4Clean sheets3
1Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AZ Alkmaar at home with Excelsior away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AZ Alkmaar
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Leeroy Echteld
- 41
J. ZoetG - 22
E. DijkstraD - 3
W. GoesD - 5
PenetraD - 34
M. de WitD - 6
P. KoopmeinersM - 20
K. BoogaardM - 7
Weslley PatatiM - 26
K. SmitM - 17
I. JensenM - 9
T. ParrottF
Substitutes (12)
15 · M. Chavez Garcia
27 · R. Daal
4 · M. Dekker
19 · J. Hornkamp
2 · S. Maikuma
24 · A. Oufkir
56 · R. Robbemond
11 · I. Sadiq
12 · H. Verhulst
23 · B. van Duijl
33 · M. Sin
31 · D. Deen
Excelsior
Confirmed formation4-4-2Ruben den Uil
- 1
S. van GasselG - 2
I. BronkhorstD - 4
C. WidellD - 3
R. MeissenD - 12
A. ZagreD - 30
D. Sanches FernandesM - 23
I. YegoianM - 14
L. SchoutenM - 7
E. HanssonM - 33
J. BergraafF - 10
N. NaujoksF
Substitutes (11)
16 · C. Raatsie
5 · S. Henderikx
15 · S. Janssen
17 · N. Martens
6 · A. Carlen
20 · L. Hartjes
25 · S. Middendorp
18 · C. Nadje
26 · M. Jonathans
11 · G. de Regt
29 · M. van Duinen
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
AZ Alkmaar
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeroen Zoet | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Elijah Dijkstra | 84 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 3 |
| Wouter Goes | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 117 | 2 |
| Alexandre Penetra | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 99 | — |
| Mees de Wit | 84 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 69 | — |
| Peer Koopmeiners | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 55 | 5 |
| Kasper Boogaard | 76 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 3 |
| Weslley Patati | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 34 | — |
| Kees Smit | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 39 | 1 |
| Isak Steiner Jensen | 63 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 2 |
| Troy Parrott | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | — |
| Ibrahim Sadiq | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Ro-Zangelo Daal | 27 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Mateo Chávez | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 4 |
| Seiya Maikuma | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Jizz Hornkamp | 12 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Daniel Deen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hobie Verhulst | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Billy van Duijl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxim Dekker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matěj Šín | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayoub Oufkir | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rio Robbemond | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Excelsior
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stijn van Gassel | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Ilias Bronkhorst | 78 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 2 |
| Casper Widell | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 1 |
| Rick Meissen | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 2 |
| Arthur Zagre | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 4 |
| Derensili Sanches Fernandes | 78 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Irakli Yegoian | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 2 |
| Lewis Schouten | 84 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 4 |
| Emil Hansson | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Jerolldino Bergraaf | 78 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 15 | — |
| Noah Naujoks | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 2 |
| Gyan de Regt | 26 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Miliano Jonathans | 12 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Nolan Martens | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Mike van Duinen | 12 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Adam Carlén | 12 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Calvin Raatsie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stan Henderikx | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simon Janssen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lennard Hartjes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris-Kévin Nadje | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stijn Middendorp | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Eredivisie table
Current standings · Eredivisie. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 96 | 44 | 52 | 81 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 62 | DWWDD |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 58 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 75 | 52 | 23 | 56 | LDDDW |
| 5 |  Ajax | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 55 | LDWWL |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 51 | DDDWW |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 50 | WWLWL |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 50 | LWWLW |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 45 | WLLDW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 43 | LDLLD |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 38 | LDDDW |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 37 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Excelsior | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 35 | DWWDL |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 34 | WDWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 32 | DLWLD |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 28 | WLLDD |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 34 | 83 | -49 | 19 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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