PEC Zwolle
2/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect PEC Zwolle’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTREPEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
T. Oosting22′
O. Velanas24′
M. Nassoh67′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.1%PEC Zwolle
Draw4.7%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%NAC Breda
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: PEC Zwolle 3.3% · no further goal 91.8% · NAC Breda 4.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.PEC ZwolleNAC Breda
0.820Expected goals · API-Football1.080
2Shots on target5
8Total Shots17
44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks5
18Fouls14
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves0
358Total passes430
265Passes accurate344
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | — |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Ajax | 33 | +21 | 55 | — |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | — |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 33 | +11 | 50 | — |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | +4 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | +3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | -24 | 40 | ↑ 2 |
| 12 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | ↓ 1 |
| 13 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 34 | -24 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | -49 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
PEC Zwolle 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
NAC Breda 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
NAC Breda
2/9Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect NAC Breda’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
PEC Zwolle
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NAC Breda
9 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game2.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 9
Both teams scored4 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare PEC Zwolle at home with NAC Breda away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
PEC ZwolleNAC Breda
27Matches played27
30Points earned23
7Wins5
1.3Goals scored / match1.1
1.9Goals conceded / match1.8
5Clean sheets4
4Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares PEC Zwolle at home with NAC Breda away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
PEC Zwolle
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Henry Van Der Vegt
- 16
T. de GraaffG - 6
T. GooijerD - 5
T. VelthuisD - 4
A. Garcia MacNultyD - 2
S. FloranusD - 30
R. ThomasM - 8
Z. BuurmeesterM - 9
Y. NamliM - 25
T. OostingM - 18
O. VelanasM - 10
K. KostonsF
Substitutes (11)
41 · D. Verduin
48 · L. Bakker
29 · T. Buitink
33 · D. van der Haar
42 · D. Ruward
34 · N. Fichtinger
26 · J. Pereira da Gama
22 · K. de Rooij
3 · O. Aertssen
19 · J. Faberski
20 · G. Reiziger
NAC Breda
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Carl Hoefkens
- 99
D. BielicaG - 3
D. OdoiD - 20
F. JensenD - 22
R. HillenD - 4
B. KemperD - 16
M. BalardM - 8
C. LeemansM - 7
C. BrymM - 11
R. PaulaM - 10
M. NassohM - 19
A. SalamaF
Substitutes (12)
31 · K. Lamprou
1 · R. Kortsmit
24 · A. Ayew
90 · L. Holtby
15 · E. Mahmutovic
14 · K. Sowah
2 · B. Lucassen
32 · J. Talvitie
55 · B. Ghalidi
25 · C. Valerius
21 · J. Candelaria
26 · P. Reulen
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
PEC Zwolle
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom de Graaff | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Tristan Gooijer | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 3 |
| Tijs Velthuis | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Anselmo Garcia McNulty | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 2 |
| Sherel Floranus | 87 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Ryan Thomas | 58 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 4 |
| Zico Buurmeester | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 3 |
| Younes Namli | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 5 |
| Thijs Oosting | 79 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Odysseus Velanas | 58 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 3 |
| Koen Kostons | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Nick Fichtinger | 32 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 2 |
| Kaj de Rooij | 32 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Olivier Aertssen | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Damian van der Haar | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Duke Verduin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Len Bakker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Ruward | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Faberski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Reiziger | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jadiel Pereira da Gama | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Buitink | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NAC Breda
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bielica | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Denis Odoi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 2 |
| Fredrik Jensen | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 80 | — |
| Rio Hillen | 81 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 2 |
| Boy Kemper | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Maximilien Balard | 87 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 1 |
| Clint Leemans | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 53 | — |
| Charles-Andreas Brym | 68 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 |
| Raul Paula | 68 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | — |
| Mohamed Nassoh | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 2 |
| Amine Salama | 68 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Juho Talvitie | 22 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| André Ayew | 22 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Brahim Ghalidi | 22 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Pepijn Reulen | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | — | — |
| Enes Mahmutović | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kostas Lamprou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roy Kortsmit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cherrion Valerius | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Candelaria | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boyd Lucassen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Holtby | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kamal Sowah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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