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League TwoMatchweek 13THE MATCH CENTRE

Accrington ST vs Swindon Town match centre

Accrington ST badgeAccrington STHome · 16 in league
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Full time
4:0
UK time · Europe/London
Swindon Town badgeSwindon TownAway · 9 in league
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Goalscorers
P. Madden8′
P. Madden72′
I. Heath79′
P. Madden90′
The Wham Stadium · AccringtonSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Accrington STSwindon Town
3Corner Kicks5
9Fouls8
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
283Total passes392
190Passes accurate262

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Accrington ST 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Swindon Town 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Accrington ST

0/3Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Accrington ST’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Swindon Town

2/5Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Swindon Town’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Accrington ST at home with Swindon Town away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:39 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League Two · 2025/26 · all league matches

Accrington STSwindon Town
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Accrington ST at home with Swindon Town away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Accrington ST

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1John Doolan
  1. 13O. Wright
  2. 17D. Matthews
  3. 5F. RawsonD
  4. 14B. WardD
  5. 20C. BrownM
  6. 28S. ConneelyM
  7. 6L. CoyleM
  8. 30I. Heath
  9. 11I. SinclairF
  10. 10A. HendersonF
  11. 8P. MaddenF
Substitutes (7)

1 · M. Kelly

3 · F. Sass

4 · C. Grant

16 · J. Bauress

19 · A. Popoola

38 · C. O'Brien

39 · J. Woods

Swindon Town

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ian Scott Holloway
  1. 1C. RipleyG
  2. 22J. Knight-LebelD
  3. 17R. TafazolliD
  4. 8O. ClarkeD
  5. 19J. SnowdonM
  6. 7T. NicholsM
  7. 18G. KilkennyM
  8. 26F. MunroeM
  9. 9P. GlatzelF
  10. 23A. DrinanF
  11. 28O. PalmerF
Substitutes (7)

12 · L. Ward

5 · W. Wright

14 · D. Butterworth

16 · T. Wilson-Brown

20 · P. Ehibhatiomhan

31 · B. Bodin

44 · D. Oldaker

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Accrington ST

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Oliver Wright906.9—0—33—
Devon Matthews907.5—01311
Farrend Rawson637.0—0—71
Benn Ward907.2—0—33—
Charlie Brown566.9—01114
Seamus Conneely847.0—02322
Liam Coyle906.9—0—34—
Isaac Heath908.3114231
Isaac Sinclair906.9—01191
Alex Henderson846.2—1—141
Paddy Madden9010.031420—
Connor O'Brien346.9—0—3—
Freddie Sass276.9—0—10—
Joe Bauress136.6—014—
Conor Grant137.2—1—9—
Michael Kelly———————
Josh Woods———————
Anjola Popoola———————

Swindon Town

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Connor Ripley907.5—0—65—
Jamie Knight-Lebel905.5—01481
Ryan Tafazolli456.7—0—301
Ollie Clarke375.3—0—24—
Joe Snowdon736.9—0—214
Tom Nichols616.9—0—191
Gavin Kilkenny906.9—0—487
Finley Munroe906.0—02381
Paul Glatzel616.3—017—
Aaron Drinan616.5—0—16—
Ollie Palmer907.6—0319—
Thomas Wilson-Brown456.3—0—252
Darren Oldaker295.9—0—13—
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan296.5—0—7—
Daniel Butterworth296.2—0—7—
Billy Bodin176.9—0—51
Lewis Ward———————
Will Wright———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

League Two table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League Two . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bromley462415771462587
WLDLW
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886454186
DWWWD
3Cambridge United462216866333382
DWLDW
4Salford City462561561511081
LDWDW
5Notts County462481474522280
WDWDW
6Chesterfield462116971561579
DLWWD
7Grimsby4622121274502478
DLDWW
8Barnet4621131270531776
WWWWW
9Swindon Town462291570591175
LLDLW
10Oldham4618141460441668
WLLLL
11Crewe461910176458667
DLLLW
12Colchester4618121662491366
WLLWW
13Walsall461811175656065
LLWLL
14Bristol Rovers46195225665-962
DWWWW
15Fleetwood Town461516155758-161
DDDWL
16Accrington ST461411214758-1153
LDDLL
17Gillingham461314195372-1953
WLLLD
18Cheltenham461410225379-2652
LLLWW
19Shrewsbury461310234269-2749
LDDWL
20Newport County46127274877-2943
WWLWL
21Tranmere461011255479-2541
DLWLD
22Crawley Town46816224468-2440
DDDLL
23Harrogate Town46109273968-2939
LWWLL
24Barrow4699284578-3336
LLLWL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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