Exeter City
2/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Exeter City’s results
League OneMatchweek 17THE MATCH CENTREExeter City vs Burton Albion match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Magennis73′
U. Godwin-Malife64′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.7%Exeter City
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.8%Burton Albion
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Exeter City 3.8% · no further goal 92.3% · Burton Albion 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Exeter CityBurton Albion
—Expected goals · API-Football—
3Shots on target4
10Total Shots11
62%Ball Possession38%
10Corner Kicks5
9Fouls9
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
361Total passes229
269Passes accurate150
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
League One: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 46 | +48 | 103 | — |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | +40 | 91 | — |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | +13 | 77 | — |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | +7 | 77 | — |
| 5 |  Bolton | 46 | +18 | 75 | — |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 46 | +3 | 75 | — |
| 7 |  Luton | 46 | +12 | 74 | — |
| 8 |  Plymouth | 46 | +12 | 73 | — |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | +10 | 67 | — |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | +12 | 65 | — |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | +11 | 63 | — |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | +4 | 63 | — |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | -11 | 60 | — |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | -5 | 59 | — |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | -9 | 56 | — |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 47 | -10 | 55 | — |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | -4 | 53 | — |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -21 | 53 | — |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | -12 | 52 | — |
| 21 | Exeter City | 47 | -9 | 50 | — |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | -25 | 42 | — |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | -30 | 41 | — |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | -35 | 35 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Exeter City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Burton Albion 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Burton Albion
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Burton Albion’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Exeter City
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Burton Albion
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Exeter City at home with Burton Albion away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:44 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
Exeter CityBurton Albion
33Matches played34
41Points earned39
11Wins10
1.1Goals scored / match1.1
1.2Goals conceded / match1.5
11Clean sheets9
11Failed to score13
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Exeter City at home with Burton Albion away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Exeter City
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Dan Green
- 1
J. WhitworthG - 26
P. SweeneyD - 20
L. WoodhouseD - 2
J. McMillanD - 14
I. NiskanenM - 10
J. AitchisonM - 6
E. BrierleyM - 34
L. OakesM - 7
C. MendesF - 28
T. Tuterov - 9
J. WarehamF
Substitutes (7)
23 · J. Bycroft
29 · K. McDonald
27 · J. Magennis
19 · S. Cox
17 · A. Higgins
45 · C. Cummins
33 · T. Dean
Burton Albion
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Gary Bowyer
- 24
B. CollinsG - 2
U. Godwin-MalifeD - 18
J. MoonD - 16
A. HartridgeD - 15
K. LofthouseM - 12
G. EvansM - 4
K. ChaukeM - 6
T. SibbickM - 41
S. KruballyF - 9
J. BeesleyF - 10
T. ShadeF
Substitutes (7)
27 · K. Dudek
22 · J. Larsson
7 · J. J. McKiernan
29 · K. Adom
28 · M. Matthews Lewis
11 · F. Tavares
20 · J. Sraha
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Exeter City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Whitworth | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Pierce Sweeney | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 78 | 2 |
| Luca Woodhouse | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 68 | 2 |
| Jack McMillan | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Ilmari Niskanen | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 5 |
| Jack Aitchison | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Ethan Brierley | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 2 |
| Liam Oakes | 71 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Carlos Mendes Gomes | 61 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | — |
| Timur Tutierov | 83 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Jayden Wareham | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Akeel Higgins | 29 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 10 | — |
| Josh Magennis | 19 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Kevin McDonald | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Jack Bycroft | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Dean | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charlie Cummins | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sonny Cox | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Burton Albion
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Collins | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Udoka Godwin-Malife | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Jasper Moon | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Alex Hartridge | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Kyran Lofthouse | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| George Evans | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 2 |
| Kgagelo Chauke | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Toby Sibbick | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 2 |
| Sulyman Krubally | 70 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Jake Beesley | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 |
| Tyrese Shade | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 22 | — |
| John Joshua Mckiernan | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Kamil Dudek | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jason Sraha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kain Adom | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fábio Tavares | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Larsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Millar Matthews-Lewis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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