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League OneMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTRE

Northampton vs Reading match centre

Northampton badgeNorthamptonHome · 24 in league
DWLLL
Momentum↘ Falling22/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Reading badgeReadingAway · 12 in league
WDLDD
Momentum→ Steady37/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Marriott55′
W. Keane58′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
NorthamptonReading
9Corner Kicks3
5Fouls12
2Yellow Cards3
Red Cards
3Goalkeeper Saves6
291Total passes433
209Passes accurate332

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Northampton 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Reading 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Northampton

0/4Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Northampton’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Reading

1/5Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Reading’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Northampton at home with Reading away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:50 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

NorthamptonReading
27Matches played27
29Points earned37
8Wins9
0.9Goals scored / match1.3
1.3Goals conceded / match1.3
9Clean sheets6
11Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Northampton at home with Reading away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Northampton

Confirmed formation3-4-3Kevin Nolan
  1. 34R. FitzsimonsG
  2. 3C. McCarthyD
  3. 5J. GuthrieD
  4. 21J. PerkinsD
  5. 7S. HoskinsM
  6. 23T. TaylorM
  7. 4D. CampbellM
  8. 12N. Guinness-WalkerM
  9. 10E. ListF
  10. 9T. EavesF
  11. 11K. SwyerF
Substitutes (7)

1 · L. Burge

35 · M. Dyche

15 · O. Evans

17 · M. Jacobs

8 · C. McGeehan

24 · E. Moore

27 · J. Vale

Reading

Confirmed formation4-4-2Leam Richardson
  1. 1J. PereiraG
  2. 24R. NyambeD
  3. 15P. O'ConnorD
  4. 3J. R. Dorsett A.D
  5. 5H. RobertsD
  6. 32P. LaneM
  7. 10L. WingM
  8. 8C. SavageM
  9. 29K. DoyleM
  10. 7J. MarriottF
  11. 27W. KeaneF
Substitutes (7)

12 · F. Burns

9 · K. Ehibhatiomhan

6 · L. Fraser

17 · A. Yiadom

30 · M. Ritchie

25 · J. Stevens

14 · B. Ward

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Northampton

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ross Fitzsimons906.0—0—26—
Conor McCarthy636.3—0122—
Jon Guthrie376.7—0—7—
Jack Perkins636.2—018—
Sam Hoskins907.2—02291
Terry Taylor906.9—0—352
Dean Campbell908.3—0—44—
Nesta Guinness-Walker907.6—0—314
Elliott List786.9—039—
Tom Eaves905.9—029—
Kamarai Swyer787.0—0—172
Elliott Moore535.6—0—23—
Max Dyche277.2—0—201
Cameron McGeehan276.3—0152
Jake Evans126.3—0———
Jack Vale126.9—0—81
Lee Burge———————
Michael Jacobs———————

Reading

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Joel Pereira908.2—0—39—
Ryan Nyambe896.3—0—401
Paudie O’Connor908.3—0—74—
Jeriel Dorsett907.6—0—671
Haydon Roberts906.9—01351
Paddy Lane756.2—0—17—
Lewis Wing908.0—2—50—
Charlie Savage626.7—0—241
Kami Doyle756.9—01272
Jack Marriott907.91038—
Will Keane897.710122—
Liam Fraser287.2—0—161
Matt Ritchie156.7—0—6—
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan156.2—0—3—
Finley Burns106.7—0—3—
Andy Yiadom106.3—0—2—
Jack Stevens———————
Benn Ward———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

League One table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League One: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Lincoln4631105894148103
WWWDW
2Cardiff462710990504091
LWWWD
3Stockport County4622111371581377
WLWLD
4Bradford462211135851777
WDDDL
5Bolton461918970521875
LDDWL
6Stevenage462112134946375
WDWDL
7Luton4621111468561274
WWWDW
8Plymouth462271775631273
WWDWD
9Huddersfield4618131574641067
WLDDD
10Mansfield Town4616171362501265
WDWWD
11Wycombe4617121769581163
WLLDL
12Reading461615156460463
LDLLL
13Blackpool46179205465-1160
WWWWL
14Doncaster46179205069-1960
WDLWW
15Barnsley461514176873-559
LWLLD
16Wigan461414184958-956
LLDWW
17Burton Albion461315185060-1054
DDDWD
18Peterborough46158236468-453
LDLDL
19AFC Wimbledon46158235172-2153
LWLLL
20Leyton Orient461410225971-1252
DLLDL
21Exeter City461213215261-949
LDDDW
22Port Vale461012243661-2542
LWLLD
23Rotherham461011254171-3041
LDLWL
24Northampton4698293974-3535
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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