Plymouth
5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Plymouth’s results
League OneMatchweek 36THE MATCH CENTREPlymouth vs Doncaster match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Pepple45+3′
H. Kane74′
E. Lee22′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.1%Plymouth
Draw3.8%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Doncaster
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Plymouth 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Doncaster 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.PlymouthDoncaster
2.660Expected goals · API-Football1.150
6Shots on target2
12Total Shots15
44%Ball Possession56%
1Corner Kicks2
16Fouls13
5Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
259Total passes330
151Passes accurate213
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
League One: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 46 | +48 | 103 | — |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | +40 | 91 | — |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | +13 | 77 | — |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | +7 | 77 | — |
| 5 | Plymouth | 47 | +13 | 76 | ↑ 3 |
| 6 |  Bolton | 46 | +18 | 75 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  Stevenage | 46 | +3 | 75 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  Luton | 46 | +12 | 74 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | +10 | 67 | — |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | +12 | 65 | — |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | +11 | 63 | — |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | +4 | 63 | — |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | -11 | 60 | — |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 47 | -20 | 60 | — |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | -5 | 59 | — |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | -9 | 56 | — |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 46 | -10 | 54 | — |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | -4 | 53 | — |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -21 | 53 | — |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | -12 | 52 | — |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 46 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | -25 | 42 | — |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | -30 | 41 | — |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | -35 | 35 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Plymouth 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Doncaster 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Doncaster
4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Doncaster’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Plymouth
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Doncaster
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Stockport CountyHome · EFL Trophy0–1CardiffHome · League One0–4RotherhamAway · League One2–1HuddersfieldHome · League One1–0HuddersfieldAway · EFL Trophy1–1WycombeAway · League One0–4BradfordAway · League One0–1Leyton OrientHome · League One3–0WiganHome · League One3–3AFC WimbledonAway · League One1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Plymouth at home with Doncaster away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:02 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
PlymouthDoncaster
34Matches played33
46Points earned39
14Wins11
1.5Goals scored / match1.1
1.5Goals conceded / match1.7
9Clean sheets7
9Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Plymouth at home with Doncaster away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Plymouth
Confirmed formation4-4-2Tom Cleverley
- 21
L. Ashby-HammondG - 45
W. HardingD - 2
M. RossD - 15
A. MitchellD - 3
J. MacKenzieD - 28
R. CurtisM - 8
J. EdwardsM - 19
M. BoatengM - 29
M. SorinolaM - 27
A. PeppleF - 17
C. WattsF
Substitutes (7)
13 · Z. Baker
35 · O. Dale
40 · J. Mwaro
7 · J. Paterson
20 · H. Kane
10 · X. Amaechi
18 · O. Oseni
Doncaster
Confirmed formation3-5-2Grant McCann
- 1
Z. ClarkG - 12
N. ByrneD - 5
M. PearsonD - 6
J. McGrathD - 7
L. MolyneuxM - 4
O. BaileyM - 22
R. GottsM - 15
H. CliftonM - 23
J. SeniorM - 9
B. HanlanF - 18
E. LeeF
Substitutes (7)
29 · T. Lo-Tutala
11 · J. Gibson
14 · B. Sharp
47 · H. Adelakun
33 · B. Close
2 · J. Sterry
17 · G. Middleton
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Plymouth
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Ashby-Hammond | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Wes Harding | 66 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Mathias Ross | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 |
| Alex Mitchell | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 3 |
| Jack Mackenzie | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 5 |
| Ronan Curtis | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| Joe Edwards | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Malachi Boateng | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 2 |
| Matthew Sorinola | 66 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Aribim Pepple | 89 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | — |
| Caleb Watts | 74 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 2 |
| Owen Dale | 24 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Herbie Kane | 24 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Jamie Paterson | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Owen Oseni | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Zak Baker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Mwaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xavier Amaechi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Doncaster
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander Clark | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Neill Byrne | 79 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Matthew Pearson | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 2 |
| Jay McGrath | 79 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Luke Molyneux | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 2 |
| Owen Bailey | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 20 | 2 |
| Robbie Gotts | 80 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Harry Clifton | 66 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 |
| Jack Senior | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 2 |
| Brandon Hanlan | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 2 |
| Elliot Lee | 80 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | — |
| Ben Close | 24 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Jamie Sterry | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Glenn Middleton | 11 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Jordan Gibson | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Billy Sharp | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Thimothee Lo-Tutala | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hakeeb Adelakun | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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