Stevenage
5/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Stevenage’s results
League OneMatchweek 37THE MATCH CENTREStevenage vs AFC Wimbledon match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Reid10′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.2%Stevenage
Draw3.7%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%AFC Wimbledon
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Stevenage 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · AFC Wimbledon 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.StevenageAFC Wimbledon
1.470Expected goals · API-Football0.520
4Shots on target1
9Total Shots7
37%Ball Possession63%
1Corner Kicks6
11Fouls10
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves3
221Total passes368
127Passes accurate258
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
League One: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 46 | +48 | 103 | — |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | +40 | 91 | — |
| 3 | Stevenage | 47 | +4 | 78 | ↑ 3 |
| 4 |  Stockport County | 46 | +13 | 77 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  Bradford | 46 | +7 | 77 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Bolton | 46 | +18 | 75 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  Luton | 46 | +12 | 74 | — |
| 8 |  Plymouth | 46 | +12 | 73 | — |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | +10 | 67 | — |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | +12 | 65 | — |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | +11 | 63 | — |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | +4 | 63 | — |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | -11 | 60 | — |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | -5 | 59 | — |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | -9 | 56 | — |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 46 | -10 | 54 | — |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | -4 | 53 | — |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 47 | -22 | 53 | — |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | -12 | 52 | — |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 46 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | -25 | 42 | — |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | -30 | 41 | — |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | -35 | 35 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Stevenage 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
AFC Wimbledon 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
AFC Wimbledon
4/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect AFC Wimbledon’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Stevenage
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Leyton OrientHome · League One1–2Burton AlbionAway · League One1–0Stockport CountyHome · League One2–1WycombeAway · League One1–3Port ValeHome · League One2–1HuddersfieldHome · League One1–0NorthamptonAway · League One1–3BarnsleyAway · League One1–3PeterboroughHome · League One1–0Mansfield TownHome · League One1–1
AFC Wimbledon
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Stevenage at home with AFC Wimbledon away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:04 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
StevenageAFC Wimbledon
35Matches played35
54Points earned49
15Wins14
1.1Goals scored / match1.3
1.0Goals conceded / match1.4
12Clean sheets7
9Failed to score12
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Stevenage at home with AFC Wimbledon away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Stevenage
Confirmed formationPending
- 1
F. MarschallG - 15
C. GoodeD - 5
C. PiergianniD - 16
L. FreestoneD - 2
L. James-WildinM - 4
J. HoughtonM - 18
H. WhiteM - 44
P. PattersonM - 10
D. KempF - 25
M. PhillipsF - 19
J. ReidF
Substitutes (7)
13 · T. Ashby-Hammond
6 · D. Sweeney
30 · B. Lubala
17 · J. Pattenden
11 · J. Roberts
23 · L. Thompson
40 · L. Brown
AFC Wimbledon
Confirmed formation5-3-2Johnnie Jackson
- 20
J. McDonnellG - 2
N. AsiimweD - 33
I. OgundereD - 31
J. LewisD - 6
R. JohnsonD - 3
S. SeddonD - 8
C. MaycockM - 12
A. SmithM - 21
M. HippolyteM - 14
M. StevensF - 11
M. BrowneF
Substitutes (7)
1 · N. Bishop
4 · J. Reeves
16 · A. Hackford
30 · R. Nkeng
15 · P. Bauer
9 · O. Bugiel
37 · Z. Nelson
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Stevenage
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Marschall | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Charlie Goode | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Carl Piergianni | 90 | 8.5 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 4 |
| Lewis Freestone | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Luther James-Wildin | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Jordan Houghton | 78 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Harvey White | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Phoenix Patterson | 78 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 |
| Daniel Kemp | 86 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| Matt Phillips | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Jamie Reid | 78 | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | — |
| Jasper Pattenden | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Louis Thompson | 12 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Jordan Roberts | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Beryly Lubala | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 2 |
| Dan Sweeney | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Taye Ashby-Hammond | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lenny Brown | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AFC Wimbledon
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe McDonnell | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Nathan Asiimwe | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 2 |
| Isaac Ogundere | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 5 |
| Joe Lewis | 77 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 4 |
| Ryan Johnson | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 59 | 3 |
| Steve Seddon | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 3 |
| Callum Maycock | 65 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Alistair Smith | 65 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 4 |
| Myles Hippolyte | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 27 | 5 |
| Mathew Stevens | 65 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Marcus Browne | 77 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Zack Nelson | 25 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Jake Reeves | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Omar Bugiel | 25 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Junior Nkeng | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Antwoine Hackford | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Nathan Bishop | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Bauer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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