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Ligue 1Matchweek 24THE MATCH CENTRE

Paris FC vs Nice match centre

Paris FC badgeParis FCHome · 11 in league
DLDLD
Momentum↓ Low20/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Nice badgeNiceAway · 16 in league
DWDLD
Momentum↘ Falling37/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Munetsi26′
Stade Jean Bouin · ParisSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.3%Paris FC
Draw3.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Nice
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Paris FC 4.3% · no further goal 91.9% · Nice 3.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Paris FCNice
8Corner Kicks4
7Fouls7
4Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves5
337Total passes497
259Passes accurate424

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Ligue 1

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Paris Saint Germain34+4576—
2Lens34+3170—
3Lille34+1561—
4Lyon34+1360—
5Marseille34+1859—
6Rennes34+959—
7Monaco34+654—
8Strasbourg34+1153—
9Paris FC35-247↑ 2
10Lorient34-345↓ 1
11Toulouse33+144↓ 1
12Stade Brestois 2934-1239—
13Angers34-1936—
14Le Havre34-1235—
15Auxerre34-1034—
16Nice35-2432—
17Nantes33-2323—
18Metz34-4417—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Paris FC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Nice 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Paris FC

1/8Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Paris FC’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Nice

4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Nice’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Paris FC at home with Nice away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:23 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

Paris FCNice
23Matches played23
23Points earned24
5Wins6
1.2Goals scored / match1.3
1.7Goals conceded / match1.9
5Clean sheets3
7Failed to score6

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Paris FC at home with Nice away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Paris FC

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Antoine Kombouare
  1. 35K. TrappG
  2. 17A. CamaraD
  3. 42D. CoppolaD
  4. 5M. MbowD
  5. 28T. De SmetD
  6. 33P. Lees-MelouM
  7. 18M. MunetsiM
  8. 93J. IkoneM
  9. 10I. KebbalM
  10. 27M. SimonM
  11. 36C. ImmobileF
Substitutes (9)

16 · O. Nkambadio

2 · T. Ollila

19 · N. Sangui

4 · V. Marchetti

7 · A. Gory

11 · J. Krasso

6 · Otavio

24 · L. Koleosho

23 · R. Matondo

Nice

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Claude Puel
  1. 31M. DupeG
  2. 92J. ClaussD
  3. 28J. BahD
  4. 37K. PeprahD
  5. 26M. BardD
  6. 8M. SansonM
  7. 24C. VanhoutteM
  8. 25M. ChoM
  9. 10S. DiopM
  10. 20T. LouchetM
  11. 90KevinF
Substitutes (9)

80 · Y. Diouf

4 · Dante

22 · T. Ndombele

33 · A. Mendy

32 · K. Boudache

41 · E. Pereira

47 · T. Gouveia

99 · S. Abdul Samed

23 · G. Bernardeau

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Paris FC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kevin Trapp907.9—0—41—
Adama Camara906.9—01282
Diego Coppola907.5—0—382
Moustapha Mbow907.3—0—341
Thibault De Smet907.0—0—342
Pierre Lees Melou907.9—04336
Marshall Munetsi897.3101251
Jonathan Ikoné806.7—0—261
Ilan Kebbal696.9—01302
Moses Simon807.0—02171
Ciro Immobile706.0—0112—
Rudy Matondo216.6—0—10—
Jean-Philippe Krasso206.6—0212—
Nhoa Sangui106.6—0—5—
Alimami Gory106.7—0—2—
Vincent Marchetti1——0———
Obed Nkambadio———————
Tuomas Ollila———————
Otávio———————
Luca Koleosho———————

Nice

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Maxime Dupé907.9—0—21—
Jonathan Clauss907.0—02515
Abdulay Juma Bah907.2—0—692
Kojo Peprah Oppong907.3—01804
Melvin Bard906.7—01561
Morgan Sanson906.9—0—471
Charles Vanhoutte887.0—0—741
Mohamed-Ali Cho906.0—0127—
Sofiane Diop676.7—0—261
Tom Louchet676.0—0121—
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi456.3—0—11—
Kaïl Boudache456.2—0—181
Gabin Bernardeau236.3—0111—
Tiago Gouveia236.9—0—5—
Tanguy Ndombélé96.5—0—3—
Yehvann Diouf———————
Antoine Mendy———————
Dante———————
Everton Pereira———————
Salis Abdul Samed———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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