Nice
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Nice’s results
Ligue 1Matchweek 25THE MATCH CENTRENice vs Rennes match centre
90′ · Live
0:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
E. Lepaul13′
S. Szymanski20′
L. Blas74′
N. Mukiele90+2′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Nice
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Rennes
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Nice 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Rennes 4.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.NiceRennes
2.150Expected goals · API-Football1.660
2Shots on target6
10Total Shots12
40%Ball Possession60%
5Corner Kicks1
9Fouls8
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
383Total passes608
296Passes accurate522
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Ligue 1 Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | +45 | 76 | — |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | +31 | 70 | — |
| 3 |  Rennes | 35 | +13 | 62 | ↑ 3 |
| 4 |  Lille | 34 | +15 | 61 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 34 | +13 | 60 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 34 | +18 | 59 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | +6 | 54 | — |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | +11 | 53 | — |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | -3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | +1 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | -3 | 44 | — |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | -19 | 36 | — |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | -12 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 16 | Nice | 35 | -27 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | -23 | 23 | — |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | -44 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nice 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Rennes 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Rennes
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Rennes’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nice
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Rennes
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nice at home with Rennes away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
NiceRennes
24Matches played24
24Points earned40
6Wins11
1.3Goals scored / match1.6
1.9Goals conceded / match1.5
3Clean sheets7
7Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nice at home with Rennes away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nice
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Claude Puel
- 80
Y. DioufG - 92
J. ClaussD - 28
J. BahD - 37
K. PeprahD - 26
M. BardD - 6
H. BoudaouiM - 24
C. VanhoutteM - 25
M. ChoM - 8
M. SansonM - 20
T. LouchetM - 10
S. DiopF
Substitutes (9)
31 · M. Dupe
4 · Dante
33 · A. Mendy
32 · K. Boudache
47 · T. Gouveia
90 · Kevin
55 · Y. Ndayishimiye
99 · S. Abdul Samed
23 · G. Bernardeau
Rennes
Confirmed formation4-3-3Franck Haise
- 30
B. SambaG - 18
M. NagidaD - 24
A. RouaultD - 3
L. BrassierD - 26
Q. MerlinD - 17
S. SzymanskiM - 21
V. RongierM - 45
M. CamaraM - 11
M. TamariF - 9
E. LepaulF - 70
A. NordinF
Substitutes (9)
50 · M. Silistrie
10 · L. Blas
36 · A. Seidu
48 · A. Ait Boudlal
77 · Y. Zabiri
4 · G. Kamara
7 · B. Embolo
65 · N. Mukiele
6 · D. Cisse
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Nice
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yehvann Diouf | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Jonathan Clauss | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | 1 |
| Abdulay Juma Bah | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 61 | 3 |
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Melvin Bard | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 4 |
| Hicham Boudaoui | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Charles Vanhoutte | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 2 |
| Mohamed-Ali Cho | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Morgan Sanson | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Tom Louchet | 80 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Sofiane Diop | 70 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Dante | 72 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 49 | — |
| Kevin Carlos Omoruyi | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Kaïl Boudache | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Tiago Gouveia | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Antoine Mendy | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Maxime Dupé | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssouf Ndayishimiye | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salis Abdul Samed | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabin Bernardeau | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rennes
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Samba | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 47 | — |
| Mahamadou Nagida | 88 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 62 | 3 |
| Anthony Rouault | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 91 | 1 |
| Lilian Brassier | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 1 |
| Quentin Merlin | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 3 |
| Sebastian Szymański | 45 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | — |
| Valentin Rongier | 90 | 8.7 | — | 2 | 1 | 88 | 3 |
| Mahdi Camara | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 1 |
| Mousa Tamari | 70 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | — |
| Esteban Lepaul | 70 | 6.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | — |
| Arnaud Nordin | 70 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 26 | 3 |
| Djaoui Cissé | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Nordan Mukiele | 20 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Ludovic Blas | 20 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Breel Embolo | 20 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 11 | — |
| Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal | 8 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Mathys Silistrie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alidu Seidu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Glen Kamara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yassir Zabiri | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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