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Ligue 1Matchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRE

Rennes vs Metz match centre

Rennes badgeRennesHome · 6 in league
WWWWL
Momentum↘ Falling74/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Metz badgeMetzAway · 18 in league
LLLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
Roazhon Park · RennesSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.6%Rennes
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate2.9%Metz
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Rennes 4.7% · no further goal 92.3% · Metz 3.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
RennesMetz
8Corner Kicks2
13Fouls11
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves8
574Total passes277
510Passes accurate200

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Ligue 1

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Paris Saint Germain34+4576—
2Lens34+3170—
3Lille34+1561—
4Lyon34+1360—
5Rennes35+960↑ 1
6Marseille34+1859↓ 1
7Monaco34+654—
8Strasbourg34+1153—
9Lorient34-345—
10Toulouse33+144—
11Paris FC34-344—
12Stade Brestois 2934-1239—
13Angers34-1936—
14Le Havre34-1235—
15Auxerre34-1034—
16Nice34-2332—
17Nantes33-2323—
18Metz35-4418—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Rennes 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Metz 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Rennes

4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Rennes’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Metz

1/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 8 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Metz’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rennes at home with Metz away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:20 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

RennesMetz
26Matches played26
43Points earned13
12Wins3
1.7Goals scored / match1.0
1.5Goals conceded / match2.3
8Clean sheets4
5Failed to score11

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rennes at home with Metz away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Rennes

Confirmed formation4-3-3Franck Haise
  1. 30B. SambaG
  2. 95P. FrankowskiD
  3. 24A. RouaultD
  4. 3L. BrassierD
  5. 26Q. MerlinD
  6. 17S. SzymanskiM
  7. 21V. RongierM
  8. 45M. CamaraM
  9. 10L. BlasF
  10. 9E. LepaulF
  11. 70A. NordinF
Substitutes (9)

50 · M. Silistrie

36 · A. Seidu

48 · A. Ait Boudlal

77 · Y. Zabiri

4 · G. Kamara

7 · B. Embolo

11 · M. Tamari

6 · D. Cisse

18 · M. Nagida

Metz

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Benoit Tavenot
  1. 61P. SyG
  2. 39K. KouaoD
  3. 38S. SaneD
  4. 15T. YegbeD
  5. 2M. ColinD
  6. 5J. GbaminM
  7. 12A. ToureM
  8. 70B. SarrM
  9. 20J. DeminguetM
  10. 7G. TsitaishviliM
  11. 30H. DialloF
Substitutes (9)

40 · O. Ba

1 · J. Fischer

11 · G. Kvilitaia

97 · F. Ballo-Toure

4 · U. Mboula

33 · B. Munongo

9 · G. Abuashvili

19 · L. Michal

34 · N. Mbala

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Rennes

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Brice Samba907.0—0—22—
Przemysław Frankowski677.2—0—55—
Anthony Rouault907.9—01813
Lilian Brassier907.2—02781
Quentin Merlin908.3—0—647
Sebastian Szymański676.9—01411
Valentin Rongier908.6—02915
Mahdi Camara857.0—01394
Ludovic Blas746.3—0331—
Esteban Lepaul906.0—0128—
Arnaud Nordin676.2—0320—
Mahamadou Nagida237.3—0224—
Djaoui Cissé236.5—0111—
Mousa Tamari236.6—0111—
Breel Embolo166.9—0—4—
Yassir Zabiri126.5—012—
Mathys Silistrie———————
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal———————
Alidu Seidu———————
Glen Kamara———————

Metz

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Pape Sy909.5—0—30—
Koffi Kouao907.9—01375
Sadibou Sané907.5—0—312
Terry Yegbe907.2—0—40—
Maxime Colin906.9—0—284
Jean-Philippe Gbamin906.9—0—372
Alpha Touré906.7—01172
Bouna Sarr906.9—0226—
Jessy Deminguet806.6—0—122
Georgiy Tsitaishvili856.7—0—18—
Habib Diallo907.2—0192
Believe Munongo106.7—0—4—
Nathan Mbala126.3—012—
Jonathan Fischer———————
Ousmane Ba———————
Urie-Michel Mboula———————
Fodé Ballo-Touré———————
Giorgi Abuashvili———————
Giorgi Kvilitaia———————
Lucas Michal———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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