Lille
5/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Lille’s results
Ligue 1Matchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRELille vs Lens match centre
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Haraldsson44′
F. Correia49′
M. Fernandez-Pardo58′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Lille
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Lens
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Lille 4.7% · no further goal 92.0% · Lens 3.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.LilleLens
3.630Expected goals · API-Football0.590
7Shots on target1
13Total Shots5
56%Ball Possession44%
3Corner Kicks2
9Fouls12
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
452Total passes363
381Passes accurate286
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Ligue 1 Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | +45 | 76 | — |
| 2 |  Lens | 35 | +28 | 70 | — |
| 3 | Lille | 35 | +18 | 64 | — |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | +13 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | +9 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | +6 | 54 | — |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | +11 | 53 | — |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | -3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | +1 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | -3 | 44 | — |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | -19 | 36 | — |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | -12 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | -23 | 23 | — |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | -44 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lille 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Lens 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Lens
6/10Wins
2.7Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Lens’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lille
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
MarseilleAway · Ligue 12–1Aston VillaAway · UEFA Europa League0–2RennesAway · Ligue 12–1Aston VillaHome · UEFA Europa League0–1LorientHome · Ligue 11–1NantesHome · Ligue 11–0FK Crvena ZvezdaAway · UEFA Europa League1–0AngersAway · Ligue 11–0FK Crvena ZvezdaHome · UEFA Europa League0–1Stade Brestois 29Home · Ligue 11–1
Lens
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lille at home with Lens away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
LilleLens
27Matches played27
47Points earned59
14Wins19
1.6Goals scored / match2.0
1.3Goals conceded / match0.9
8Clean sheets10
8Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lille at home with Lens away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lille
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Bruno Genesio
- 1
B. OzerG - 12
T. MeunierD - 3
N. NgoyD - 23
A. MandiD - 15
R. PerraudD - 6
N. BentalebM - 32
A. BouaddiM - 17
N. MukauM - 10
H. HaraldssonM - 27
F. CorreiaM - 7
M. Fernandez-PardoF
Substitutes (9)
16 · A. Bodart
9 · O. Giroud
21 · B. Andre
4 · Alexsandro
8 · E. Mbappe
35 · S. Diaoune
24 · C. Verdonk
28 · G. Perrin
22 · T. Santos
Lens
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Pierre Sage
- 40
R. RisserG - 4
N. CelikD - 25
I. GaniouD - 20
M. SarrD - 23
S. AbdulhamidM - 8
M. SangareM - 28
A. ThomassonM - 14
M. UdolM - 10
F. ThauvinF - 22
W. SaidF - 11
O. EdouardF
Substitutes (9)
16 · M. Gorgelin
9 · A. Saint-Maximin
7 · F. Sotoca
21 · A. Haidara
19 · A. Sima
5 · A. Bulatovic
18 · F. Sylla
26 · A. Bermont
38 · R. Fofana
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Lille
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berke Özer | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Thomas Meunier | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Nathan Ngoy | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 1 |
| Aïssa Mandi | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 68 | 2 |
| Romain Perraud | 89 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 1 |
| Nabil Bentaleb | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 1 |
| Ayyoub Bouaddi | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 2 |
| Ngal'ayel Mukau | 80 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Hakon Arnar Haraldsson | 73 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | — |
| Félix Correia | 73 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | — |
| Matías Fernández | 80 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 1 |
| Olivier Giroud | 17 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 2 |
| Benjamin André | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Gaëtan Perrin | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Ethan Mbappé | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Calvin Verdonk | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Tiago Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Soriba Diaoune | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arnaud Bodart | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lens
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Risser | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Nidal Čelik | 55 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Ismaelo Ganiou | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 1 |
| Malang Sarr | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 4 |
| Saud Abdulhamid | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Mamadou Sangare | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Adrien Thomasson | 67 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Matthieu Udol | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Florian Thauvin | 85 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2 |
| Wesley Saïd | 55 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Odsonne Édouard | 85 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Amadou Haidara | 35 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Allan Saint-Maximin | 35 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Florian Sotoca | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| Andrija Bulatovic | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Rayan Fofana | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Anthony Bermont | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathieu Gorgelin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdallah Sima | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fode Sylla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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