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Ligue 1Matchweek 29THE MATCH CENTRE

Auxerre vs Nantes match centre

Auxerre badgeAuxerreHome · 15 in league
DDLWD
Momentum↗ Rising42/100OlderLatest
64′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Nantes badgeNantesAway · 17 in league
LLDLD
Momentum↓ Low11/100OlderLatest
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps · AuxerreSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

64′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate15.6%Auxerre
Draw55.4%at full time
Current result estimate29.0%Nantes
Another goal50.5%before full time

Next goal: Auxerre 18.8% · no further goal 49.5% · Nantes 31.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
AuxerreNantes
1Corner Kicks1
13Fouls10
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves0
264Total passes238
209Passes accurate183

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Ligue 1

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Paris Saint Germain34+4576—
2Lens34+3170—
3Lille34+1561—
4Lyon34+1360—
5Marseille34+1859—
6Rennes34+959—
7Monaco34+654—
8Strasbourg34+1153—
9Lorient34-345—
10Toulouse33+144—
11Paris FC34-344—
12Stade Brestois 2934-1239—
13Angers34-1936—
14Auxerre35-1035↑ 1
15Le Havre34-1235↓ 1
16Nice34-2332—
17Nantes34-2324—
18Metz34-4417—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Auxerre 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Nantes 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Auxerre

2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Auxerre’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Nantes

1/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 8 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Nantes’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Auxerre at home with Nantes away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:50 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

AuxerreNantes
28Matches played27
23Points earned18
5Wins4
0.8Goals scored / match0.9
1.4Goals conceded / match1.7
7Clean sheets5
15Failed to score11

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Auxerre at home with Nantes away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Auxerre

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Christophe Pelissier
  1. 16Donovan LéonG
  2. 29Marvin SenayaD
  3. 20Sinaly DiomandéD
  4. 24Bryan OkohD
  5. 14Gideon MensahD
  6. 42Elisha OwusuM
  7. 5Kévin DanoisM
  8. 28Romain FaivreM
  9. 19Danny NamasoM
  10. 22Fredrik OppegårdM
  11. 10Lassine SinayokoF
Substitutes (9)

27 · Lamine Sy

44 · Mamoudou Cissokho

21 · Lasso Coulibaly

92 · Clement Akpa

9 · Sékou Mara

4 · Francisco Sierralta

18 · Assane Dioussé

40 · Théo De Percin

8 · Naouirou Ahamada

Nantes

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Vahid Halilhodzic
  1. 1Anthony LopesG
  2. 24Frédéric GuilbertD
  3. 2Ali YoussefD
  4. 3Nicolas CozzaD
  5. 27Deiver MachadoD
  6. 13Francis CoquelinM
  7. 17Dehmaine TabibouM
  8. 21Mohamed KabaM
  9. 8Johann LepenantM
  10. 10Matthis AblineM
  11. 37Ignatius GanagoF
Substitutes (9)

66 · Louis Leroux

18 · Fabien Centonze

26 · Uroš Radaković

28 · Ibrahima Sissoko

30 · Patrik Carlgren

20 · Rémy Cabella

31 · Mostafa Mohamed

19 · El Arabi

6 · Chidozie Awaziem

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Auxerre

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Donovan Léon997.2———29—
Marvin Senaya997.0——1252
Sinaly Diomandé997.2———441
Bryan Okoh996.9———542
Gideon Mensah997.2———523
Kévin Danois996.9———431
Elisha Owusu997.0———451
Romain Faivre776.6———9—
Danny Namaso676.3———171
Fredrik Oppegård777.2———203
Lassine Sinayoko996.3——1101
Sékou Mara326.7——18—
Lasso Coulibaly226.3———9—
Naouirou Ahamada227.2———51
Lamine Sy———————
Mamoudou Cissokho———————
Clement Akpa———————
Francisco Sierralta———————
Assane Dioussé———————
Théo De Percin———————

Nantes

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Anthony Lopes996.9———37—
Frédéric Guilbert827.5——1342
Ali Youssef996.9———35—
Nicolas Cozza997.3——1341
Deiver Machado997.6——3304
Francis Coquelin736.9———325
Dehmaine Tabibou746.9——2202
Mohamed Kaba997.2——1312
Johann Lepenant996.5——1252
Matthis Abline816.6———10—
Ignatius Ganago996.6——1151
Ibrahima Sissoko266.5———5—
Fabien Centonze256.9———11
Mostafa Mohamed186.6——13—
Rémy Cabella176.6———21
Louis Leroux———————
Uroš Radaković———————
Patrik Carlgren———————
El Arabi———————
Chidozie Awaziem———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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