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Ligue 1Matchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRE

Le Havre vs Auxerre match centre

Le Havre badgeLe HavreHome · 14 in league
LLLDL
Momentum↓ Low8/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Auxerre badgeAuxerreAway · 15 in league
LDDLW
Momentum↗ Rising38/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Ebonog23′
L. Sinayoko15′
Stade Océane · Le HavreSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.8%Le Havre
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.7%Auxerre
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Le Havre 3.9% · no further goal 92.3% · Auxerre 3.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Le HavreAuxerre
4Corner Kicks5
16Fouls21
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
390Total passes348
316Passes accurate281

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Ligue 1

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Paris Saint Germain34+4576—
2Lens34+3170—
3Lille34+1561—
4Lyon34+1360—
5Marseille34+1859—
6Rennes34+959—
7Monaco34+654—
8Strasbourg34+1153—
9Lorient34-345—
10Toulouse33+144—
11Paris FC34-344—
12Stade Brestois 2934-1239—
13Le Havre35-1236↑ 1
14Angers34-1936↓ 1
15Auxerre35-1035—
16Nice34-2332—
17Nantes33-2323—
18Metz34-4417—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Le Havre 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Auxerre 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Le Havre

2/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Le Havre’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Auxerre

2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Auxerre’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Le Havre at home with Auxerre away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:32 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

Le HavreAuxerre
27Matches played27
27Points earned22
6Wins5
0.8Goals scored / match0.8
1.3Goals conceded / match1.3
7Clean sheets7
13Failed to score15

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Le Havre at home with Auxerre away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Le Havre

Confirmed formation3-4-3Didier Digard
  1. 99M. DiawG
  2. 93A. SanganteD
  3. 15A. SekoD
  4. 4G. LlorisD
  5. 7L. NegoM
  6. 19L. Gourna-DouathM
  7. 26S. EbonogM
  8. 18Y. ZouaouiM
  9. 14R. NdiayeF
  10. 45I. SoumareF
  11. 17S. BoufalF
Substitutes (9)

50 · P. Argney

30 · R. Khadra

11 · G. Kyeremeh

13 · F. Doucoure

8 · Y. Kechta

25 · A. Samatta

32 · T. Pembele

78 · D. N. Mosengo

29 · S. Zagadou

Auxerre

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Christophe Pelissier
  1. 40T. De PercinG
  2. 27L. SyD
  3. 20S. DiomandeD
  4. 24B. OkohD
  5. 14G. MensahD
  6. 42E. OwusuM
  7. 5K. DanoisM
  8. 28R. FaivreM
  9. 19D. NamasoM
  10. 22F. OppegardM
  11. 10L. SinayokoF
Substitutes (9)

30 · T. Negrel

18 · A. Diousse

4 · F. Sierralta

7 · J. Casimir

8 · N. Ahamada

92 · C. Akpa

9 · S. Mara

29 · M. Senaya

13 · T. Siwe

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Le Havre

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mory Diaw956.6———39—
Arouna Sangante956.6———742
Ayumu Seko956.9———562
Gautier Lloris956.9———632
Loic Négo956.2———27—
Lucas Gourna-Douath956.9——1314
Simon Ebonog778.31—2181
Yanis Zouaoui947.7———302
Rassoul Ndiaye956.9——2231
Issa Soumaré957.2—12123
Sofiane Boufal716.9———151
Mbwana Ally Samatta246.5———41
Godson Kyeremeh186.7——11—
Timothee Pembele1——————
Yassine Kechta———————
Fodé Doucouré———————
Stephan Zagadou———————
Reda Khadra———————
Paul Argney———————
Daren Nbenbege Mosengo———————

Auxerre

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Théo De Percin957.2———20—
Lamine Sy956.2——1291
Sinaly Diomandé956.7———271
Bryan Okoh956.9——1261
Gideon Mensah957.0———453
Elisha Owusu957.0———296
Kévin Danois957.3———632
Romain Faivre956.6——1301
Danny Namaso916.2—1—311
Fredrik Oppegård786.3———24—
Lassine Sinayoko957.51—4291
Josué Casimir176.7———32
Sékou Mara4——————
Marvin Senaya———————
Naouirou Ahamada———————
Assane Dioussé———————
Telli Siwe———————
Tom Negrel———————
Francisco Sierralta———————
Clement Akpa———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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