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Ligue 1Matchweek 30THE MATCH CENTRE

Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29 match centre

Nantes badgeNantesHome · 17 in league
LDLDD
Momentum↗ Rising19/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Stade Brestois 29 badgeStade Brestois 29Away · 12 in league
WWLLL
Momentum↘ Falling31/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Mostafa Mohamed9′
B. Chardonnet90+6′
Stade de la Beaujoire · NantesSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate2.5%Nantes
Draw93.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.9%Stade Brestois 29
Another goal6.6%before full time

Next goal: Nantes 2.6% · no further goal 93.4% · Stade Brestois 29 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
NantesStade Brestois 29
8Corner Kicks0
12Fouls17
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
290Total passes407
229Passes accurate336

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Ligue 1

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Paris Saint Germain34+4576—
2Lens34+3170—
3Lille34+1561—
4Lyon34+1360—
5Marseille34+1859—
6Rennes34+959—
7Monaco34+654—
8Strasbourg34+1153—
9Lorient34-345—
10Toulouse33+144—
11Paris FC34-344—
12Stade Brestois 2935-1240—
13Angers34-1936—
14Le Havre34-1235—
15Auxerre34-1034—
16Nice34-2332—
17Nantes34-2324—
18Metz34-4417—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Nantes 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Stade Brestois 29 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Nantes

1/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Nantes’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nantes at home with Stade Brestois 29 away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

NantesStade Brestois 29
28Matches played28
19Points earned36
4Wins10
0.9Goals scored / match1.3
1.7Goals conceded / match1.6
6Clean sheets9
12Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nantes at home with Stade Brestois 29 away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Nantes

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Vahid Halilhodzic
  1. 1A. LopesG
  2. 24F. GuilbertD
  3. 2Ali YoussefD
  4. 3N. CozzaD
  5. 27D. MachadoD
  6. 13F. CoquelinM
  7. 17D. TabibouM
  8. 28I. SissokoM
  9. 8J. LepenantM
  10. 37I. GanagoM
  11. 31Mostafa MohamedF
Substitutes (9)

30 · P. Carlgren

19 · Y. El Arabi

10 · M. Abline

72 · S. Doucoure

26 · U. Radakovic

6 · C. Awaziem

22 · M. Acapandie

66 · L. Leroux

11 · B. Guirassy

Stade Brestois 29

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Eric Roy
  1. 30G. CoudertG
  2. 12L. ZogbeD
  3. 5B. ChardonnetD
  4. 44S. CoulibalyD
  5. 27D. GuindoD
  6. 13J. ChotardM
  7. 8H. MagnettiM
  8. 10R. Del CastilloM
  9. 7J. Dina EbimbeM
  10. 14R. Labeau LascaryM
  11. 19L. AjorqueF
Substitutes (8)

1 · R. Majecki

77 · K. Lala

33 · H. Makalou

24 · L. Tousart

99 · P. Mboup

21 · I. Y. Kante

71 · R. Le Guen

29 · S. Diop

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Nantes

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Anthony Lopes1006.3———36—
Frederic Guilbert1006.3——1302
Ali Youssef1006.3——1371
Nicolas Cozza1006.7——231—
Deiver Machado1006.9———223
Francis Coquelin456.7—1121—
Dehmaine Tabibou656.0—0—201
Ibrahima Sissoko1006.6———252
Johann Lepenant1006.6——1381
Ignatius Ganago916.6———121
Mostafa Mohamed777.61—116—
Louis Leroux556.5——18—
Matthis Abline236.3———1—
Mathieu Acapandié96.5———11
Patrik Carlgren———————
Sékou Doucoure———————
Chidozie Awaziem———————
Uros Radakovic———————
Bahereba Guirassy———————
Youssef El Arabi———————

Stade Brestois 29

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Grégoire Coudert1006.9———27—
Luc Zogbé1006.2———482
Brendan Chardonnet1008.51—160—
Soumaila Coulibaly1007.0———691
Daouda Guindo676.0———371
Joris Chotard1006.9——1402
Hugo Magnetti786.6———323
Romain Del Castillo1006.3—12362
Junior Dina Ebimbe676.9———164
Remy Labeau Lascary1006.2———12—
Ludovic Ajorque1006.7———5—
Kenny Lala336.9———16—
Hamidou Makalou336.6———141
Pathé Mboup226.5———6—
Radosław Majecki———————
Raphaël Le Guen———————
Lucas Tousart———————
Ibrahim Yayiya Kante———————
Serigne Diop———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerNantesDrawStade Brestois 29
Bet3652.503.252.90

Snapshot from 19 Apr 2026, 12:17 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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