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Ligue 1Matchweek 32THE MATCH CENTRE

Metz vs Monaco match centre

Metz badgeMetzHome · 18 in league
LLDDL
Momentum↓ Low14/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Monaco badgeMonacoAway · 7 in league
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Deminguet49′
F. Balogun61′
A. Fati90+1′
Stade Saint-Symphorien · MetzSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Metz
Draw3.6%at full time
Current result estimate96.3%Monaco
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Metz 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Monaco 4.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
MetzMonaco
4Corner Kicks9
10Fouls14
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves0
279Total passes567
224Passes accurate489

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Ligue 1

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Paris Saint Germain34+4576—
2Lens34+3170—
3Lille34+1561—
4Lyon34+1360—
5Marseille34+1859—
6Rennes34+959—
7Monaco35+757—
8Strasbourg34+1153—
9Lorient34-345—
10Toulouse33+144—
11Paris FC34-344—
12Stade Brestois 2934-1239—
13Angers34-1936—
14Le Havre34-1235—
15Auxerre34-1034—
16Nice34-2332—
17Nantes33-2323—
18Metz35-4517—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Metz 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Monaco 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Metz

0/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Metz’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Monaco

6/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Monaco’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Metz at home with Monaco away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:03 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

MetzMonaco
30Matches played31
15Points earned51
3Wins15
0.9Goals scored / match1.8
2.2Goals conceded / match1.5
6Clean sheets7
13Failed to score6

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Metz at home with Monaco away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Metz

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Benoit Tavenot
  1. 61P. SyG
  2. 70B. SarrD
  3. 38S. SaneD
  4. 15T. YegbeD
  5. 7G. TsitaishviliD
  6. 21B. StambouliM
  7. 5J. GbaminM
  8. 10G. HeinM
  9. 20J. DeminguetM
  10. 34N. MbalaM
  11. 11G. KvilitaiaF
Substitutes (9)

1 · J. Fischer

2 · M. Colin

30 · H. Diallo

4 · U. Mboula

33 · B. Munongo

35 · J. Pandore

9 · G. Abuashvili

29 · I. Guerti

3 · M. Diop

Monaco

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Sebastien Pocognoli
  1. 1L. HradeckyG
  2. 6D. ZakariaD
  3. 5T. KehrerD
  4. 13C. MawissaD
  5. 4J. TezeM
  6. 15L. CamaraM
  7. 8P. PogbaM
  8. 24S. AdingraM
  9. 11M. AklioucheF
  10. 10A. GolovinF
  11. 9F. BalogunF
Substitutes (9)

16 · P. Kohn

3 · E. Dier

25 · W. Faes

14 · M. Biereth

23 · A. Bamba

12 · Caio Henrique

31 · A. Fati

28 · M. Coulibaly

49 · I. Toure

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Metz

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Pape Sy996.2———24—
Bouna Sarr997.0——2261
Sadibou Sané997.3———361
Terry Yegbe996.0——128—
Giorgi Tsitaishvili997.2——120—
Benjamin Stambouli736.2——1201
Jean-Philippe Gbamin996.6———28—
Gauthier Hein997.3—12462
Jessy Deminguet818.31—2161
Nathan Mbala746.5——261
Giorgi Kvilitaia816.9———152
Believe Munongo266.5———10—
Giorgi Abuashvili256.6———10—
Jahyann Pandore186.7———71
Habibou Diallo186.7———3—
Jonathan Fischer———————
Urie-Michel Mboula———————
Maxime Colin———————
Moustapha Diop———————
Ismaël Guerti———————

Monaco

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Lukáš Hrádecký996.7———21—
Denis Zakaria997.0——1754
Thilo Kehrer997.3——1752
Christian Mawissa846.2———611
Jordan Teze996.3———42—
Lamine Camara586.9———501
Paul Pogba586.3——1461
Simon Adingra586.2———251
Maghnes Akliouche997.5—1246—
Aleksandr Golovin746.5——145—
Folarin Balogun996.91—225—
Aladji Bamba416.6———261
Mamadou Coulibaly416.5——113—
Ansu Fati417.61—116—
Mika Biereth256.3———1—
Caio Henrique157.2—1—101
Philipp Köhn———————
Wout Faes———————
Eric Dier———————
Ilane Touré———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMetzDrawMonaco
Bet3657.005.751.38

Snapshot from 1 May 2026, 21:25 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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