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BundesligaMatchweek 20THE MATCH CENTRE

1. FC Köln vs VfL Wolfsburg match centre

1. FC Köln badge1. FC KölnHome · 14 in league
WDDWL
Momentum→ Steady49/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
VfL Wolfsburg badgeVfL WolfsburgAway · 16 in league
DLWDL
Momentum↘ Falling32/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
L. Maina29′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
1. FC KölnVfL Wolfsburg
3Corner Kicks4
8Fouls16
1Yellow Cards4
Red Cards
3Goalkeeper Saves2
321Total passes471
233Passes accurate371

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

1. FC Köln 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

VfL Wolfsburg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

1. FC Köln

1/2Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect 1. FC Köln’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

VfL Wolfsburg

0/2Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect VfL Wolfsburg’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare 1. FC Köln at home with VfL Wolfsburg away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:03 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

1. FC KölnVfL Wolfsburg
19Matches played19
20Points earned19
5Wins5
1.5Goals scored / match1.5
1.7Goals conceded / match2.1
2Clean sheets1
3Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares 1. FC Köln at home with VfL Wolfsburg away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

1. FC Köln

Confirmed formation4-4-2Lukas Kwasniok
  1. 1M. SchwabeG
  2. 17A. Castro-MontesD
  3. 28S. SebulonsenD
  4. 39C. OzkacarD
  5. 32K. LundD
  6. 37L. MainaM
  7. 6E. MartelM
  8. 5T. KraussM
  9. 16J. KaminskiM
  10. 9R. AcheF
  11. 30M. BulterF
Substitutes (9)

20 · R. Zieler

33 · R. van den Berg

29 · J. Thielmann

18 · I. Johannesson

13 · S. El Mala

8 · D. Huseinbasic

40 · F. Schenten

38 · Y. Niang

7 · L. Waldschmidt

VfL Wolfsburg

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dieter Hecking
  1. 1K. GrabaraG
  2. 2K. FischerD
  3. 3D. VavroD
  4. 15M. JenzD
  5. 31Y. GerhardtD
  6. 5Vini SouzaM
  7. 27M. ArnoldM
  8. 24C. EriksenM
  9. 10L. MajerM
  10. 39P. WimmerM
  11. 17D. PejcinovicF
Substitutes (9)

29 · M. Muller

4 · K. Koulierakis

7 · K. Shiogai

11 · A. Daghim

19 · J. Lindstrom

25 · A. Zehnter

26 · S. Kumbedi

32 · M. Svanberg

37 · P. Hensel

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

1. FC Köln

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marvin Schwäbe907.2—0—55—
Alessio Castro-Montes907.2—0—263
Sebastian Sebulonsen907.0—0—402
Cenk Özkaçar906.7—0—391
Kristoffer Lund867.7—02214
Linton Maina757.9102141
Eric Martel906.6—01342
Tom Krauß907.9—1—255
Jakub Kamiński756.9—0—212
Ragnar Ache866.9—02141
Marius Bülter666.9—0113—
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson246.3—0—7—
Said El Mala157.2—024—
Jan Thielmann156.3—0—4—
Rav van den Berg106.6—0———
Youssoupha Niang106.3—0—3—
Ron-Robert Zieler———————
Denis Huseinbašić———————
Luca Waldschmidt———————
Fynn Schenten———————

VfL Wolfsburg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kamil Grabara907.3—0—30—
Kilian Fischer747.2—0—245
Denis Vavro906.9—0—601
Moritz Jenz906.5—0—71—
Yannick Gerhardt896.2—0142—
Vinícius Souza456.3—0—15—
Maximilian Arnold906.9—0175—
Christian Eriksen906.9—02502
Lovro Majer456.5—0—121
Patrick Wimmer746.6—02296
Dženan Pejčinović906.9—01171
Adam Daghim456.7—02163
Kento Shiogai456.2—029—
Saël Kumbedi166.6—0—71
Jesper Lindstrøm166.9—0—9—
Aaron Zehnter1——0———
Marius Müller———————
Konstantinos Koulierakis———————
Mattias Svanberg———————
Pharell Hensel———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Bundesliga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Bundesliga . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bayern München342851122368689
WWDWW
2Borussia Dortmund34227570343673
WWLWL
3RB Leipzig34205966471965
LWLWW
4VfB Stuttgart34188871492262
DWDDL
51899 Hoffenheim34187965521361
LWDWW
6Bayer Leverkusen34178968472159
DLWWL
7SC Freiburg34138135157-647
WLDLW
8Eintracht Frankfurt341111126165-444
DLLDL
9FC Augsburg34127154561-1643
LWWDW
10FSV Mainz 05341010144453-940
WLWLD
11Union Berlin34109154458-1439
WWDLL
12Borussia Mönchengladbach34911144253-1138
WLWDD
13Hamburger SV34911144054-1438
DWWLL
141. FC Köln34711164963-1432
LLDLD
15Werder Bremen3488183760-2332
LLLDW
16VfL Wolfsburg3478194569-2429
WLDDW
171. FC Heidenheim3468204172-3126
LWDWL
18FC St. Pauli3468202960-3126
LLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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