Bayern München
4/8Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Bayern München’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 21THE MATCH CENTREBayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim match centre
Full time
5:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Kane20′ (pen)
H. Kane45′ (pen)
L. Diaz45′
L. Diaz62′
L. Diaz89′
A. Kramaric35′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Bayern München1899 Hoffenheim
5.600Expected goals · API-Football2.030
14Shots on target4
27Total Shots9
54%Ball Possession46%
8Corner Kicks3
11Fouls9
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves8
469Total passes398
420Passes accurate326
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayern München 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
1899 Hoffenheim 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
1899 Hoffenheim
3/3Wins
2.3Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect 1899 Hoffenheim’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayern München
8 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 8
Both teams scored7 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
1899 Hoffenheim
3 matchesResults3 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals2 of 3
Both teams scored2 of 3
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayern München at home with 1899 Hoffenheim away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:47 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Bayern München1899 Hoffenheim
20Matches played20
51Points earned42
16Wins13
3.7Goals scored / match2.2
0.9Goals conceded / match1.2
8Clean sheets5
0Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayern München at home with 1899 Hoffenheim away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayern München
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincent Kompany
- 1
M. NeuerG - 44
J. StanisicD - 2
D. UpamecanoD - 4
J. TahD - 19
A. DaviesD - 6
J. KimmichM - 45
A. PavlovicM - 17
M. OliseM - 7
S. GnabryM - 14
L. DiazM - 9
H. KaneF
Substitutes (9)
40 · J. Urbig
22 · R. Guerreiro
21 · H. Ito
27 · K. Laimer
20 · T. Bischof
10 · J. Musiala
8 · L. Goretzka
42 · L. Karl
11 · N. Jackson
1899 Hoffenheim
Confirmed formation4-4-1-1Christian Ilzer
- 1
O. BaumannG - 34
V. CoufalD - 25
K. AkpogumaD - 5
O. KabakD - 21
A. HajdariD - 22
A. PrassM - 7
L. AvdullahuM - 6
G. PromelM - 29
B. ToureM - 27
A. KramaricF - 11
F. AsllaniF
Substitutes (8)
37 · L. Philipp
15 · V. Gendrey
45 · K. Frees
10 · M. Damar
48 · L. Djuric
49 · V. Lassig
9 · I. Bebou
33 · M. Moerstedt
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Bayern München
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Neuer | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Josip Stanišić | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 3 |
| Dayot Upamecano | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 62 | 3 |
| Jonathan Tah | 63 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Alphonso Davies | 80 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 34 | 1 |
| Joshua Kimmich | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 68 | 4 |
| Aleksandar Pavlović | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 70 | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 63 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 2 |
| Serge Gnabry | 63 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 22 | — |
| Luis Díaz | 90 | 10.0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 43 | — |
| Harry Kane | 68 | 8.3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | — |
| Hiroki Itō | 27 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Jamal Musiala | 27 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 |
| Lennart Karl | 27 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | — |
| Nicolas Jackson | 22 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Konrad Laimer | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Jonas Urbig | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphaël Guerreiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Bischof | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leon Goretzka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1899 Hoffenheim
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Baumann | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 63 | — |
| Vladimír Coufal | 90 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 2 |
| Kevin Akpoguma | 17 | 3.0 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Ozan Kabak | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 3 |
| Albian Hajdari | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 5 |
| Alexander Prass | 81 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 2 |
| Leon Avdullahu | 81 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Grischa Prömel | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 4 |
| Bazoumana Touré | 71 | 5.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Andrej Kramarić | 71 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | — |
| Fisnik Asllani | 66 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 18 | — |
| Ihlas Bebou | 24 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Valentin Gendrey | 19 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Muhammed Damar | 19 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Luka Duric | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Max Moerstedt | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Luca Philipp | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentin Lässig | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kelven Frees | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Bundesliga table
Current standings · Bundesliga . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 86 | 89 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 36 | 73 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 65 | LWLWW |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 62 | DWDDL |
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 13 | 61 | LWDWW |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 59 | DLWWL |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 47 | WLDLW |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 44 | DLLDL |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 | LWWDW |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 40 | WLWLD |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 39 | WWDLL |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38 | WLWDD |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 38 | DWWLL |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 32 | LLDLD |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 32 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 29 | WLDDW |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 26 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 26 | LLLLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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