Union Berlin
1/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Union Berlin’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTREUnion Berlin vs Werder Bremen match centre
90′ · Live
1:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Kohn18′ (pen)
O. Deman31′
J. Stage36′
M. Grull67′
P. Covic90+4′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Union Berlin
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Werder Bremen
Another goal7.5%before full time
Next goal: Union Berlin 2.2% · no further goal 92.5% · Werder Bremen 5.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Union BerlinWerder Bremen
1.160Expected goals · API-Football1.960
2Shots on target4
9Total Shots14
25%Ball Possession75%
1Corner Kicks3
5Fouls13
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
225Total passes683
139Passes accurate609
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 35 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  Werder Bremen | 35 | -20 | 35 | ↑ 1 |
| 15 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | ↓ 1 |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Union Berlin 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Werder Bremen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Werder Bremen
1/8Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Werder Bremen’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Union Berlin
10 matchesResults1 wins · 4 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Bundesliga0–1Bayer LeverkusenHome · Bundesliga1–0Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–3Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga1–11899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga1–3Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga0–3VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga1–1FC AugsburgAway · Bundesliga1–1Bayern MünchenHome · DFB Pokal2–3Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga2–2
Werder Bremen
8 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 8
Both teams scored3 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Union Berlin at home with Werder Bremen away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:17 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Union BerlinWerder Bremen
24Matches played24
28Points earned22
7Wins5
1.2Goals scored / match1.1
1.6Goals conceded / match1.9
5Clean sheets5
7Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Union Berlin at home with Werder Bremen away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Union Berlin
Confirmed formation3-5-2Steffen Baumgart
- 1
F. RonnowG - 5
D. DoekhiD - 14
L. QuerfeldD - 34
S. NsokiD - 19
J. HabererM - 13
A. SchaferM - 8
R. KhediraM - 6
A. KemleinM - 39
D. KohnM - 23
A. IlicF - 10
I. AnsahF
Substitutes (9)
31 · M. Raab
28 · C. Trimmel
33 · A. Kral
18 · J. Juranovic
21 · T. Skarke
7 · O. Burke
11 · Jeong Woo-Yeong
17 · D. Preu
9 · L. Burcu
Werder Bremen
Confirmed formation4-3-3Daniel Thioune
- 30
M. BackhausG - 3
Y. SugawaraD - 4
N. StarkD - 32
M. FriedlD - 2
O. DemanD - 6
J. StageM - 14
S. LynenM - 18
C. PuertasM - 17
M. GrullF - 9
K. ToppF - 20
R. SchmidF
Substitutes (9)
13 · K. Hein
10 · L. Bittencourt
24 · P. Covic
46 · M. Heitmann
23 · I. Schmidt
11 · J. Njinmah
22 · J. Malatini
33 · M. Schmetgens
29 · S. Musah
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Union Berlin
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Rønnow | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Danilho Doekhi | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Leopold Querfeld | 90 | 5.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 |
| Stanley N'Soki | 82 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 2 |
| Janik Haberer | 82 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| András Schäfer | 19 | 3.9 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Rani Khedira | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| Aljoscha Kemlein | 63 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Derrick Köhn | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 1 |
| Andrej Ilić | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Ilyas Ansah | 70 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Woo-Yeong Jeong | 27 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Tim Skarke | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Christopher Trimmel | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Oliver Burke | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Matheo Raab | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Král | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josip Juranović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Livan Burcu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Preu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Werder Bremen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mio Backhaus | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Yukinari Sugawara | 89 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 52 | 2 |
| Niklas Stark | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Marco Friedl | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 105 | 2 |
| Olivier Deman | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 52 | 1 |
| Jens Stage | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 55 | 1 |
| Senne Lynen | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 81 | 1 |
| Cameron Puertas | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 70 | — |
| Marco Grüll | 82 | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | — |
| Keke Topp | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Romano Schmid | 89 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 56 | — |
| Julián Malatini | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Leonardo Bittencourt | 45 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 72 | 2 |
| Justin Njinmah | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Isaac Schmidt | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Patrice Čović | 4 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Karl Hein | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mick Schmetgens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mats Heitmann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salim Musah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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