SC Paderborn 07
4/9Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect SC Paderborn 07’s results
2. BundesligaMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRESC Paderborn 07 vs Dynamo Dresden match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Tigges66′
S. Tigges85′
V. Vermeij32′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.6%SC Paderborn 07
Draw4.3%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Dynamo Dresden
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: SC Paderborn 07 3.7% · no further goal 91.9% · Dynamo Dresden 4.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.SC Paderborn 07Dynamo Dresden
2.440Expected goals · API-Football1.190
4Shots on target7
20Total Shots15
53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks5
6Fouls7
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
7Goalkeeper Saves2
447Total passes408
379Passes accurate330
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
2. BundesligaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Schalke 04 | 34 | +19 | 70 | — |
| 2 | SC Paderborn 07 | 35 | +15 | 65 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 |  SV Elversberg | 34 | +25 | 62 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Hannover 96 | 34 | +16 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | +12 | 52 | — |
| 6 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | +5 | 52 | — |
| 7 |  Hertha BSC | 34 | +3 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | +2 | 46 | — |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 34 | +2 | 44 | — |
| 10 |  Karlsruher SC | 34 | -11 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 35 | 0 | 41 | — |
| 12 |  Holstein Kiel | 34 | -4 | 41 | — |
| 13 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | +2 | 39 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | -6 | 39 | — |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | -18 | 37 | — |
| 16 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | -19 | 37 | — |
| 17 |  Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | -20 | 37 | — |
| 18 |  Preußen Münster | 34 | -23 | 30 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
SC Paderborn 07 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Dynamo Dresden 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Dynamo Dresden
4/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Dynamo Dresden’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
SC Paderborn 07
9 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 9
Both teams scored7 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Arminia BielefeldAway · 2. Bundesliga2–2Eintracht BraunschweigHome · 2. Bundesliga1–11. FC KaiserslauternAway · 2. Bundesliga2–1Hertha BSCHome · 2. Bundesliga5–2VfL BochumAway · 2. Bundesliga0–01. FC NürnbergHome · 2. Bundesliga2–1Fortuna DüsseldorfAway · 2. Bundesliga1–2Preußen MünsterHome · 2. Bundesliga2–1Holstein KielAway · 2. Bundesliga0–2
Dynamo Dresden
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Preußen MünsterHome · 2. Bundesliga6–0Karlsruher SCAway · 2. Bundesliga3–3SV Darmstadt 98Home · 2. Bundesliga3–1Hannover 96Away · 2. Bundesliga0–0SV ElversbergHome · 2. Bundesliga1–2FC Schalke 04Away · 2. Bundesliga2–2Arminia BielefeldHome · 2. Bundesliga1–11. FC MagdeburgAway · 2. Bundesliga2–1SpVgg Greuther FürthHome · 2. Bundesliga2–0Hertha BSCAway · 2. Bundesliga0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare SC Paderborn 07 at home with Dynamo Dresden away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
SC Paderborn 07Dynamo Dresden
26Matches played26
48Points earned29
14Wins7
1.7Goals scored / match1.7
1.2Goals conceded / match1.7
7Clean sheets3
4Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares SC Paderborn 07 at home with Dynamo Dresden away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
SC Paderborn 07
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ralf Kettemann
- 41
D. SeimenG - 25
T. SchellerD - 20
F. GotzeD - 4
C. BrackelmannD - 17
L. CurdaM - 14
M. BaurM - 5
S. CastanedaM - 23
R. ObermairM - 2
R. MullerF - 9
N. BatznerF - 30
S. MarinoF
Substitutes (9)
1 · M. Schubert
11 · S. Michel
8 · D. Kinsombi
27 · S. Tigges
7 · F. Bilbija
3 · J. Sticker
26 · S. Klaas
22 · M. Hansen
10 · K. Okpala
Dynamo Dresden
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Thomas Stamm
- 1
T. SchreiberG - 32
J. SternerD - 13
J. PauliD - 42
F. MullerD - 19
A. RossipalD - 18
R. WagnerM - 6
K. AmoakoM - 7
J. CekaM - 27
N. HauptmannM - 20
B. BobzienM - 9
V. VermeijF
Substitutes (9)
37 · D. Mesenholer
30 · S. Kutschke
28 · S. Risch
29 · L. Boeder
33 · C. Daferner
8 · L. Herrmann
16 · N. Froling
2 · K. Faber
10 · J. Lemmer
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
SC Paderborn 07
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Seimen | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | — | 44 | — |
| Tjark Lasse Scheller | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 49 | — |
| Felix Götze | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 46 | — |
| Calvin Brackelmann | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 5 |
| Laurin Curda | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| Mika Baur | 89 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 56 | 1 |
| Santiago Castaneda | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Raphael Obermair | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 2 |
| Ruben Müller | 86 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | — |
| Nick Bätzner | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 |
| Stefano Marino | 87 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1 |
| Mattes Hansen | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Steffen Tigges | 45 | 8.9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | — |
| Sven Michel | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Kennedy Okpala | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Jonah Sticker | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Markus Schubert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Kinsombi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Klaas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Bilbija | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dynamo Dresden
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Schreiber | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 57 | — |
| Jonas Sterner | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 5 |
| Julian Pauli | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 5 |
| Friedrich Muller | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 53 | 1 |
| Alexander Rossipal | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 2 |
| Robert Wagner | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Kofi Jeremy Amoako | 87 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 2 |
| Jason Ceka | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Niklas Hauptmann | 72 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 3 |
| Ben Justus Bobzien | 72 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 17 | 2 |
| Vincent Vermeij | 60 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 |
| Christoph Daferner | 30 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Nils Fröling | 18 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Luca Herrmann | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Jakob Lemmer | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Stefan Kutschke | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Daniel Mesenhöler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sascha Risch | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Boeder | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Konrad Faber | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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