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Holstein Kiel vs Preußen Münster match centre

Holstein Kiel badgeHolstein KielHome · 12 in league
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Momentum↗ Rising31/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
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UK time · Europe/London
Preußen Münster badgePreußen MünsterAway · 18 in league
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Momentum↘ Falling17/100OlderLatest
Holstein-Stadion · KielSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.0%Holstein Kiel
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.5%Preußen Münster
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Holstein Kiel 4.1% · no further goal 92.3% · Preußen Münster 3.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Holstein KielPreußen Münster
10Corner Kicks3
15Fouls11
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves0
454Total passes224
397Passes accurate161

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

2. Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Schalke 0434+1970—
2SV Elversberg34+2562—
3SC Paderborn 0734+1462—
4Hannover 9634+1660—
5SV Darmstadt 9834+1252—
61. FC Kaiserslautern34+552—
7Hertha BSC34+351—
81. FC Nürnberg34+246—
9VfL Bochum34+244—
10Karlsruher SC34-1144—
11Holstein Kiel35-442↑ 1
12Dynamo Dresden34+141↓ 1
13Arminia Bielefeld34+239—
141. FC Magdeburg34-639—
15Eintracht Braunschweig34-1837—
16SpVgg Greuther Fürth34-1937—
17Fortuna Düsseldorf34-2037—
18Preußen Münster35-2331—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Holstein Kiel 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Preußen Münster 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Holstein Kiel

1/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Holstein Kiel’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Holstein Kiel at home with Preußen Münster away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:06 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Holstein KielPreußen Münster
27Matches played27
28Points earned26
7Wins6
1.3Goals scored / match1.2
1.6Goals conceded / match1.7
5Clean sheets2
4Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Holstein Kiel at home with Preußen Münster away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Holstein Kiel

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Tim Walter
  1. 1T. WeinerG
  2. 13I. NekicD
  3. 26D. ZecD
  4. 6M. IvezicD
  5. 47J. TolkinD
  6. 28J. MeffertM
  7. 15K. DavidsenM
  8. 20A. KapralikM
  9. 7S. SkrzybskiM
  10. 10J. TherkelsenM
  11. 19P. HarresF
Substitutes (9)

21 · J. Krumrey

25 · M. Muller

29 · N. Niehoff

49 · I. Ugoh

2 · F. Roslyng

40 · L. Parduzi

22 · S. Schwab

23 · L. Rosenboom

18 · A. Jakupovic

Preußen Münster

Confirmed formation3-5-2Alexander Ende
  1. 1J. SchenkG
  2. 22J. HeuerD
  3. 24N. KoulisD
  4. 3P. JaeckelD
  5. 27J. ter HorstM
  6. 8J. MeesM
  7. 20J. HendrixM
  8. 10M. SchulzM
  9. 14C. MakridisM
  10. 30E. AmenyidoF
  11. 17O. Batista MeierF
Substitutes (9)

26 · M. Behrens

2 · M. Kirkeskov

16 · T. Paetow

6 · M. Benger

32 · T. Raschl

11 · O. Vilhelmsson

5 · Y. Bouchama

13 · L. Lokotsch

29 · I. Rondic

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Holstein Kiel

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Timon Weiner946.9———18—
Ivan Nekić877.5———671
David Zec947.5———712
Marko Ivezić947.0———67—
John Tolkin947.2——1651
Jonas Meffert947.0———46—
Kasper Davidsen696.2——2231
Adrián Kaprálik946.9———30—
Steven Skrzybski946.5——155—
Jonas Therkelsen756.3——216—
Phil Harres876.7———71
Stefan Schwab257.0——1132
Niklas Niehoff196.7———5—
Lasse Rosenboom7———13—
Marcus Müller7———12—
Frederik Roslyng———————
Leon Parduzi———————
Aldin Jakupovic———————
Jonas Krumrey———————
Ikem Ugoh———————

Preußen Münster

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Johannes Schenk947.2———351
Jannis Heuer947.3——1343
Niko Koulis947.2———272
Paul Jaeckel947.7———323
Jano ter Horst947.2———205
Joshua Mees656.9———51
Jorrit Hendrix947.6———223
Marvin Schulz656.5——141
Charalambos Makridis946.6——1191
Etienne Amenyido876.9——2111
Oliver Batista Meier166.3———3—
Lars Lokotsch716.3——181
Mikkel Kirkeskov296.7———51
Yassine Bouchama297.3———124
Oscar Vilhelmsson7————1—
Imad Rondić7————2—
Morten Behrens———————
Tobias Raschl———————
Torge Paetow———————
Marcel Benger———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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