Dynamo Dresden
4/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Dynamo Dresden’s results
2. BundesligaMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTREDynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Winkler80′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Dynamo Dresden
Draw5.0%at full time
Current result estimate94.8%Hertha BSC
Another goal7.5%before full time
Next goal: Dynamo Dresden 5.2% · no further goal 92.5% · Hertha BSC 2.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Dynamo DresdenHertha BSC
1.910Expected goals · API-Football0.910
4Shots on target5
12Total Shots10
58%Ball Possession42%
5Corner Kicks3
10Fouls14
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
496Total passes363
428Passes accurate302
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
2. BundesligaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Schalke 04 | 34 | +19 | 70 | — |
| 2 |  SV Elversberg | 34 | +25 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | +14 | 62 | — |
| 4 |  Hannover 96 | 34 | +16 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Hertha BSC | 35 | +4 | 54 | ↑ 2 |
| 6 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | +12 | 52 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | +5 | 52 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | +2 | 46 | — |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 34 | +2 | 44 | — |
| 10 |  Karlsruher SC | 34 | -11 | 44 | — |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 35 | 0 | 41 | — |
| 12 |  Holstein Kiel | 34 | -4 | 41 | — |
| 13 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | +2 | 39 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | -6 | 39 | — |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | -18 | 37 | — |
| 16 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | -19 | 37 | — |
| 17 |  Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | -20 | 37 | — |
| 18 |  Preußen Münster | 34 | -23 | 30 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Dynamo Dresden 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Hertha BSC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Hertha BSC
4/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Hertha BSC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Dynamo Dresden
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC Paderborn 07Away · 2. Bundesliga1–2Preußen MünsterHome · 2. Bundesliga6–0Karlsruher SCAway · 2. Bundesliga3–3SV Darmstadt 98Home · 2. Bundesliga3–1Hannover 96Away · 2. Bundesliga0–0SV ElversbergHome · 2. Bundesliga1–2FC Schalke 04Away · 2. Bundesliga2–2Arminia BielefeldHome · 2. Bundesliga1–11. FC MagdeburgAway · 2. Bundesliga2–1SpVgg Greuther FürthHome · 2. Bundesliga2–0
Hertha BSC
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Fortuna DüsseldorfAway · 2. Bundesliga5–2VfL BochumHome · 2. Bundesliga1–1Preußen MünsterAway · 2. Bundesliga2–11. FC NürnbergHome · 2. Bundesliga2–1SC Paderborn 07Away · 2. Bundesliga2–5Hannover 96Home · 2. Bundesliga2–3SC FreiburgHome · DFB Pokal0–0SV ElversbergAway · 2. Bundesliga3–0SV Darmstadt 98Home · 2. Bundesliga2–2Karlsruher SCAway · 2. Bundesliga2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Dynamo Dresden at home with Hertha BSC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:50 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Dynamo DresdenHertha BSC
27Matches played27
29Points earned44
7Wins12
1.6Goals scored / match1.6
1.7Goals conceded / match1.2
3Clean sheets11
4Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Dynamo Dresden at home with Hertha BSC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Dynamo Dresden
1wins4MEETINGS
Hertha BSC
2winsSep 2012 – Nov 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Dynamo Dresden first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Dynamo Dresden
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Thomas Stamm
- 1
T. SchreiberG - 32
J. SternerD - 13
J. PauliD - 39
T. KellerD - 19
A. RossipalD - 18
R. WagnerM - 6
K. AmoakoM - 7
J. CekaM - 27
N. HauptmannM - 20
B. BobzienM - 9
V. VermeijF
Substitutes (9)
37 · D. Mesenholer
24 · T. Menzel
29 · L. Boeder
33 · C. Daferner
8 · L. Herrmann
16 · N. Froling
2 · K. Faber
10 · J. Lemmer
42 · F. Muller
Hertha BSC
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Stefan Leitl
- 1
T. ErnstG - 42
D. ZeefuikD - 37
T. LeistnerD - 44
L. GechterD - 33
M. KarbownikD - 8
K. SessaM - 30
P. SeguinM - 22
M. WinklerM - 7
J. BrekaloM - 11
F. ReeseM - 9
D. KownackiF
Substitutes (9)
35 · M. Gersbeck
10 · M. Cuisance
18 · L. Schuler
14 · M. Krattenmacher
41 · P. Klemens
23 · K. Eichhorn
6 · D. Demme
31 · M. Dardai
2 · J. Eitschberger
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Dynamo Dresden
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Schreiber | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Jonas Sterner | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 49 | 2 |
| Julian Pauli | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 3 |
| Thomas Keller | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 82 | 1 |
| Alexander Rossipal | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 61 | — |
| Robert Wagner | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 3 |
| Kofi Jeremy Amoako | 89 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 59 | — |
| Jason Ceka | 64 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 2 |
| Niklas Hauptmann | 80 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 2 |
| Ben Justus Bobzien | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 38 | 1 |
| Vincent Vermeij | 80 | 5.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Jakob Lemmer | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Christoph Daferner | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Luca Herrmann | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Nils Fröling | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Konrad Faber | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tony Menzel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Mesenhöler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Boeder | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Friedrich Muller | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hertha BSC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tjark Ernst | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Deyovaisio Zeefuik | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 4 |
| Toni Leistner | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 1 |
| Linus Gechter | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 59 | — |
| Michał Karbownik | 68 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Kevin Sessa | 68 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Paul Seguin | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | — |
| Marten Winkler | 89 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 2 |
| Josip Brekalo | 66 | 5.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Fabian Reese | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 3 | 16 | — |
| Dawid Kownacki | 77 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Kennet Eichhorn | 22 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Márton Dárdai | 22 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Michaël Cuisance | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Julian Eitschberger | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | 1 |
| Marius Gersbeck | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maurice Krattenmacher | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Luca Schuler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pascal Klemens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Demme | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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