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La LigaMatchweek 20THE MATCH CENTRE

Atletico Madrid vs Alaves match centre

Atletico Madrid badgeAtletico MadridHome · 4 in league
WWDLW
Momentum↘ Falling64/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Alaves badgeAlavesAway · 14 in league
WLDLW
Momentum→ Steady47/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Sorloth48′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Atletico MadridAlaves
6Corner Kicks6
13Fouls5
1Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
0Goalkeeper Saves4
553Total passes460
486Passes accurate381

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Atletico Madrid 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Alaves 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Alaves

1/2Wins
0.5Goals / game
0.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect Alaves’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico Madrid at home with Alaves away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:32 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Atletico MadridAlaves
19Matches played19
38Points earned19
11Wins5
1.8Goals scored / match0.8
0.9Goals conceded / match1.3
7Clean sheets3
1Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico Madrid at home with Alaves away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Atletico Madrid

Confirmed formation4-4-2Diego Simeone
  1. 13J. OblakG
  2. 14M. LlorenteD
  3. 18M. PubillD
  4. 17D. HanckoD
  5. 3M. RuggeriD
  6. 20G. SimeoneM
  7. 8P. BarriosM
  8. 5J. CardosoM
  9. 11T. AlmadaM
  10. 19J. AlvarezF
  11. 9A. SorlothF
Substitutes (10)

1 · J. Musso

31 · S. Esquivel

2 · J. M. Gimenez

16 · N. Molina

24 · R. Le Normand

6 · Koke

10 · A. Baena

27 · J. Monserrate

29 · R. Belaid

7 · A. Griezmann

Alaves

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Quique Sanchez Flores
  1. 1A. SiveraG
  2. 17Jonny OttoD
  3. 14N. TenagliaD
  4. 5J. PachecoD
  5. 24V. ParadaD
  6. 8A. BlancoM
  7. 7C. VicenteM
  8. 19P. IbanezM
  9. 18J. GuridiM
  10. 10C. AlenaM
  11. 11T. MartinezF
Substitutes (9)

13 · R. Fernandez

3 · Yusi

4 · D. Suarez

6 · A. Guevara

15 · L. Boye

20 · Calebe

21 · A. Rebbach

23 · C. Protesoni

34 · A. Manas

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Atletico Madrid

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jan Oblak906.9—0—32—
Marcos Llorente907.3—01653
Marc Pubill907.3—02601
Dávid Hancko907.3—0—722
Matteo Ruggeri907.2—0—441
Giuliano Simeone626.3—03321
Pablo Barrios908.0—11576
Johnny Cardoso787.0—0—443
Thiago Almada626.7—03362
Julián Alvarez627.3—0229—
Alexander Sørloth867.9102232
Alejandro Baena287.0—01131
Koke286.7—0—261
Antoine Griezmann286.3—0—141
Robin Le Normand126.6—0—7—
Nahuel Molina106.9—0—1—
Salvador Esquivel———————
Juan Musso———————
José María Giménez———————
Rayane Belaid———————
Jano Monserrate———————

Alaves

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Antonio Sivera906.7—0—37—
Jonny Otto906.3—0—76—
Nahuel Tenaglia906.9—0—493
Jon Pacheco907.0—01482
Victor Parada907.5—0—251
Antonio Blanco816.7—0—553
Carlos Vicente907.2—0—321
Pablo Ibáñez556.2—0—19—
Jon Guridi546.3—01201
Carles Aleñá696.7—0—212
Toni Martínez556.2—0113—
Denis Suárez366.9—0—29—
Ander Guevara356.5—01281
Lucas Boyé356.3—0221
Abderrahman Rebbach217.0—0—8—
Aitor Mañas96.3—0—2—
Raúl Fernández———————
Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim———————
Carlos Benavídez———————
Calebe Gonçalves———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

La Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primera División. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barcelona38311695365994
LWLWW
2Real Madrid38275677354286
WWWLW
3Villarreal382261072462672
WLLDW
4Atletico Madrid382161162441869
LWWLW
5Real Betis381515859481160
WLWDW
6Celta Vigo381412125348554
WDLWW
7Getafe38156173238-651
WLWDL
8Rayo Vallecano381214124144-350
WWDDW
9Valencia381310154655-949
WWDWL
10Real Sociedad381113145961-246
DLDDL
11Espanyol381210164355-1246
DWWLL
12Athletic Club38136194358-1545
LDLLW
13Sevilla38127194660-1443
LLWWW
14Alaves381110174456-1243
LWWDL
15Elche381013154957-843
DWLDL
16Levante38119184761-1442
LWWWL
17Osasuna38119184450-642
LLLLL
18Mallorca38119184757-1042
WLLDW
19Girona38914153955-1641
DLDDL
20Oviedo38611212660-3429
LLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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