Mallorca
2/7Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Mallorca’s results
La LigaMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTREMallorca vs Real Sociedad match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
C. Soler36′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Mallorca
Draw3.6%at full time
Current result estimate96.3%Real Sociedad
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Mallorca 3.7% · no further goal 91.9% · Real Sociedad 4.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.MallorcaReal Sociedad
0.680Expected goals · API-Football0.460
1Shots on target2
6Total Shots12
43%Ball Possession57%
2Corner Kicks7
6Fouls22
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves1
398Total passes534
331Passes accurate454
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Real Sociedad | 39 | -1 | 49 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | ↓ 1 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 39 | -11 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Mallorca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Real Sociedad 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Real Sociedad
5/9Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Real Sociedad’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Mallorca
7 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game2.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 7
Both teams scored3 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Real Sociedad
9 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 9
Both teams scored8 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mallorca at home with Real Sociedad away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
MallorcaReal Sociedad
25Matches played25
24Points earned32
6Wins8
1.2Goals scored / match1.5
1.6Goals conceded / match1.5
3Clean sheets1
7Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mallorca at home with Real Sociedad away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Mallorca
Confirmed formation4-3-3Martin Demichelis
- 1
L. RomanG - 23
P. MaffeoD - 24
M. ValjentD - 21
A. RailloD - 22
J. MojicaD - 10
S. DarderM - 5
O. MascarellM - 12
Samu CostaM - 18
M. JosephF - 7
V. MuriqiF - 17
J. VirgiliF
Substitutes (12)
13 · L. Bergstrom
25 · Pichu Cuellar
2 · M. Morey Bauza
3 · T. Lato
6 · A. Sanchez
8 · M. Morlanes
9 · A. Prats
15 · Z. Luvumbo
19 · J. Llabres
20 · P. Torre
27 · D. Lopez
30 · J. Kalumba
Real Sociedad
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pellegrino Matarazzo
- 1
A. RemiroG - 2
J. AramburuD - 5
I. ZubeldiaD - 16
D. Caleta-CarD - 17
S. GomezD - 4
J. GorrotxategiM - 8
B. TurrientesM - 11
G. GuedesM - 18
C. SolerM - 21
A. ZakharyanM - 10
M. OyarzabalF
Substitutes (12)
13 · U. Marrero
41 · T. Folgado
3 · A. Munoz
6 · A. Elustondo
7 · A. Barrenetxea
12 · Y. Herrera
15 · P. Marin
19 · J. Karrikaburu
22 · Wesley
24 · L. Sucic
31 · J. Martin
38 · L. Beitia
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Mallorca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Román | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Pablo Maffeo | 79 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Martin Valjent | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 56 | — |
| Antonio Raíllo | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 64 | 1 |
| Johan Mojica | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 55 | — |
| Sergi Darder | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Omar Mascarell | 79 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Samú Costa | 84 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Mateo Joseph | 69 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Vedat Muriqi | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 18 | — |
| Jan Virgili | 84 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| Zito Luvumbo | 21 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Mateu Morey | 11 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Manu Morlanes | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Javi Llabrés | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Abdón Prats | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Lucas Bergström | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Cuéllar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David López | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Lato | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Sánchez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Torre | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin-Noel Kalumba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Sociedad
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álex Remiro | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 44 | — |
| Jon Aramburu | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 4 |
| Igor Zubeldia | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 2 |
| Duje Ćaleta-Car | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 1 |
| Sergio Gómez | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 66 | — |
| Jon Gorrotxategi | 84 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 68 | 1 |
| Beñat Turrientes | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 3 |
| Gonçalo Guedes | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 38 | — |
| Carlos Soler | 63 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 38 | — |
| Arsen Zakharyan | 63 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 84 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Luka Sučić | 27 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Ander Barrenetxea | 27 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Pablo Marín | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Yangel Herrera | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Theo Folgado | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Marrero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aritz Elustondo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aihen Muñoz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luken Beitia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Martin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wesley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Karrikaburu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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