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La LigaMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTRE

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad match centre

Real Madrid badgeReal MadridHome · 2 in league
WWLWW
Momentum↗ Rising80/100OlderLatest
Full time
4:1
UK time · Europe/London
Real Sociedad badgeReal SociedadAway · 10 in league
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
G. Garcia5′
Vinicius Junior25′ (pen)
F. Valverde31′
Vinicius Junior48′ (pen)
M. Oyarzabal21′ (pen)
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Real MadridReal Sociedad
4Corner Kicks6
10Fouls9
1Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
2Goalkeeper Saves0
583Total passes526
533Passes accurate480

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Real Madrid 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Real Sociedad 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Real Madrid

5/7Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Real Madrid’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Real Sociedad

5/7Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Real Sociedad’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Real Madrid

7 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 7
Both teams scored4 of 7

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Real Sociedad

7 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 7
Both teams scored6 of 7

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Real Madrid at home with Real Sociedad away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:32 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Real MadridReal Sociedad
23Matches played23
57Points earned31
18Wins8
2.1Goals scored / match1.5
0.8Goals conceded / match1.4
11Clean sheets1
2Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Real Madrid at home with Real Sociedad away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Real Madrid

Confirmed formation4-4-2Alvaro Arbeloa
  1. 1T. CourtoisG
  2. 12T. Alexander-ArnoldD
  3. 22A. RudigerD
  4. 24D. HuijsenD
  5. 18A. CarrerasD
  6. 8F. ValverdeM
  7. 15A. GulerM
  8. 14A. TchouameniM
  9. 6E. CamavingaM
  10. 16G. GarciaF
  11. 7Vinicius JuniorF
Substitutes (12)

13 · A. Lunin

2 · D. Carvajal

4 · D. Alaba

10 · K. Mbappe

17 · R. Asencio

19 · D. Ceballos

20 · F. Garcia

21 · B. Diaz

23 · F. Mendy

30 · F. Mastantuono

28 · J. Cestero Sancho

38 · C. Palacios

Real Sociedad

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pellegrino Matarazzo
  1. 1A. RemiroG
  2. 2J. AramburuD
  3. 31J. MartinD
  4. 5I. ZubeldiaD
  5. 3A. MunozD
  6. 12Y. HerreraM
  7. 4J. GorrotxategiM
  8. 15P. MarinM
  9. 18C. SolerM
  10. 22WesleyM
  11. 10M. OyarzabalF
Substitutes (12)

13 · U. Marrero

6 · A. Elustondo

8 · B. Turrientes

9 · O. Oskarsson

11 · G. Guedes

16 · D. Caleta-Car

17 · S. Gomez

19 · J. Karrikaburu

20 · A. Odriozola

26 · D. Diaz

46 · I. Aguirre

47 · J. Ochieng

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Real Madrid

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Thibaut Courtois907.0—0—42—
Trent Alexander-Arnold607.2—1—48—
Antonio Rüdiger606.2—0154—
Dean Huijsen906.5—0—742
Álvaro Carreras907.3—1—552
Federico Valverde738.210142—
Arda Güler906.9—0141—
Aurélien Tchouaméni797.7—0—534
Eduardo Camavinga736.6—0—542
Gonzalo García907.2103211
Vinícius Júnior908.320239—
Daniel Carvajal306.9—0—9—
David Alaba307.2—0—241
Dani Ceballos176.6—0—12—
Brahim Díaz176.3—0—121
Jorge Cestero116.7—0—51
Andriy Lunin———————
Raúl Asencio———————
Fran García———————
Ferland Mendy———————
César Palacios———————
Franco Mastantuono———————
Kylian Mbappé———————

Real Sociedad

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Álex Remiro906.2—0—35—
Jon Aramburu904.9—0—453
Jon Martin907.2—01753
Igor Zubeldia906.2—0—722
Aihen Muñoz905.7—02391
Yangel Herrera607.2—01281
Jon Gorrotxategi907.3—0—90—
Pablo Marín736.2—0—15—
Carlos Soler907.3—01601
Wesley456.2—0—11—
Mikel Oyarzabal606.910310—
Gonçalo Guedes456.6—0—13—
Beñat Turrientes307.0—0—322
Orri Steinn Óskarsson306.3—0—5—
Dani Díaz176.5—0—4—
Unai Marrero———————
Álvaro Odriozola———————
Aritz Elustondo———————
Duje Ćaleta-Car———————
Sergio Gómez———————
Job Ochieng———————
Ibai Aguirre———————
Jon Karrikaburu———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

La Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primera División. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barcelona38311695365994
LWLWW
2Real Madrid38275677354286
WWWLW
3Villarreal382261072462672
WLLDW
4Atletico Madrid382161162441869
LWWLW
5Real Betis381515859481160
WLWDW
6Celta Vigo381412125348554
WDLWW
7Getafe38156173238-651
WLWDL
8Rayo Vallecano381214124144-350
WWDDW
9Valencia381310154655-949
WWDWL
10Real Sociedad381113145961-246
DLDDL
11Espanyol381210164355-1246
DWWLL
12Athletic Club38136194358-1545
LDLLW
13Sevilla38127194660-1443
LLWWW
14Alaves381110174456-1243
LWWDL
15Elche381013154957-843
DWLDL
16Levante38119184761-1442
LWWWL
17Osasuna38119184450-642
LLLLL
18Mallorca38119184757-1042
WLLDW
19Girona38914153955-1641
DLDDL
20Oviedo38611212660-3429
LLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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