Rayo Vallecano
1/7Wins
0.9Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Rayo Vallecano’s results
La LigaMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRERayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. de Frutos35′
I. Williams47′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.4%Rayo Vallecano
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.1%Athletic Club
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Rayo Vallecano 4.5% · no further goal 92.3% · Athletic Club 3.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club
1.330Expected goals · API-Football0.540
7Shots on target2
15Total Shots8
50%Ball Possession50%
5Corner Kicks4
7Fouls16
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves6
300Total passes289
199Passes accurate192
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 39 | -3 | 51 | ↑ 1 |
| 8 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 39 | -15 | 46 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Rayo Vallecano 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Athletic Club 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Athletic Club
5/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Athletic Club’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Rayo Vallecano
7 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 7
Both teams scored3 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Athletic Club
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rayo Vallecano at home with Athletic Club away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:04 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club
24Matches played25
26Points earned34
6Wins10
0.9Goals scored / match1.2
1.3Goals conceded / match1.4
7Clean sheets5
10Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rayo Vallecano at home with Athletic Club away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Rayo Vallecano
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Inigo Perez
- 13
A. BatallaG - 2
A. RatiuD - 24
F. LejeuneD - 32
N. MendyD - 22
PachaD - 6
P. CissM - 15
G. GumbauM - 12
I. AkhomachM - 7
I. PalazonM - 18
A. GarciaM - 19
J. de FrutosF
Substitutes (12)
1 · D. Cardenas
3 · P. Chavarria
4 · P. Diaz
5 · Luiz Felipe
8 · O. Trejo
9 · Alemao
11 · R. Nteka
14 · C. Martin
17 · U. Lopez
20 · I. Balliu
21 · F. Perez
23 · O. Valentin
Athletic Club
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ernesto Valverde
- 1
U. SimonG - 12
J. AresoD - 3
D. VivianD - 14
A. LaporteD - 17
Y. BerchicheD - 18
M. JauregizarM - 16
I. Ruiz de GalarretaM - 9
I. WilliamsM - 8
O. SancetM - 20
U. GomezM - 11
G. GuruzetaF
Substitutes (12)
27 · A. Padilla
2 · A. Gorosabel
4 · A. Paredes
6 · M. Vesga
7 · A. Berenguer
15 · I. Lekue
19 · A. Boiro
22 · N. Serrano
23 · R. Navarro
25 · Izeta
30 · A. Rego
44 · S. Sanchez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Batalla | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Andrei Rațiu | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | 1 |
| Florian Lejeune | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 40 | 1 |
| Nobel Mendy | 61 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Alfonso Espino | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | 7 |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 3 |
| Gerard Gumbau | 61 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Ilias Akhomach | 86 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 19 | 2 |
| Isi Palazón | 69 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | 3 |
| Álvaro García | 61 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 13 | — |
| Jorge de Frutos | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Unai López | 29 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Óscar Valentín | 29 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Fran Pérez | 29 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Pedro Díaz | 21 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Alemão | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Dani Cárdenas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josep Chavarría | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Felipe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Balliu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Trejo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Randy Nteka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Martín | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Athletic Club
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Jesús Areso | 73 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Daniel Vivian | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 3 |
| Aymeric Laporte | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Yuri Berchiche | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 2 |
| Mikel Jauregizar | 86 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta | 59 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Iñaki Williams | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 |
| Oihan Sancet | 86 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Unai Gómez | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Álex Berenguer | 45 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Alejandro Rego | 31 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Andoni Gorosabel | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 3 |
| Mikel Vesga | 10 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 2 |
| Selton Sanchez | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Alex Padilla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adama Boiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Paredes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Íñigo Lekue | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Serrano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Navarro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Urko Izeta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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