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La LigaMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRE

Real Betis vs Celta Vigo match centre

Real Betis badgeReal BetisHome · 5 in league
WDDLL
Momentum↘ Falling27/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Celta Vigo badgeCelta VigoAway · 6 in league
WWWLD
Momentum↘ Falling60/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
H. Bellerin49′
F. Jutgla4′
Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla · SevilleSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.1%Real Betis
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.4%Celta Vigo
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Real Betis 4.2% · no further goal 92.3% · Celta Vigo 3.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Real BetisCelta Vigo
3Corner Kicks4
11Fouls14
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
486Total passes478
431Passes accurate415

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primera División

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Barcelona38+5994—
2Real Madrid38+4286—
3Villarreal38+2672—
4Atletico Madrid38+1869—
5Real Betis39+1161—
6Celta Vigo39+555—
7Getafe38-651—
8Rayo Vallecano38-350—
9Valencia38-949—
10Real Sociedad38-246—
11Espanyol38-1246—
12Athletic Club38-1545—
13Elche38-843↑ 2
14Alaves38-1243—
15Sevilla38-1443↓ 2
16Osasuna38-642↑ 1
17Mallorca38-1042↑ 1
18Levante38-1442↓ 2
19Girona38-1641—
20Oviedo38-3429—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Real Betis 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Celta Vigo 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Real Betis

4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Real Betis’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Celta Vigo

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Celta Vigo’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Real Betis at home with Celta Vigo away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:32 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Real BetisCelta Vigo
27Matches played27
43Points earned40
11Wins10
1.5Goals scored / match1.4
1.3Goals conceded / match1.1
8Clean sheets8
3Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Real Betis at home with Celta Vigo away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Real Betis

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Manuel Pellegrini
  1. 1A. VallesG
  2. 2H. BellerinD
  3. 5M. BartraD
  4. 4NatanD
  5. 23J. FirpoD
  6. 21M. RocaM
  7. 15A. FidalgoM
  8. 24A. RuibalM
  9. 8P. FornalsM
  10. 10A. EzzalzouliM
  11. 19Cucho HernandezF
Substitutes (12)

13 · Adrian

25 · P. Lopez

12 · R. Rodriguez

11 · C. Bakambu

14 · S. Amrabat

9 · C. Avila

7 · Antony

18 · N. Deossa

16 · V. Gomez

17 · R. Riquelme

6 · S. Altimira

40 · A. Ortiz

Celta Vigo

Confirmed formation3-4-3Claudio Giraldez
  1. 13I. RaduG
  2. 14A. NunezD
  3. 2C. StarfeltD
  4. 20M. AlonsoD
  5. 5S. CarreiraM
  6. 8F. LopezM
  7. 22H. SoteloM
  8. 3O. MinguezaM
  9. 9F. JutglaF
  10. 18P. DuranF
  11. 23H. AlvarezF
Substitutes (12)

1 · I. Villar

15 · M. Vecino

6 · I. Moriba

19 · W. Swedberg

39 · J. El Abdellaoui

10 · I. Aspas

21 · M. Ristic

7 · B. Iglesias

4 · J. Aidoo

17 · J. Rueda

24 · C. Dominguez

32 · J. Rodriguez

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Real Betis

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Álvaro Valles906.2—0—36—
Héctor Bellerín907.7101561
Marc Bartra906.9—0352—
Natan906.7—0—423
Junior Firpo676.3—0—31—
Marc Roca907.7—0—561
Álvaro Fidalgo876.7—0—63—
Aitor Ruibal907.3—1231—
Pablo Fornals907.3—0—702
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli676.6—01171
Cucho Hernández806.2—0214—
Valentín Gómez237.5—0—15—
Antony236.9—01161
Cédric Bakambu106.5—014—
Sergi Altimira106.7—0—7—
Adrián———————
Pau López———————
Angel Ortiz———————
Ricardo Rodríguez———————
Nelson Deossa———————
Rodrigo Riquelme———————
Sofyan Amrabat———————
Chimy Ávila———————

Celta Vigo

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ionuț Radu907.9—0—26—
Alvaro Núñez586.9—01481
Carl Starfelt907.3—0—562
Marcos Alonso906.9—0—653
Sergio Carreira906.9—0—52—
Fer López586.2—0—40—
Hugo Sotelo906.7—0—571
Óscar Mingueza906.3—1—50—
Ferran Jutglà667.6102111
Pablo Durán796.3—0220—
Hugo Álvarez666.9—0—23—
Javi Rodríguez326.9—0113—
Ilaix Moriba327.2—0—93
Williot Swedberg246.3—0—5—
Borja Iglesias246.3—0—8—
Jones El-Abdellaoui116.3—0—1—
Iván Villar———————
Carlos Domínguez———————
Mihailo Ristić———————
Javier Rueda———————
Joseph Aidoo———————
Matías Vecino———————
Iago Aspas———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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