Celta Vigo
5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Celta Vigo’s results
La LigaMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRECelta Vigo vs Real Madrid match centre
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
B. Iglesias25′
A. Tchouameni11′
F. Valverde90+4′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Celta Vigo
Draw4.1%at full time
Current result estimate95.8%Real Madrid
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Celta Vigo 4.3% · no further goal 91.9% · Real Madrid 3.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Celta VigoReal Madrid
1.050Expected goals · API-Football0.870
4Shots on target2
8Total Shots13
36%Ball Possession64%
1Corner Kicks6
4Fouls12
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
452Total passes791
392Passes accurate723
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 39 | +43 | 89 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 39 | +4 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Celta Vigo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Real Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Real Madrid
7/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Real Madrid’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Celta Vigo
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Real Madrid
10 matchesResults7 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GetafeHome · La Liga0–1BenficaHome · UEFA Champions League2–1OsasunaAway · La Liga1–2BenficaAway · UEFA Champions League1–0Real SociedadHome · La Liga4–1ValenciaAway · La Liga2–0Rayo VallecanoHome · La Liga2–1BenficaAway · UEFA Champions League2–4VillarrealAway · La Liga2–0MonacoHome · UEFA Champions League6–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Celta Vigo at home with Real Madrid away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Celta VigoReal Madrid
26Matches played26
40Points earned60
10Wins19
1.4Goals scored / match2.1
1.1Goals conceded / match0.9
8Clean sheets11
4Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Celta Vigo at home with Real Madrid away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Celta Vigo
Confirmed formation3-4-3Claudio Giraldez
- 13
I. RaduG - 32
J. RodriguezD - 2
C. StarfeltD - 20
M. AlonsoD - 5
S. CarreiraM - 16
M. RomanM - 6
I. MoribaM - 3
O. MinguezaM - 9
F. JutglaF - 7
B. IglesiasF - 19
W. SwedbergF
Substitutes (12)
1 · I. Villar
15 · M. Vecino
39 · J. El Abdellaoui
12 · M. Fernandez
10 · I. Aspas
4 · J. Aidoo
17 · J. Rueda
14 · A. Nunez
24 · C. Dominguez
22 · H. Sotelo
23 · H. Alvarez
8 · F. Lopez
Real Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Alvaro Arbeloa
- 1
T. CourtoisG - 12
T. Alexander-ArnoldD - 17
R. AsencioD - 22
A. RudigerD - 23
F. MendyD - 8
F. ValverdeM - 15
A. GulerM - 14
A. TchouameniM - 45
T. PitarchM - 21
B. DiazF - 7
Vinicius JuniorF
Substitutes (10)
13 · A. Lunin
43 · S. Mestre
2 · D. Carvajal
37 · M. A. Moran
38 · C. Palacios
27 · D. Aguado
48 · L. Fati
20 · F. Garcia
16 · G. Garcia
28 · J. Cestero Sancho
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Celta Vigo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionuț Radu | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 76 | 1 |
| Carl Starfelt | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 1 |
| Marcos Alonso | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 2 |
| Sergio Carreira | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 1 |
| Miguel Román | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 59 | — |
| Ilaix Moriba | 89 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Óscar Mingueza | 83 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 1 |
| Ferran Jutglà | 70 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 |
| Borja Iglesias | 70 | 6.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | — |
| Williot Swedberg | 69 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Fer López | 21 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Jones El-Abdellaoui | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Iago Aspas | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Matías Vecino | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Iván Villar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Domínguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Rueda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Aidoo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alvaro Núñez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Sotelo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 96 | 1 |
| Raúl Asencio | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 97 | — |
| Antonio Rüdiger | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 111 | — |
| Ferland Mendy | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 87 | 1 |
| Federico Valverde | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 102 | 2 |
| Arda Güler | 65 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 3 |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 88 | 3 |
| Thiago Pitarch | 89 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 60 | 1 |
| Brahim Díaz | 77 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 49 | — |
| Vinicius Júnior | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 28 | 1 |
| César Palacios | 25 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Gonzalo García | 13 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Manuel Ángel Morán | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Sergio Mestre | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andriy Lunin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Carvajal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Aguado | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lamini Fati | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Cestero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →