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Süper LigMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRE

Fatih Karagümrük vs Fenerbahçe match centre

Fatih Karagümrük badgeFatih KaragümrükHome · 18 in league
LDLWD
Momentum↗ Rising37/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Fenerbahçe badgeFenerbahçeAway · 2 in league
DWDWW
Momentum↗ Rising77/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
B. Elmaz15′
Serginho45+1′
Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı · IstanbulSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%Fatih Karagümrük
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Fenerbahçe
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: Fatih Karagümrük 3.6% · no further goal 91.8% · Fenerbahçe 4.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Fatih KaragümrükFenerbahçe
2Corner Kicks12
16Fouls6
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
289Total passes575
220Passes accurate504

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Super Lig

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Galatasaray34+4777—
2Fenerbahçe35+3874—
3Trabzonspor34+2269—
4Beşiktaş34+1960—
5Başakşehir34+2357—
6Göztepe34+1055—
7Samsunspor34+151—
8Rizespor34-641—
9Konyaspor34-740—
10Alanyaspor34037↑ 1
11Kocaelispor34-1237↓ 1
12Gaziantep FK34-1537—
13Kasımpaşa34-1635—
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.34-1134—
15Eyüpspor34-1533—
16Fatih Karagümrük35-2133↑ 2
17Antalyaspor34-2232↓ 1
18Kayserispor34-3530↓ 1
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Fatih Karagümrük 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Fenerbahçe 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Fenerbahçe

7/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 7 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Fenerbahçe’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fatih Karagümrük at home with Fenerbahçe away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:06 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Süper Lig · 2025/26 · all league matches

Fatih KaragümrükFenerbahçe
25Matches played25
14Points earned57
3Wins16
0.9Goals scored / match2.3
1.9Goals conceded / match1.0
3Clean sheets8
10Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fatih Karagümrük at home with Fenerbahçe away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Fatih Karagümrük

Confirmed formation4-4-2Onur Korkmaz
  1. 13I. GrbicG
  2. 47R. EsgaioD
  3. 3I. LichnovskyD
  4. 94A. CinarD
  5. 25F. MladenovicD
  6. 70SerginhoM
  7. 5M. KranevitterM
  8. 6B. ElmazM
  9. 72B. KalayciM
  10. 21T. CukurF
  11. 23S. LarssonF
Substitutes (10)

99 · F. Beklevic

11 · D. Johnson

8 · B. Ozcan

22 · F. Kurucuk

33 · C. Kurukalip

80 · S. Babicka

24 · B. Ersoy

88 · T. Ahmed

15 · Kone

19 · Y. Onogo

Fenerbahçe

Confirmed formation4-3-2-1Domenico Tedesco
  1. 34M. GunokG
  2. 18M. MuldurD
  3. 14Y. E. DemirD
  4. 24J. OosterwoldeD
  5. 22L. MercanD
  6. 17N. KanteM
  7. 6M. GuendouziM
  8. 5I. YuksekM
  9. 7FredM
  10. 9K. AkturkogluM
  11. 26S. CherifF
Substitutes (10)

13 · T. Cetin

39 · E. Biterge

21 · M. Asensio

20 · A. Musaba

3 · A. Brown

37 · M. Skriniar

70 · O. Aydin

45 · D. Nene

67 · K. Uregen

54 · A. Ekici

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Fatih Karagümrük

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ivo Grbić907.2—0—32—
Ricardo Esgaio907.2—0—245
Igor Lichnovsky907.5—1—20—
Anıl Yiğit Çınar907.7—0—153
Filip Mladenović756.9—0—311
Serginho756.3102251
Matías Kranevitter907.2—0—241
Bartuğ Elmaz657.6102291
Baris Kalayci756.3—01141
Tiago Cukur907.0—0—324
Sam Larsson557.2—01191
Berkay Özcan356.7—0213—
Shavy Warren Babicka256.3—0—51
Çağtay Kurukalıp156.9—0—3—
Daniel Johnson156.3—0—6—
Ahmed Traore156.3—0—3—
Furkan Bekleviç———————
Burhan Ersoy———————
Fatih Kurucuk———————
Yaya Onogo———————
Abdul Kader Moussa Kone———————

Fenerbahçe

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mert Günok906.5—0—16—
Mert Müldür456.0—0—311
Yiğit Efe Demir907.2—02805
Jayden Oosterwolde906.6—0—95—
Levent Mercan796.3—02584
N'Golo Kanté906.9—0—694
Mattéo Guendouzi908.0—01971
İsmail Yüksek456.3—0—194
Fred456.3—0231—
Kerem Aktürkoğlu456.5—0—8—
Sidiki Cherif906.3—019—
Archie Brown456.7—0—21—
Marco Asensio456.9—0—26—
Anthony Musaba456.9—0210—
Dorgeles Nene456.2—0—17—
Oğuz Aydın116.2—0—13—
Tarık Çetin———————
Engin Can Biterge———————
Kamil Efe Üregen———————
Milan Škriniar———————
Alaettin Ekici———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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