Samsunspor
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Samsunspor’s results
Süper LigMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRESamsunspor vs Kayserispor match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Makoumbou31′
L. Tomasson90+3′
T. Borevkovic46′ (og)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.4%Samsunspor
Draw3.5%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Kayserispor
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Samsunspor 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Kayserispor 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.SamsunsporKayserispor
2.040Expected goals · API-Football0.740
7Shots on target2
16Total Shots11
68%Ball Possession32%
7Corner Kicks8
13Fouls14
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves6
509Total passes238
439Passes accurate163
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Super Lig Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 34 | +47 | 77 | — |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 34 | +40 | 74 | — |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 34 | +22 | 69 | — |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 34 | +19 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Başakşehir | 34 | +23 | 57 | — |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 34 | +10 | 55 | — |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 35 | +2 | 54 | — |
| 8 |  Rizespor | 34 | -6 | 41 | — |
| 9 |  Konyaspor | 34 | -7 | 40 | — |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 34 | 0 | 37 | ↑ 1 |
| 11 |  Kocaelispor | 34 | -12 | 37 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Gaziantep FK | 34 | -15 | 37 | — |
| 13 |  Kasımpaşa | 34 | -16 | 35 | — |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | -11 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Eyüpspor | 34 | -15 | 33 | — |
| 16 |  Antalyaspor | 34 | -22 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | -23 | 30 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Kayserispor | 35 | -36 | 30 | ↓ 1 |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Samsunspor 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Kayserispor 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Kayserispor
1/8Wins
0.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Kayserispor’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Samsunspor
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Rayo VallecanoHome · UEFA Europa Conference League1–3FenerbahçeAway · Süper Lig2–3AntalyasporAway · Türkiye Kupası2–0Gaziantep FKHome · Süper Lig0–0ShkendijaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League4–0Fatih KaragümrükAway · Süper Lig0–0ShkendijaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–0AntalyasporAway · Süper Lig1–3TrabzonsporHome · Süper Lig0–3BB BodrumsporHome · Türkiye Kupası2–0
Kayserispor
8 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.4
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals4 of 8
Both teams scored2 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Samsunspor at home with Kayserispor away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:32 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Süper Lig · 2025/26 · all league matches
SamsunsporKayserispor
25Matches played25
32Points earned20
7Wins3
1.1Goals scored / match0.8
1.2Goals conceded / match1.8
8Clean sheets5
8Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Samsunspor at home with Kayserispor away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Samsunspor
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Thorsten Fink
- 71
I. EgribayatG - 18
Z. YavruD - 24
T. BorevkovicD - 37
L. SatkaD - 17
L. TomassonD - 5
C. YukselM - 10
O. NtchamM - 7
E. TavsanM - 20
Y. KayanM - 21
C. HolseM - 9
MariusF
Substitutes (9)
48 · E. B. Toruz
1 · O. Kocuk
11 · E. Kilinc
28 · S. Gonul
29 · A. Makoumbou
70 · T. Coulibaly
2 · J. Mendes
23 · E. Albak
15 · A. B. Diabbate
Kayserispor
Confirmed formation4-4-2Radomir Djalovic
- 25
B. BayazitG - 30
J. BrenetD - 6
S. GulerD - 4
S. DenswilD - 28
R. CivelekD - 18
D. MakarovM - 33
F. SoyalpM - 8
L. BenesM - 7
M. CardosoM - 9
G. OnugkhaF - 99
T. SariarslanF
Substitutes (10)
1 · O. Piri
20 · C. Mane
61 · G. Saglam
17 · B. Kapacak
22 · I. Tuci
2 · J. Katongo
23 · L. Carole
63 · F. Chalov
10 · J. Mendes
11 · S. Mather
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Samsunspor
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İrfan Can Eğribayat | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 44 | — |
| Zeki Yavru | 73 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 3 |
| Toni Borevković | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 3 |
| Ľubomír Šatka | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 1 |
| Logi Tomasson | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 1 |
| Celil Yüksel | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 67 | 4 |
| Olivier Ntcham | 4 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Elayis Tavsan | 73 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 2 |
| Yalçın Kayan | 73 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Carlo Holse | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 35 | 2 |
| Marius Mouandilmadji | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 3 | 12 | — |
| Antoine Makoumbou | 86 | 9.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 61 | — |
| Josafat Mendes | 17 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 14 | — |
| Emre Kılınç | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Tanguy Coulibaly | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Okan Kocuk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Efe Berat Törüz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Soner Gönül | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Diabaté | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Albak | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Kayserispor
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilal Bayazit | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Joshua Brenet | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Semih Güler | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 2 |
| Stefano Denswil | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Ramazan Civelek | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 |
| Denis Makarov | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Furkan Soyalp | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 6 |
| László Bénes | 77 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | — |
| Miguel Cardoso | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | 2 |
| German Onugkha | 64 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Talha Sariarslan | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| João Mendes | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Fedor Chalov | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 |
| Indrit Tuci | 26 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Görkem Sağlam | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Onurcan Piri | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jadel Katongo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lionel Carole | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Mather | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Burak Kapacak | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Mané | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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