Kocaelispor
1/10Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Kocaelispor’s results
Süper LigMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTREKocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Cinar70′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Kocaelispor
Draw3.9%at full time
Current result estimate96.0%Fatih Karagümrük
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Kocaelispor 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Fatih Karagümrük 4.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.KocaelisporFatih Karagümrük
0.340Expected goals · API-Football0.310
0Shots on target1
7Total Shots6
64%Ball Possession36%
2Corner Kicks3
13Fouls13
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
545Total passes297
477Passes accurate226
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Super Lig Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 34 | +47 | 77 | — |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 34 | +40 | 74 | — |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 34 | +22 | 69 | — |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 34 | +19 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Başakşehir | 34 | +23 | 57 | — |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 34 | +10 | 55 | — |
| 7 |  Samsunspor | 34 | +1 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rizespor | 34 | -6 | 41 | — |
| 9 |  Konyaspor | 34 | -7 | 40 | — |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 34 | 0 | 37 | ↑ 1 |
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 35 | -13 | 37 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Gaziantep FK | 34 | -15 | 37 | — |
| 13 |  Kasımpaşa | 34 | -16 | 35 | — |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | -11 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Eyüpspor | 34 | -15 | 33 | — |
| 16 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 35 | -22 | 33 | ↑ 2 |
| 17 |  Antalyaspor | 34 | -22 | 32 | ↓ 1 |
| 18 |  Kayserispor | 34 | -35 | 30 | ↓ 1 |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Kocaelispor 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Fatih Karagümrük 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Fatih Karagümrük
4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Fatih Karagümrük’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Kocaelispor
10 matchesResults1 wins · 4 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.5
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
KasımpaÅŸaAway · Süper Lig1–1GençlerbirliÄŸi S.K.Away · Süper Lig0–1GöztepeHome · Süper Lig1–1GalatasarayAway · Süper Lig1–1BaÅŸakÅŸehirHome · Süper Lig0–0AlanyasporAway · Süper Lig0–5KonyasporHome · Süper Lig1–2EyüpsporAway · Süper Lig1–0BeyoÄŸlu Yeni ÇarşıAway · Türkiye Kupası0–1BeÅŸiktaÅŸHome · Süper Lig0–1
Fatih Karagümrük
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GençlerbirliÄŸi S.K.Home · Süper Lig1–0BeÅŸiktaÅŸAway · Süper Lig0–0EyüpsporHome · Süper Lig1–2KonyasporAway · Süper Lig0–3RizesporHome · Süper Lig2–1KayserisporAway · Süper Lig0–1FenerbahçeHome · Süper Lig2–0Gaziantep FKAway · Süper Lig1–1FethiyesporAway · Türkiye Kupası2–0TrabzonsporAway · Süper Lig1–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Kocaelispor at home with Fatih Karagümrük away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:39 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Süper Lig · 2025/26 · all league matches
KocaelisporFatih Karagümrük
31Matches played31
36Points earned21
9Wins5
0.8Goals scored / match0.9
1.1Goals conceded / match1.7
10Clean sheets5
13Failed to score13
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Kocaelispor at home with Fatih Karagümrük away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Kocaelispor
Confirmed formation4-3-3Selcuk Inan
- 83
S. OztasdelenG - 22
A. OguzD - 2
A. DijksteelD - 6
H. SmolcicD - 21
M. HaidaraD - 20
M. SusohoM - 14
ShowM - 98
J. NongeM - 70
C. KelesF - 19
S. DursunF - 7
D. AgyeiF
Substitutes (10)
35 · G. Degirmenci
10 · K. Linetty
99 · R. Rivas
18 · F. Gedik
75 · T. Bingol
23 · S. Yalcin
17 · D. Churlinov
3 · M. Cinan
8 · H. Keita
94 · E. Narin
Fatih Karagümrük
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Onur Korkmaz
- 99
F. BeklevicG - 47
R. EsgaioD - 4
D. BiraschiD - 3
I. LichnovskyD - 33
C. KurukalipD - 5
M. KranevitterM - 6
B. ElmazM - 70
SerginhoM - 8
B. OzcanM - 80
S. BabickaM - 21
T. CukurF
Substitutes (10)
98 · B. Evli
22 · F. Kurucuk
72 · B. Kalayci
24 · B. Ersoy
20 · T. Kalpakli
32 · M. Kadioglu
23 · S. Larsson
10 · D. Verde
94 · A. Cinar
88 · T. Ahmed
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Kocaelispor
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serhat Öztaşdelen | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 30 | — |
| Ahmet Oğuz | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 27 | 1 |
| Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 97 | 1 |
| Hrvoje Smolčić | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 118 | 1 |
| Massadio Haïdara | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 46 | 1 |
| Mahamadou Susoho | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| Show | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 1 |
| Joseph Nonge | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Can Keleş | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| Serdar Dursun | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 20 | — |
| Dan Agyei | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 20 | — |
| Habib Keita | 49 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 2 |
| Rigoberto Rivas | 49 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 23 | — |
| Tayfur Bingöl | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 9 | — |
| Darko Churlinov | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 13 | — |
| Esat Yusuf Narin | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Gökhan Değirmenci | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muharrem Cinan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Karol Linetty | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samet Yalçın | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Furkan Gedik | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Fatih Karagümrük
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furkan Bekleviç | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 39 | — |
| Ricardo Esgaio | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 31 | 7 |
| Davide Biraschi | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 27 | — |
| Igor Lichnovsky | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Çağtay Kurukalıp | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 22 | 3 |
| Matías Kranevitter | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 15 | — |
| Bartuğ Elmaz | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 41 | — |
| Serginho | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 11 | 1 |
| Berkay Özcan | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 1 |
| Shavy Babicka | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Tiago Cukur | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 1 |
| Daniele Verde | 35 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| Anıl Yiğit Çınar | 25 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | — |
| Baris Kalayci | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Berke Can Evli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammed Kadıoğlu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fatih Kurucuk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Burhan Ersoy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Larsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Traore | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tarik Bugra Kalpakli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Kocaelispor | Draw | Fatih Karagümrük |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 00:42 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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