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Süper LigMatchweek 34THE MATCH CENTRE

Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor match centre

Antalyaspor badgeAntalyasporHome · 16 in league
LDWDL
Momentum↘ Falling33/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Kocaelispor badgeKocaelisporAway · 10 in league
LDLDL
Momentum↓ Low13/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Ballet79′
Corendon Airlines Park · AntalyaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.5%Antalyaspor
Draw3.4%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Kocaelispor
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Antalyaspor 4.5% · no further goal 91.9% · Kocaelispor 3.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
AntalyasporKocaelispor
2Corner Kicks3
20Fouls19
6Yellow Cards5
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
278Total passes397
217Passes accurate322

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Super Lig

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Galatasaray34+4777—
2Fenerbahçe34+4074—
3Trabzonspor34+2269—
4Beşiktaş34+1960—
5Başakşehir34+2357—
6Göztepe34+1055—
7Samsunspor34+151—
8Rizespor34-641—
9Konyaspor34-740—
10Alanyaspor34037↑ 1
11Kocaelispor35-1337↓ 1
12Gaziantep FK34-1537—
13Kasımpaşa34-1635—
14Antalyaspor35-2135↑ 2
15Gençlerbirliği S.K.34-1134↓ 1
16Eyüpspor34-1533↓ 1
17Fatih Karagümrük34-2330↑ 1
18Kayserispor34-3530↓ 1
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Antalyaspor 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Kocaelispor 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Antalyaspor

1/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Antalyaspor’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Kocaelispor

1/10Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Kocaelispor’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Antalyaspor at home with Kocaelispor away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 08:00 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Süper Lig · 2025/26 · all league matches

AntalyasporKocaelispor
32Matches played32
29Points earned37
7Wins9
1.0Goals scored / match0.8
1.6Goals conceded / match1.2
8Clean sheets10
13Failed to score13

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Antalyaspor at home with Kocaelispor away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Antalyaspor

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sami Ugurlu
  1. 21A. YigiterG
  2. 7B. BalciD
  3. 30L. GiannettiD
  4. 4H. TurkmenD
  5. 3K. PaalD
  6. 6S. DikmenM
  7. 23J. CeesayM
  8. 10A. OmurM
  9. 8R. SafuriM
  10. 11S. BalletM
  11. 22S. van de StreekF
Substitutes (10)

1 · Julian

26 · N. Storm

14 · G. Dzhikiya

5 · B. Ozturk

2 · S. Karakoc

20 · H. Ilcin

89 · V. Sari

77 · Y. Boli

90 · K. Kayaarasi

24 · B. Gueye

Kocaelispor

Confirmed formation4-3-3Selcuk Inan
  1. 83S. OztasdelenG
  2. 22A. OguzD
  3. 2A. DijksteelD
  4. 6H. SmolcicD
  5. 21M. HaidaraD
  6. 8H. KeitaM
  7. 14ShowM
  8. 20M. SusohoM
  9. 99R. RivasF
  10. 7D. AgyeiF
  11. 17D. ChurlinovF
Substitutes (10)

35 · G. Degirmenci

19 · S. Dursun

18 · F. Gedik

98 · J. Nonge

97 · A. Ozyar

75 · T. Bingol

3 · M. Cinan

89 · M. Kucuk

94 · E. Narin

16 · D. Ceylan

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Antalyaspor

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Abdullah Yiğiter907.0—0—28—
Bünyamin Balcı907.7—02351
Lautaro Giannetti907.0—0—38—
Hüseyin Türkmen907.2—01263
Kenneth Paal907.2—01254
Soner Dikmen906.7—01131
Jesper Ceesay456.7—0—131
Abdülkadir Ömür876.6—02225
Ramzi Safouri677.9—01321
Samuel Ballet909.2102194
Sander van de Streek906.9—13153
Nikola Storm456.5—0112—
Yohan Boli236.6—0—42
Bahadır Öztürk106.6—0—1—
Julián Cuesta———————
Samet Karakoc———————
Georgi Dzhikiya———————
Veysel Sarı———————
Hasan Yakub İlçin———————
Bachir Gueye———————
Kerem Kayaarasi———————

Kocaelispor

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Serhat Öztaşdelen906.0—0—42—
Ahmet Oğuz456.7—0—231
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel906.7—0—561
Hrvoje Smolčić906.7—0—78—
Massadio Haïdara906.6—0—312
Habib Keita386.2—0110—
Show906.7—0—611
Mahamadou Susoho906.2—0129—
Rigoberto Rivas906.7—0—283
Dan Agyei716.0—027—
Darko Churlinov646.5—0117—
Joseph Nonge526.9—0—10—
Tayfur Bingöl456.3—0—161
Serdar Dursun266.5—0—81
Esat Yusuf Narin196.5—0—1—
Gökhan Değirmenci———————
Muharrem Cinan———————
Deniz Ceylan———————
Muhammed Efe Küçük———————
Arda Ozyar———————
Furkan Gedik———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAntalyasporDrawKocaelispor
Bet3651.504.336.00

Snapshot from 17 May 2026, 08:31 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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